E3 PREDICTIONS ARE NOW CLOSED UNTIL 2ND JULY
Yep, welcome everyone to the new year! Have fun I hope? At any rate, my duty as awesome-thread creator cannot be tarnished in this new year (NO EXAMS CAN STOP ME!!!), so I'm starting off with something a bit different...
Well, look's as though we're on our way back up now anyway! It's almost like it never left . Expect the OP to be fully updated when I finish my exams, so by 28th May.
Ultimately, my goal is to create a thread where the best predictor wins a prize of my choice (hopefully WiiWare gift of your choice!), over a total of 3 catergories:
1. Console sales (30)
Pretty obvious really. Predict end-of-year sales for the 360, PS3, Wii, 3DS, DS and PSP. At different points throughout the year (say, every month), I shall return to this thread, and tip who are my favourites to "win" (i.e. be most accurate)
5 points will be awarded for being within 0.5mil for each console, 4 points for being within 1mil, 3 points for within 1.5mil etc.
With a total of 6 consoles on the market next year, that's a total of 30 points!
2. Games sales (20)
Every month I shall ask people to give predictions on the success (or lack thereof) of 5 games. If you're the closest in that month, you get a point. If you're within 10k, you get a point, provided the nearest person is within 5k (who'll also get 2 points)
3. Super-predictor (4-20)
This is the "wild card" round, where you have to choose 2-10 predictions which you think could happen this year.
If you get a prediction correc, you get 2 points. Get it wrong, however, and you lose a point! Will be updated as I go along
4. ??? (-10 to 30)
You'll be hearing about this in a few weeks time. BE PATIENT
Expect the OP to be back to its former self in a few weeks time.
Part 1
Name | Wii | PS3 | 360 | PSP | 3DS | DS |
Conegamer | 102mil (18mil) | 61.8 (15.8mil ) | 65.9 (14.9mil ) | 73.2 (7.7mi)l | 11mil | 158.5 (14mil |
MACUSDJACKSON | 100mil (16) | 62 (16) | 64mil (13mil) | - | - | - |
ice444 | 105mil (23) | 60 ( 14) | 70 (22) | 80 (15.5) | 50mil | 200mil (lots) |
Nintendogamer | 100 (16) | 61 (15) | 66 (15) | 71.3 (5.8) | 12mil | 160.4 (15.9) |
Jarrod | 99 (15) | 59 (13) | 65 (14) | 72.5 (7mil | 9mil | 157.5 (13mil |
Ninpanda | 100 (16) | 60 (14) | 65.5 (14.5) | 73.5 (8mil) | 7.5 | 163 (17.5) |
Notorious.A.I.G | 103 (19) | 61.5 (15.5) | 67 (16) | 70mil (4.5) | 8.5 | 156.5 (12) |
MrT-Tar | 102 (18) | 61 (15) | 67 (16) | 73.5 (8mil) | 9mil | 162.5 (17mil) |
Pavolink | 101.5 (17.5) | 59.2 (13.2) | 65.5 (14.5) | 71.7 (6.2mil | 8.5mil | 160.8 (15.3mil) |
benao87 | 100.7 (16.7) | 61.4 (15.4) | 66.2 (15.2) | 73.5mil (8) | 8mil | 162mil (16.5mil) |
*Sound Of Rain | 106 (22.1) | 59.7 (14.1) | 66.4 (15.9) | 70.5mil (5.4) | 12.6mil | 161.9mil (17.4) |
-PaNdOrA- | 101 (17mil) | 61 (15) | 68 (17) | 72.5 (7) | 11mil | 164 (18) |
Chibi.V.29 | 98 (14) | 60 (14) | 65 (14) | 90 (24) | 8mil | 162 (16) |
Hyruken | 101.8 (17.8mil) | 60.2 (14.2) | 65.4 (14.4) | - | - | - |
snfr | 100.5 (16.5) | 60.5 (14.5) | 66 (15) | 73 (7.5) | 7.5mil | 162 (16) |
Beulli2 | 100.4 (16.4) | 60.2 (14.2) | 65.6 (14.6) | 68 (3.9) | 8.7mil | 157.3 (11.3) |
Darth | 101 (17) | 61.1 (15.1) | 65 (14) | - | - | - |
postofficebuddy | 99.25 (15.25) | 61.5 (15.5) | 64 (13) | 76.5 (11) | 12mil | 156.8 (10.5) |
Carl2291 | 15.5mil | 16mil | 14.5mil | 8mil | 13mil | 12mil |
Radishhead | 16mil | 15mil | 15mil | 6mil | 10mil | 17mil |
Back soon!
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Part 2
January
Winners:
Beuli2 (2 victories!)
Conegamer (1 point)
Benoa87 (1 point)
Notorious A.I.G (1 point)
February
Winners-
Beuli2 (2 points)
Conegamer (2 points, due to accuracy)
Pavolink (2 points, due to accuaracy!)
Immortal (1 point)
Chibiv.29 (1 point)
Notorious A.I.G (1 point)
March
Conegamer (4 points)
Immortal (2 points- double for accuracy!)
SheepLord (1 point)
April
Winners-
Pavolink (3 Points)
Beuli2 (3 Points)
SheepLord (1 point)
Carl2291 (1 point)
Radishhead (1 point)
May
Beuli2 (2 points)
SheepLord (2 points)
Radishhead (1 point)
Carl2291 (1 point)
Conegamer (1 point)
Pavolink (1 point)
June
Beuli2 (2 points)
Carl2291 (2 points)
Conegamer (1 point)
ExBlackMan (2 points)
July
To come soon...
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Part 3
Current predictions (correct are underlined, expired are bolded)
Conegamer-2
Xenoblade will be confirmed for Europe
Mario Kart 3DS will not launch this year
Dragon Quest X will remain a Wii-Exclusive
Duke Nukem Forever will be delayed
The Last Story will be confirmed for the West, but won't actually make it over here
There will be a price cut for all 3 home consoles this year
A Wii2 will not be formally announced ('Fraid so)
ice444- 1
A new GTA will be announced
The Wii will get an upgrade
Jarrod-2
Dragon Quest X will be a holiday release, gets Wii new colour
Monster Hunter Portable 3rd G will be a 3DS exclusive holiday release
Ninja Gaiden 3 will be announced for Wii2 launch
God Eater 2 released for PS3
FFVersus XIII announced for 360, Japan gets 1 year exclusivity on PS3
Agito announced for 3DS
Minna no Golf 6 released for PS3, Move bundle
Sega and Nintendo release a 3rd Mario and Sonic title
Ninokuni delayed
GBA, GameGear, Wonderswan and NeoGeo for 3DS VC
Beuli2-1
NSMBWii2 announced
No talk about Wii successor (Wrong there, by a loooong way)
No Wii price cut (whoops! Wrong again...)
Skyeard Sword in October-December
Re-print of Super Mario Collection
A game bigger (sales-wise) than SS will be announced at E3, Wii exclusive
Kinect won't have a price drop
PS3 will have a drop announced at E3
DS>3DS
PSP2 announced at E3 (NGP anybody?)
RainbowYoshi-3
Super Smash Bros. 3DS will be announced
A sequel to Dkcr ill be announced
A new F-Zero will be announced
Wii2 oe will be annonced
Mk3DS will feature Lubba
MK3DS will base courses on DKCR
BHR-3-0
U3 will sell 3.5mil by year's end
PS3 will outsell the 360 October-December
A new GTA and HD Resi will be annonced
PS3>Wii and 360 in EMEAA
PS3>Wii in Japan
Notorious A.I.G-0
GTA V at E3
GTA NGP
All console get price cuts (bar 3DS)
Agent for 360 formally announced
Nintendogamer-1
DQX released by year's end
Price Cut for Wii before E3
Wii will outsell Ps3 and 360 by over 1 mil
Chibi.V.29-2
WSR will sell 5mil this year
Kinect adventures will sell 9mil this year
LBP2 over 4 mil
MHP3rd-700k this year
FFV-XII, remains PS3 exclusive
TLS-800k in Japan this year
Sound Of Rain-0
Vitality Sensor will be released Q2 (Sorry, it's not gonna happen)
Vitality Sensor will be a huge hit, bundled game #1
Nintendo will publish and develop 3 VS games
Price cut for all 3 consoles
Nintendo will release a UDraw game
PS Move will be forgotten (what does that mean? I say sells less than 8 mil)
25 Kinect games released
2 new handhelds revealed in 2011
Apple will not release a gaming system in 2011
Google will release a game in 2011
Pavolink- 2
Vitality Sensor at E3
Skyward Sword Trailer at GDC
Skyward Sword before OoT
Wii Relax at E3
Wii Price cut during Summer (I'll let May count)
Vitality Sensor Relax in $199 Wii bundle
Pikmin 3- October
Resident Evil Wii
Postofficebuddy-2
There will be an announcement for a US release of Catherine in 2011
A new Monster Hunter game will be announced for the PS3
PS2 will remain best selling system of all time
Arkham City better Metacritic than Asylum
DKCR will have a special edition
3DS will have a 3mil seller
NGP a 1 mil seller
Devil May Cry 5 PS3 exclusive, confirmed
New Bungie IP confirmed
Just Dance 3 announced
MARCUSDJACKSON
PS3 will pass 50mil units sold by May 15th 2011 (Nice one)
Mr T-Tar- 1
New MH game announced
Paper Mario 3D a higher Metacritic than TTYD
New game from Retro announced
TLS in Europe or America
The Last Guardian released somewhere
Immortal- 1
NGP only in Japan
Black And White Top 5 at end of year
Nothing about Bii (WRONG)
Release date for DQX
All consoles down YoY
3DS more sales than any other console first 10 weeks (WRONG)
SS not released before E3
3DS game above 5mil
JD3 above 7mil
Carl2291-0
The NGP will sell above 3,000,000 units this year (Up to December 31st 2011)
E3 PREDICTIONS
Conegamer- 2
Xenoblade Chronicles will beannounced as a November release in Europe
Skyward Sword will release before November
A new Smash Bros. game will be announced for Cafe
Cafe will be shown, and avaliable for demo
GTA V will be shown with a Q3 2012 release window
Radishhead- 8 (O.o)
Cafe will be priced between $350 and $450 (we don't know yet)
A new Smash Bros same for Cafe
A new Smash Bros game for 3DS
3DS Pokemon announced (Ruby/Sapphire re-make?)
Pikmin 3 for next year, announced for Cafe
Trailer for Super Mario 3D
GTA V for Cafe
New IP for Cafe by Miyamoto
Mario Kart Cafe announced
Caf controller has a motion sensor
Miayamoto will dress up (dress up? He'd better be in drag! )
No acheivements for Cafe (BOO!!!)
Online for Cafe developed not by Nintendo
Full, playable version of Cafe at E3 (directly against mine, eh? )
SS trailer with November release
Huge 3rd party Cafe support, akin to the 3DS
Carl2291-5
The rumoured Cafe controller is correct
Halo: CE 3D revealed
Rare will be mocked
Exclusive content for a Sony console from an EA game
Cafe details small
MS will cut every SKU by $50
GTA V revealed
Some Agent stuff
FF Versus XIII at show
3DS price cut
TLS release date given
PS3 HD games given trailers
Beuli2-0
New 2D Mario game announced
Launch NGP games announced (I'll leave this one neutral)
NGP will be it's final name
Wii VS appears (nope!)
New Wii game announced (Fortune Street? Alright then)
Xenoblade/TLS going WW
GTA V will have a teaser trailer
Exblackman-3
New Nintendo IP (Garden game? Fortune?)
IP revival
Several core IPs announced for Move
New RPG by Nintendo (nope)
PS3 price cut
Legend Of Dragon sequel announced
New Retro game shown
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Results as of 27th July 2011
Name | Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 (it's a secret!) | Total |
Radishhead | - | 2 | 12 | ? | 14 |
Beuli2 | - | 12 | 2 | ? | 14 ^ |
Conegamer | - | 7 | 6 | ? | 13 - |
Carl2291 | - | 4 | 8 | ? | 12 ^ |
RainbowYoshi | - | - | 8 | ? | 8 - |
Exblackman | - | 2 | 5 | ? | 7 ^ |
Pavolink | - | 7 | -1 | ? | 6 v |
Postofficebuddy | - | - | 4 | ? | 4 - |
SheepLord | - | 4 | - | ? | 4 ^ |
Jarrod | - | - | 4 | ? | 4 v |
Immortal | - | 4 | - | ? | 4 NE |
Chibiv.29 | - | 1 | 3 | ? | 4 v |
Nororious A.I.G | - | 3 | - | ? | 3 v |
ice444 | - | - | 2 | ? | 2 v |
Mr T-Tar | - | - | 2 | ? | 2 NE |
NintendoGamer | - | - | 2 | ? | 2 v |
MARCUSDJACKSON | - | - | 2 | ? | 2 v |
benoa87 | - | 1 | - | ? | 1 v |
*SoundOfRain | - | - | -1 | ? |
-1 - |
Seece | - | - | - | - | -5 - |
(Place changes have been placed with arrows on the side, new entries in italics, negative scores in bold)
Good month for me this one, but remember, there's still a possible 110 points left up for grabs!
Notes
As expected with E3 residing in this month, it was a very, VERY busy time. However, after everything has been shaken up, we have a new leader, Radishhead! However, the top 5 places are hotly contended, and it's still anyone's game.
The reason? Radishhead really came alive last month, gaining many correct predictions (as can be seen above), and despite only joined half way through the competition, has found his way to first. The same can be said about Carl2291. They can go far in this competition.
ExBlackMan joins us this week in the competition, and I wish him well!
Overall, a good month for predictions. However, lackluster sales for both Duke Nukem Forever and Wii Play:Motion really hurt the quality of the predictions. This month should be interesting, and with today's announcement of a $100 price cut for 3DS, we can start to see how accurate the console predictions are. And it looks interesting...
One more thing- I've been VERY busy these past couple months, and I'll be leaving the site come this weekend. So my apologies for this.
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PREDICTIONS ARE NOW CLOSED