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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict 2019 Japanese Sales (PS4/Switch Only)

LGBTDBZBBQ on 08 January 2020

Final number is here.

Switch - 4.49m
PS4 - 1.19m



Green098 on 08 January 2020
Green098 said:

Nintendo Switch:

4.5 million

PS4:

1.6 million

I was on the ball with Switch at least.



Jranation on 08 January 2020
Jranation said:
Jranation said:
Switch: 4.5M
PS4: 1.3M

Sounds like I will be close to both of them. PS4 probably of by 150k 

Seems like I was very close on both of them! 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

The_Liquid_Laser on 08 January 2020
The_Liquid_Laser said:
drinkandswim said:
Switch 4.5 million
PS4 1.4 Million

That looks about right to me too.

Switch 4.5m
PS4 1.4m

Reality:
Switch - 4.49m
PS4 - 1.19m

Switch - right on the money!  Only off by 2%, basically because I rounded.
PS4 - I was far too optimistic about the PS4. Reality was 15% lower than I expected.

Goodbye PS4.  Seems like Japan is through with you.  



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

LGBTDBZBBQ on 15 January 2020

New thread for a new year prediction?



Bofferbrauer2 on 15 January 2020
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Switch: 4.35M

PS4: 1.35M

I'm pretty sure the Switch'es baseline will be several K above last year, pretty much not dropping below 40K and half the time selling above 50K, with Pokemon giving a similar boost to holiday sales (less high, but spread over more weeks) as did Smash.

For the PS4, I fear the baseline will drop further and a steep drop incoming 1-2 weeks after KH3 release. PS4 won't get nearly the same boost with KH3 as it got last year with MHW and an even lower baseline means the lines spread out more and more.

Bit too low on Switch, bit too high on the PS4, but not too far away in each case. Also, I feel like I was spot on with my reasons.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/