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Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD 2017 predictions thread

 

Which console will win the month

NSW 28 30.11%
 
PS4 52 55.91%
 
XB1 13 13.98%
 
Total:93
Pavolink on 02 December 2017

[PS4] 1500K
[NSW] 800K
[XB1] 1000K



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


takoyaki7 on 02 December 2017

[PS4] 1450k
[XB1] 1200k

[NSW]1100k



jason1637 on 02 December 2017
VideoGameAccountant said:
tak13 said:
Cyber Monday is in December npd...

What's the cutoff then? Thanksgiving was early this year so I would think that it would fall in there, or do they not track the last week of the month?

Saturday after black friday.



VideoGameAccountant on 02 December 2017
jason1637 said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

What's the cutoff then? Thanksgiving was early this year so I would think that it would fall in there, or do they not track the last week of the month?

Saturday after black friday.

So would it be Oct 29th - Nov 24. Do I have that right?

Last edited by VideoGameAccountant - on 02 December 2017

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jason1637 on 02 December 2017
VideoGameAccountant said:
jason1637 said:

Saturday after black friday.

So would it be Oct 29th - Nov 24. Do I have that right?

Oct 29th- Nov 25th



VideoGameAccountant on 03 December 2017
jason1637 said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

So would it be Oct 29th - Nov 24. Do I have that right?

Oct 29th- Nov 25th

Thanks for clearing that up!

Rather than editing my original post, I'll just revise my prediction here. I still think Nintendo Switch will come out on top. Here is some data from Fox

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/11/26/black-friday-sets-online-sales-record-shoppers-spend-up-to-1m-per-minute.html

Online sales at the 100 largest U.S. Web retailers totaled approximately $7.9 billion on Black Friday and Thanksgiving, marking a nearly 18 percent increase from 2016, according to Adobe Analytics, the research arm of software company Adobe.

Retail analytic firm ShopperTrak said that preliminary data indicate a 1.6 percent decline in foot traffic to retail stores on Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday, although the decline on Black Friday was less than 1 percent.

With Adobe putting the Switch as the top-selling product on Black Friday and Thanksgiving, I think the growth of online sales may give it the edge. There is also the fact that Switch will probably outsell the other system outside of the Black Friday weekend as well. Also, the NPD would start on the Sunday after Mario Odyssey releases, some of the hardware sales made during October (actual month, not NPD) may carry over to November. 

In fairness, I'd say it's about 50-50, and I'm less confident than my original projection. If the PS4 comes out on top, it would mean it's in-store sales were better than Switch's online sales. I expect Switch will win December based on what I said about Cyber Monday (among other factors). 



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quickrick on 08 December 2017

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.



acdcste on 08 December 2017
quickrick said:
PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

Is every post you write antagonistic? I think you have a Nintendo problem my friend. Let’s wait till those pesky official numbers come out next week eh?



quickrick on 08 December 2017
Shadow1980 said:
I was pretty damn close with my PS4 & XBO predictions. Almost everyone, including myself, way overshot the Switch, though. I guess it was over-represented on Amazon, which showed a very close month as of the last day of NPD tracking. Still, not bad considering no BF deals.

not me ;)



TheBlackNaruto on 08 December 2017
acdcste said:
quickrick said:
PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

Is every post you write antagonistic? I think you have a Nintendo problem my friend. Let’s wait till those pesky official numbers come out next week eh?

I thought we had numbers already....



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