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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii Sales: 2010 vs. 2009 AND 2008 (in the spirit of Crazzyman and trestres)

The drop for the Wii last year in March I believe was the non-existence of hardware moving games. This year we have NSMB Wii, wich is doing wonders, but I don't now how far it still can take the Wii. Maybe Monter Hunter Tri will be surprise hit, otherwise, I don't see much comming until the year ends. Of couse we're in the beggining of the year, and can't take much conclusion yet, so we just have to wait.



Above: still the best game of the year.

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I think "lag" is the most delightful version of the answer so far. So succinct!



I think wii will have a weaker Q1 stronger Q2 and 3 and a weaker Q4

Weaker Q1 because last year wii was supply constrained in the holidays and demand was still very high for it this year the holidays saw massive wii numbers so almost everyone that wanted one as a present had one which will affect this quarters sales

Q2 and 3 will be a little stronger because last year was really bad ,in my opinion the recession had a big part on that, people were really scared at the time and superfluous spending was kept to a minimum and that affected not only the wii but almost all electronic devices

Q4 will be weaker because there will be massive competition from both HD consoles new control methods, that will place both consoles more in the same league as the wii, a TOY and that's the greatest advantage the wii has over both HD consoles, its viewed more has a toy compared to the HD consoles that are seen as tech devices ,not to mention the obvious price cuts they will both have to keep tracking close to the wii

Thats my view of the year for the wii, in the end it will be a similar year in sales totals give or take a million but will most likelly sell in a diferent way trough out the year



Khuutra said:
I'm not quite sure what made Q1 so strong last year. Anybody have any theories?

NPD lowballed the Wii last December and made up for it across January and February.



Demotruk said:
Khuutra said:
I'm not quite sure what made Q1 so strong last year. Anybody have any theories?

Lag.

Excitement was already dying for the Wii in late 08, we just didn't notice it as the sales were still up YoY. If we were looking at the margin they were up compared to early 08, it would be plain to see. Evergreen titles cause changes in overall sales to lag behind the actual releases (when they release, it takes time for them to influence sales overall). The lack of hit Christmas 08 titles caused the decline to begin in Q1 09. We only notice it getting really bad in Q2 09, but it was happening in Q1 as you can see in this chart that I bring up way too often:

 

no the wii was supply constrained at the end of 08, that's why sales were down.  Sales at the beginning of 09 were especially high because of the supply constrains at the end of 08. Supply hadn't caught up with demand yet.  The only place where that is true is in Japan.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

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Wii sales for Q1,2 and 3 in 2010 will be up on the same quarters for both 2008 and 2009. But Q4 2010 could be down on both Q4 for 2008 and 2009 due to the impact of the Wii price cut having worn off. Q4 2010 Wii sales may be equal to 2008 Q4 Wii sales. Up on Q4 2009 Wii sales? Maybe if another Wii price cut is implamented.



We had some very major adjustments this week, ladies! But they were not, to the best of my knowledge, for the Wii. My job remains as easy as ever!

 

Wii 2010 numbers for the week ending January 23rd:

Weekly Total
325,311
1,155,062

Wii numbers continue to be strong, though I remember 2009 being bigger. Reports suggest that we may be having some hardware shortages at this time!?

 

Wii 2009 numbers for the week ending January 24th:

Weekly Total
438,060 1,165,781

Wii is DOWN 10,719 (0.92%) over the same time in 2009. =(((((((((((( That was fast!

 

Wii 2008 numbers for the week ending January 19th:

Weekly Total
266,709 879,220

Wii is UP 275,842 (31.37%) over the same time in 2008. =)))))))))))))

 

All right, what we're seeing here is a sales pattern that's actually fairly similar to 2008 rather than 2009. Given that the Wii has three enormous evergreen titles to be carrying it on its back right now, I'm tempted to blame hardware shortages, but that may be a bit premature. Anybody want to ask Brett what he thinks?



I expect Wii sales to peak in 2010 to be honest.

There's too much awesome titles for it releasing...



Bamboleo said:
I expect Wii sales to peak in 2010 to be honest.

There's too much awesome titles for it releasing...

That'd be the.... third year with over 20 million units sold? If it peaked this year then it would probably manage at least 20 million more in 2011.

You're predicting something really, really huge for the little white box.



Khuutra said:

We had some very major adjustments this week, ladies! But they were not, to the best of my knowledge, for the Wii. My job remains as easy as ever!

 

Wii 2010 numbers for the week ending January 23rd:

Weekly Total
325,311
1,155,062

Wii numbers continue to be strong, though I remember 2009 being bigger. Reports suggest that we may be having some hardware shortages at this time!?

 

Wii 2009 numbers for the week ending January 10th:

Weekly Total
438,060 1,165,781

Wii is DOWN 10,719 (0.92%) over the same time in 2009. =(((((((((((( That was fast!

 

Wii 2008 numbers for the week ending January 05th:

Weekly Total
266,709 879,220

Wii is UP 275,842 (31.37%) over the same time in 2008. =)))))))))))))

 

All right, what we're seeing here is a sales pattern that's actually fairly similar to 2008 rather than 2009. Given that the Wii has three enormous evergreen titles to be carrying it on its back right now, I'm tempted to blame hardware shortages, but that may be a bit premature. Anybody want to ask Brett what he thinks?

 Shouldn't it be Wii 2009 numbers for the week ending January 24th and Wii 2008 numbers for the week ending January 19th?