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I think wii will have a weaker Q1 stronger Q2 and 3 and a weaker Q4

Weaker Q1 because last year wii was supply constrained in the holidays and demand was still very high for it this year the holidays saw massive wii numbers so almost everyone that wanted one as a present had one which will affect this quarters sales

Q2 and 3 will be a little stronger because last year was really bad ,in my opinion the recession had a big part on that, people were really scared at the time and superfluous spending was kept to a minimum and that affected not only the wii but almost all electronic devices

Q4 will be weaker because there will be massive competition from both HD consoles new control methods, that will place both consoles more in the same league as the wii, a TOY and that's the greatest advantage the wii has over both HD consoles, its viewed more has a toy compared to the HD consoles that are seen as tech devices ,not to mention the obvious price cuts they will both have to keep tracking close to the wii

Thats my view of the year for the wii, in the end it will be a similar year in sales totals give or take a million but will most likelly sell in a diferent way trough out the year