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Forums - Sales Discussion - Gran Turismo 5 sales in NA ?

GuyDuke on 19 January 2010
Hus said:
guiduc said:
The previous Gran Turismo iteration sold around 10.5 million lifetime. Gran Turismo 4 was released on February 22th, 2005, while the userbase of the PS2 was about nearly 85 million according to
http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=PS2&reg1=All&cons2=GC&reg2=All&cons3=XB&reg3=All&start=38039&end=38417&weekly=1

If the tendency keeps up, and considering this is the best-selling franchise for Sony... just take a look at GT5 Prologue...

http://www.vgchartz.com/games/game.php?id=6972&region=All

You can see there's a keen interest in Europe. Considering the small userbase the PS3 have (likely 34 million when GT5 will launch) versus the 85 million PS2 when GT4 launched, I think, more likely, that it will sell more in Europe, and LTD about 7 million GT5.

3,5 millions Europe
800 000 Japan
2,7 million Americas

Ok you did some reserch so a good post.  But he GT4 user base argument is flawed as hell and has been destroyed. 

 

GT3 released on a tiny 12m user base, sold 14.7 million.  

- PS3s user base will in no way hurt GT5 sales. (MW2 did 9 million in what 10 weeks, came out on 34m 360 user base)

- You need to look in at the differance between the first GT of the Gen and the second.  First of a gen GT has historically sold better regardless that the second one had a massive 50 or 80m user base to sell on.

GT5p is nearing 5 million (with psn) dude, just saying. 

 

Did you lose your VGmoney on a bet? :P



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Hus on 19 January 2010
guiduc said:

Did you lose your VGmoney on a bet? :P

nope.



Chairman-Mao on 19 January 2010

I'd say 4-5 million in USA, then another 5-6 in Europe/Others, and 1-2 million in Japan.

I'm calling it now 10m minimum. Of course that will take a couple years after release.



psrock on 19 January 2010
Hus said:
psrock said:
Hus said:
psrock said:
 

GT is popular in Others, not as big NA. It won't reach those numbers.

Based on what ? seriously what.

 

The highest selling first party game in NA hasnt passed 2 million yet.

highest non GT seller on PS2 was 2.4million, so not that far of.  Also the highest sellers were Socom and GoW.  With nether yet getting full release on PS3.  Current NA scea sales mean nothing negative to potential GT5sales.

Racing games have lost popularity in that region

Prove they lost any popularity at all.  You cant casue comparing other racing game sales show shit all as they never held any relevance to GT sales.

It's not Call Of Duty

HAlo GTA MArio arent COD either, yahh low sellers casue they not COD lmao.

PS3 is in third place

Irrelevant.   Top franchsies still sold great on xbox GC N64 even though they were not the best selling console. 

Need more..............

Yahh, but i need something relevent and intelligent.

 

 

What makes you believe this game is going to sell so much in NA?

That's what confuses me, espacially when the last one did not.

GT will sell well in NA, but 4-5 million is just insane.

Day after day, I see this game selling just 8 million total.

 



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Fei-Hung on 19 January 2010

given what gt5 will bring to fans of cars; nascar, wrc, over 1000 cars including the new supra, *top gear track, weather, damage and the ability to share lap viedeos, i would say:

europe: 4million (thanks to top gear)
japan: 1million
americas:2million

* top gear has over 350millions viewers world wide

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Top_Gear_%282002_TV_series%29

if polyphony put in rthe tracktimes for the celebs and stigs, i think top gear will sell the following amounts:

europe: 5.5million
japan: 1.5milllion
americas: 3million

also, unlike gt4, gt5 will be the 1st proper full real driving simulator released on the console similar to gt3 on the ps2. i wouldnt be surprised if it does similar numbers!



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Hus on 20 January 2010
psrock said:

 

What makes you believe this game is going to sell so much in NA?

That's what confuses me, espacially when the last one did not.

GT will sell well in NA, but 4-5 million is just insane.

Day after day, I see this game selling just 8 million total.

 

Cause its getting the features NA wanted in previous GTs.

Its been explained plenty times, by me. 

Prior to GT4 release PD cut GT4 online mode, pissed of NA players quite a lot since it was a feature promised to them.  It tanked GT4 sales in NA.  Lack of damage which was long rumored also hurt, many overlooked it for GT3 but GT4 was to have all the feature it missed.

Online and damage are mostly NA wants, PD said them sels European and Asian player want more care more tracks and more realism.

NAs have been whining for online and damage and they are getting it.

 

Its not rocket science, its giving people what they always wanted.

 

Depending on what happens on Top Gear during GT5s release, it can go on to sale your 8 million in Europe alone. 



Shoestar on 20 January 2010

I think with the User Base Japan will have when GT5 is released, Japan will probably have 2.1m sales within the first months. Europe should have sales of 5m Within the first months and US should be around 4mil.

I think GT5 will have little trouble passing 10m units sold.



I am a Gamer... I play games and not consoles. I have a PC and Console on which I game... I like games. End of Story!

Bullet100000 on 20 January 2010

Americas ~ 3.5 mil

Others - 4.5 mil

Japan - 1.5 mil

WW LTD ~ 9.5 mil



*Al Bundy's My Hero*

 

*Al Bundy For President*

Waiting On GT7!!!

 PSN ID: Acidfacekiller

saicho on 20 January 2010
Shoestar said:
I think with the User Base Japan will have when GT5 is released, Japan will probably have 2.1m sales within the first months. Europe should have sales of 5m Within the first months and US should be around 4mil.

I think GT5 will have little trouble passing 10m units sold.

so you are saying GT5 will be over 10 mil after released WW for one month.

I'm willing to bet that it's not gonna happen. It will fall short of the numbers you posted in all regions after first month.

I'm even willing to bet that GT5 will not even hit 2.1 mil in Japan lifetime.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

Shoestar on 20 January 2010
saicho said:
Shoestar said:
I think with the User Base Japan will have when GT5 is released, Japan will probably have 2.1m sales within the first months. Europe should have sales of 5m Within the first months and US should be around 4mil.

I think GT5 will have little trouble passing 10m units sold.

so you are saying GT5 will be over 10 mil after released WW for one month.

I'm willing to bet that it's not gonna happen. It will fall short of the numbers you posted in all regions after first month.

I'm even willing to bet that GT5 will not even hit 2.1 mil in Japan lifetime.

Nope... but I'm saying you probably need to learn to read :P I said first months not first month. GT5 will have sales spanning over years... maybe 3-4 years(36-48months). Relatively speaking, First months could be 4-6months after release. :) 



I am a Gamer... I play games and not consoles. I have a PC and Console on which I game... I like games. End of Story!