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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan PRE-ORDER Chartz Thread - Will Be Updated Daily!

jarrod on 04 May 2010
Hero_time88 said:
jarrod said:
outlawauron said:
jarrod said:
thelalaby said:
jarrod said:
thelalaby said:
jarrod said:
thelalaby said:
no big releases for a while... and I don't expect Galaxy to sell more than 200k in its opening week. 200k is the best case scenario for the game IMO

With 500-600k in the first shipment?  No chance it's that low, and honestly could be as high as 400k.  Should rather easily be the best selling console game for Q2.

 

Nintendo said they're shipping 500k-600k first week?

No, that's what the JP retail blogs are saying.  For reference Galaxy 1 sold ~260k 1st week.

 

Oh, alright. And I change my prediction to 300k instead of 200k, with that said I expect Galaxy 2 to sell less than Galaxy 1 lifetime (in Japan that is).

I agree that lifetime will probably be lower than Galaxy 1's million (though YSO predicts a million shipped).  Still, the game's going to move over 800k before it drops off the charts.  It may actually be the biggest console seller launching this year, and is guaranteed to the biggest new release for the first half.

If GT5 actually releases, it'll be interesting to see how the two will do.

Yeah, GT5 could go either way imo.  I get the feeling Sony's going to heavily bundle the game (like they did GT5P, which essentially doubled it's sales for "free") but there's a lot of variables in there.   I feel pretty safe in saying both Galaxy 2 and GT5 will be in the same territory (800k-1m).

The only other contenders are DQM Battle Road Wii (which could also go either way... stall out around 500k or cruise past a million) and if it can release this year FF versus XIII (probably around a million, 900k at worst).  Zelda's a wildcard too, but it's coming so late in the year most likely that I doubt it'll get enough sales upfront to be a real contender.

You expect to what essentially is a main-entry in the series despite it's name, to sell half of what FFXIII did? I think it will sell about the same as FFXIII, maybe even better if the word of mouth is more positive, but then again we have only seen one cut-scene and a couple of CGI trailers and you are putting in the same league as Dissidia and Crisis Core.

I said "around" a million, 900k is more worst case scenario (and is 100k more than Crisis Core managed btw).  I expect it to sell basically like a Kingdom Hearts (say 1-1.2m) and I'd say it's probably more comparable to X-2 than anything else in the FF line really.  Essentially a main entry in all but name (and sales).



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Hero_time88 on 04 May 2010

It depends on the perception that the fans have/ will have of it.

You have the high profile spin-offs like Dissidia and Crisis Core, the ones that are done with a lower budget like Crystal Chronicles or the Tactics games which appeal to less people and the remakes/ ports which seem to sell based on when the last version of it came and the added content.

FFX-2 kinda falls between a main-entry and a high profile spin-off so yeah, I kind of agree that it is the one most comparable to FFvsXIII. I disagree with your sales estimates though, but then again what do we really know about the game?



trestres on 05 May 2010

5/5 (2 days)

1. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd - 350pt (+24)
2. [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 - 97pt
3. [PSP] Hatsune Miku-Project DIVA-2nd - 86pt
4. [NDS] Harvest Moon: Twin Villages - 80pt
5. [PSP] Fate/Extra (Limited Edition) - 75pt
6. [PS3] Final Fantasy Versus XIII - 73pt
7. [Wii] Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 72pt (+5)
8. [NDS] Super Robot Wars OG Saga - 67pt
9. [360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online - 54pt
10. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3 World Challenge! Spark - 38pt
11. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3 World Challenge! Bomber - 38pt
12. [PS3] Sengoku Basara 3 - 37pt
13. [PS3] Lost Planet 2 - 33pt
14. [PSP] Fullmetal Alchemist to the date of appointment - 30pt
15. [NDS] Love Plus + - 28pt
16. [NDS] Medabots DS: Kabuto Version- 17pt
17. [PS3] BlazBlue Continuum Shift (Limited Edition) - 23pt
18. [PS3] Metal Gear Solid Rising - 20pt
19. [PSP] Hakuouki: Yuugi Roku (Limited Edition) - 19pt
20. [PSP] Monster Hunter Diary: Poka Poka Airu Village - 17pt


PSP - 6
PS3 - 6
NDS - 6
360 - 1
Wii - 1
PS2 - 0



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

02468 on 06 May 2010

LEPTON TOP 30 Pre-Orders
Updated: 2010/05/06

01. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd (Capcom) - 2246 (+252)
02. [PS3] Final Fantasy Versus XIII (Square Enix) - 371 (-229)
03. [NDS] Pokemon Black (Pokemon Co.) - 351 (+107)
04. [NDS] Pokemon White (Pokemon Co.) - 294 (+65)
05. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 206 (+26)
06. [NDS] Harvest Moon: Twin Village (Marvelous) - 195
07. [PSP] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva 2nd (Sega) - 176 (+42)
08. [NDS] Super Robot Taisen OG Saga: The Lord of Elemental (Bandai Namco) - 176 (+12)
09. [PSP] Final Fantasy Agito XIII (Square Enix) - 172 (-126)
10. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd [Limited Edition] (Capcom) - 157 (+4)
11. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge [Spark] (Level 5) - 134 (+16)
12. [PSP] Monster Hunter Diary: Poka Poka Airu Village (Capcom) - 126 (+4)
13. [PS3] Sengoku Basara 3 (Capcom) - 122 (+19)
14. [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 (SCE) - 107 (-107)
15. [PSP] Fate/Extra [Limited Edition] (Marvelous) - 107 (+4)
16. [360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online [Beginner's Pack] (Capcom) - 96 (+8)
17. [PS3] Another Century's Episode: R (Bandai Namco) - 92 (+39)
18. [PS3] Lost Planet 2 (Capcom) - 80 (+23)
19. [NDS] Professor Layton and the Miracle Mask (Level 5) - 76 (+7)
20. [NDS] Tokimeki Memorial Girl's Side 3rd Story (Konami) - 76 (+3)
21. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge [Bomber] (Level 5) - 76 (+19)
22. [PS3] Final Fantasy XIV (Square Enix) - 61 (+4)
23. [NDS] Love Plus + (Capcom) - 57
24. [360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online (Capcom) - 57 (+4)
25. [PS3] BlazBlue Continuum Shift [Limited Edition] (Arc System Works) - 57
26. [PS3] Metal Gear Solid: Rising (Konami) - 53 (-50)
27. [PS3] White Album: The Winter Memories We Make [Limited Edition] (Aqua Plus) - 50
28. [PS3] The Last Remnant (Square Enix) - 46 (-27)
29. [NDS] Ni no Kuni (Level 5) - 46
30. [WII] Dragon Quest X (Square Enix) - 46 (-7)

PS3 - 10
NDS - 10
PSP - 6
WII - 2
360 - 2



--OkeyDokey-- on 06 May 2010

I'm curious... how many points did NSMB Wii accumulate before launch?



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rccsetzer on 06 May 2010

Where is Xenoblade? This is sad



Sh1nn on 06 May 2010
--OkeyDokey-- said:
I'm curious... how many points did NSMB Wii accumulate before launch?

1072pt



kopstudent89 on 06 May 2010

Wow alot of preorders have been canceled in the Lepton charts(especially FFvs ). But as expected SMG rising steadily as it has been the past few weeks



MANUELF on 06 May 2010

Pokemon is skyrocketing on Lepton, this last quarter will be epic in a handheld proportion(Pokemon Black/White Vs Monster Hunter 3 Portable)



GuyDuke on 06 May 2010
MANUELF said:
Pokemon is skyrocketing on Lepton, this last quarter will be epic in a handheld proportion(Pokemon Black/White Vs Monster Hunter 3 Portable)

Pocket Monsters VS Monsters!