RE5 Gold Edition will be bundled with the Move and the PSEye, so I guess sales will be good.

PSMove isn't a game, but it will influence Japanese sales, as long as it's not a tragic bomb, the starter pack though will probably sell more than 200k, again if Move isn't a failure.

I thnik both Front Mission and Mindjack can reach respectable sales (100k or more) Mainly because they are SE games and most recently western games published by SE have been having good performances, I think the PS3 has a big enough western games hungry userbase for it to happen, same with RDR.

I wouldn't dismiss EyePet that fast, as it's another way to purchase the PSEye users have and it will probably work like Wii Play or WSR, of course with much lower sales, but 100k will prbably be an easy goal for it.

About the rest you are probably right, they will fall short of 100k. As for Deca Sports 3 and Family Trainer, like you said, the sequels have sold way less than the originals, and this time they will sell probably even worse.

RE5 one of like 3 Move/Eye bundles though.  And the only one of a previously released game, that's already been released twice, and already collectively sold like 750k.  That's why I chiefly see it not doing all that much, almost anyone who wants it already has it.  Besides, it's not really a 'new' release, and if we want to go down that road, something like Wii Party will probably sell dramatically more in Move's first several weeks.

Front Mission will be lucky to break 50k imo, the franchise is already on life support.  FM2089 on DS totally bombed, and FM1st DS didn't do all that hot either... and those were actually SRPGs, by the original team and not some outsourced western dev house.  I just don't see things going well for Evolved in Japan.   And Mindjack is a shooter, from feelplus, a company who's never had a game pass 100k.  Just because some western games took off in Japan, doesn't man these will.  And if you look at the western games that did (GTA4, COD4, Oblivion, etc), ask yourself how well they did in the west, then how well do you expect Evolved and Mindjack to do in the west... these things aren't exactly unrelated...

I did overlook Eyepet though, that's one I could see taking off if handled right.

Yes, I agree now with most of it. I've made a list of upcoming games from 3rd party Japanese publishers exclusively. Feel free to give me your opinion, they are in order of sales potential (the 100k plus sellers only, the others nah). I will keep that one updated as well as I can. I might be missing some games though and some publishers may not be correct.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3248664

I'd include a 3rd "maybe 100k" category for stuff that could really go either way, and put the following in there...

PlayStation 3

• Marvel vs. Capcom 3: Fate of Two Worlds (Capcom) TVC did under 100k, SF4 barely exceeded 100k
• Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) Disgaea 3 did under 100k
• Dead Rising 2 (Capcom) Dead Rising 1 did under 100k (albeit on 360), developed by filthy gaijun
• Trinity Zill O'll Zero (Tecmo-Koei) Zill O'll PSP did under 100k
• Dragon Ball Z: Raging Blast 2 (Namco-Bandai) DBZRB1 baredly exceeded 100k
• Naruto: Ultimate Ninja Storm 2 (Namco-Bandai) Naruto UNS1 did under 100k, now multiplatform
• Vanquish (Sega) Bayonetta did over 100k, Mikami's rep is pretty good
• Time Crisis: Razing Storm (Namco-Bandai) Move/Eye bundle may push it
• Red Dead Revolver (Rockstar Games) just confirmed for Japan, maybe appeal to GTA market 

Wii

• Earth Seeker (Kadowkawa Shoten) First MoHun clone on Wii, huge Famitsu push guaranteed

trestres said:

VGC has Disgaea 3 at 110k, Tat vs Cap at 100k (Wii), SF4 at 140k, SSF4 at 150k, DB: Raging Blast at 110k, Naruto Ultimate Ninja Storm 2 at >90k, Dead Rising at >80k (on 360). Trinity might go either way (60k on PSP >100k on PS).

Vanquish seems doubtful, but I agree Mikami has a good reputation. RDR should sell decently, Time Crisis could do it, but the bundle is too expensive IMO. Earth Seeker may not do it, I don't think it will go over Xenoblade's sales.

Tekken 7 was already announced to be in development by Namco this year if I'm not mistaken. The Basseball games will undoubtedly still appear on PS3 next year considering the sales of this years iterations, no way Konami will only make 3DS versions considering how much they milk their franchises, but Wii versions will probably not be made anymore.