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Forums - Sales Discussion - Analyst NPD Preview: Nintendo Owns December

Weird how Wedbush predicted a big difference between PSP and PS2, yet EEDAR reckons they'll be even.



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fwap said:

January 11, 2010 - Expect this past Holiday's sales results to be dominated by Nintendo.

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter passed along his monthly NPD U.S. preview for December 2009, and estimated Nintendo sold nearly six million pieces of hardware between the Wii and DS.

Nintendo announced earlier this month the Wii sold over three million units over the Holiday, up from 2.15 the previous year.

PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 are expected to be close, with he PS3 taking second place. Going forward, Pachter believes both consoles will receive yet another price cut this summer, and we'll see the introduction of a 250 GB Xbox 360 SKU.

"We think that the PS3 may slightly outsell the Xbox 360 in December, due to significant advertising during the holidays," he wrote. "We expect another price cut for both systems some time this year (around summer), but note that because its manufacturing costs are lower, Microsoft has the ability to lower price as early as March or April."

"At a minimum, we anticipate the introduction of a more feature-packed Xbox 360 in early 2010 (likely with a 250Gb hard drive) at the same $299 price point, and think that Microsoft will cut price early in the year only if it begins to lose significant market share to Sony."

On the software side for December, Call of Duty Modern Warfare 2 is estimated to sell over two million units. Nintendo's The Legend of Zelda Spirit Tracks coming in with 700,000 units, and EA's The Saboteur selling 125,000. Guitar Hero: Van Halen, meanwhile, is coming in at a lowly 75,000 copies for December.

Below is the hardware sales projections for December 2009:

Wedbush Morgan Securities

Wii- 3,200,000
PS3 - 1,400,000
Xbox 360 - 1,350,000
PS2 - 350,000
PSP - 650,000
DS - 2,450,000

Below is Electronic Entertainment Design and Research's hardware estimates for comparison:

EEDAR

Wii - 3,000,000
PS3 - 1,450,000
Xbox 360 - 1,490,000
PS2 - 350,000
PSP - 350,000
DS - 2,800,000

NPD is expected to release its official numbers on January 14.

 

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http://xbox360.ign.com/articles/105/1059910p1.html

Evidence speaks for itself....



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

Rath said:
PSP estimates are hugely different, nearly 50% apart. Also DS difference is very significant...

just sad so sad...starting to see the demise of the psp...hopefully it can make a comeback...like the ps3



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

Xoj said:
wait wat? ps3 won december wat wat? even shortgages, though both are around 10% so its impossible to know

360 watch out the turtle is catching up with you...lol



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

leo-j said:
wow if PSP only sells 350k........

It would also be interesting if the PS3 does end up outselling the 360 in the NPD

I believe it will this year..the 360 and the ps3 are starting to evenly match up...price wise and many other things...but trust Ps3 wins the race...



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

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sully1311 said:
360 will outsell ps3 again.

wtf?  I don't think so...unless they have another price drop...but I really doubt it...



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

llewdebkram said:
I notice in both wii outsells the other 2 combined.

Sells will begin to drop drastically on he wii....it was only up b/c of the holidays...look at the sells b 4 the holidays...PS3 was in control



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

gamefreak4ever said:
llewdebkram said:
I notice in both wii outsells the other 2 combined.

Sells will begin to drop drastically on he wii....it was only up b/c of the holidays...look at the sells b 4 the holidays...PS3 was in control

lol this is some funny ass shit x)



Maynard_Tool said:
gamefreak4ever said:
llewdebkram said:
I notice in both wii outsells the other 2 combined.

Sells will begin to drop drastically on he wii....it was only up b/c of the holidays...look at the sells b 4 the holidays...PS3 was in control

lol this is some funny ass shit x)

i know. Im still amazed people even bother commentating on the wii sales to be honest. Good or bad. Its just monumental and a phenomenon. Its not even fun or interesting anymore.



Console Monthly Total
wii 3,461,999
ds 3,356,677
360 1,581,275
ps3 1,325,909
psp 700,823
ps3 427,284

This VGCHARTZ December numbers, it clearly shows 360 outselling the PS3, so what is so shocking?



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