fwap said:
January 11, 2010 - Expect this past Holiday's sales results to be dominated by Nintendo.
Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter passed along his monthly NPD U.S. preview for December 2009, and estimated Nintendo sold nearly six million pieces of hardware between the Wii and DS.
Nintendo announced earlier this month the Wii sold over three million units over the Holiday, up from 2.15 the previous year.
PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 are expected to be close, with he PS3 taking second place. Going forward, Pachter believes both consoles will receive yet another price cut this summer, and we'll see the introduction of a 250 GB Xbox 360 SKU.
"We think that the PS3 may slightly outsell the Xbox 360 in December, due to significant advertising during the holidays," he wrote. "We expect another price cut for both systems some time this year (around summer), but note that because its manufacturing costs are lower, Microsoft has the ability to lower price as early as March or April."
"At a minimum, we anticipate the introduction of a more feature-packed Xbox 360 in early 2010 (likely with a 250Gb hard drive) at the same $299 price point, and think that Microsoft will cut price early in the year only if it begins to lose significant market share to Sony."
On the software side for December, Call of Duty Modern Warfare 2 is estimated to sell over two million units. Nintendo's The Legend of Zelda Spirit Tracks coming in with 700,000 units, and EA's The Saboteur selling 125,000. Guitar Hero: Van Halen, meanwhile, is coming in at a lowly 75,000 copies for December.
Below is the hardware sales projections for December 2009:
Wedbush Morgan Securities
Wii- 3,200,000
PS3 - 1,400,000
Xbox 360 - 1,350,000
PS2 - 350,000
PSP - 650,000
DS - 2,450,000
Below is Electronic Entertainment Design and Research's hardware estimates for comparison:
EEDAR
Wii - 3,000,000
PS3 - 1,450,000
Xbox 360 - 1,490,000
PS2 - 350,000
PSP - 350,000
DS - 2,800,000
NPD is expected to release its official numbers on January 14.
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http://xbox360.ign.com/articles/105/1059910p1.html
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