Khuutra said:
I'll bet control of my avatar for a year against control of yours for a month. @psrock: Listen, I'm not as qualified to speak on that stuff |
Wha-? Sacrifice this awesome Teddie avatar while you could lose only that ugly cartoon Ganon? No way dude!
| haxxiy said: @ Kantor - Gow I & II are one of the most pirated titles to ever release. I expect a large boost from Others as PS3 is unhackable. I expect both HH and AW will be buried by the ealry 2010 avalanche which MW2 is to blame. But maybe I'm understimating Zelda Wii potential in the Americas? mmm. This could possibly hack up my prediction by a million or so. Still the series are dropping in Japan like a rock, so it is hard to say, honestly... Oh, and there is no reason to keep a console like the PSP running, honestly. The DS will still be selling heaps, but Nintendo will release it's sucessor to avoid early PSP-2 domination which is quite dangerous. You should expect them to have learned the N64/GC lesson by now. Still this is going the way I like. The predictions are daring and polemical. Bring the discussions! |
GoW: Yes, the games were heavily pirated, which is why I predict 3.5-4 million. More than GoW1, and significantly more than GoWII. But, there's only so much the game can sell. Hack and slash isn't a huge genre, and GoW isn't a huge series.
Heavy Rain and Alan Wake (particularly Heavy Rain) aren't exactly games which people would think "Hey, that looks good" in a game store and buy. They are games that people would know about and be excited for, and buy no matter what. Not very many people, mind you, but some.
Zelda: It will sell less in Japan, probably, but in the West it should sell just fine.
The PSP is profitable, and it still sells hardware, and software in Japan. I could understand a PSP-2 this year, but we won't be seeing a new handheld from Ninty until 2013 at the earliest, I say. Unless by DS-2 you mean something like the DSi or DS Lite, or the GBA SP. Yes, that's very likely. Almost certain.
WE NEED MORE PREDICTORS, especially some who are as daring as haxxiy. Remember, nobody will praise you for getting an obvious prediction right, but if you manage a Leo-J or a Squilliam... (interestingly, they're both terrible at predicting, but both have one fantastic prediction).
(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective 
I'll predict that Wii will top off this year at a nice, round 20 million.
PS3 and 360 should hold mostly steady, but they could surprise me.
Let's see now
2010 end:
Wii - 85 million
360 - 47.5 million
PS3 - 44 million
DS - 148 million
PSP - 63 million
I predict that Zelda Wii's launch week total will break one million units, and within a year's time it will break 3.6 million.
I predict that Heavy Rain will launch with about 350k units sold, to finish out in the range of 2.1 million after the holidays
Halo Reach will launch smaller than Halo 3 but finish out at about 9 million
New Super Mario Bros. Wii will be the best-selling non-bundled game of the year, including Starcraft II and whatever the new WoW expansion is
Zelda Wii's metacritic score will be the lowest for a main entry console Zelda since Adventure of Link, or possibly ever - after six weeks it will be sitting at, hrm, an 88. It will stay there.
Metroid Other M will be the best-selling game Team Ninja will make for the entire generation, possibly including the last one too.
Valkyria Chronicles will be adjust downward sometime in March, and then adjusted up by one when I buy a copy
Little Big Planet will sell at least 500k copies this year
Natal will be bigger than the GEM, but neither will be as big as the Vitality Sensor
Following this last, Kantor's head will explode
haxxiy said:
Wha-? Sacrifice this awesome Teddie avatar while you could lose only that ugly cartoon Ganon? No way dude! |
Are you so unconfident? Fine. I'll bet a year against your week.
haxxiy said:
Wha-? Sacrifice this awesome Teddie avatar while you could lose only that ugly cartoon Ganon? No way dude! |
See, Khuutra, I'm not the only one who disapproves of your avatar.
It's more quizzical than grumpy. An "O_o" rather than a ">_>", as I've said. CHANGE IT.
(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective
Kantor said:
See, Khuutra, I'm not the only one who disapproves of your avatar. It's more quizzical than grumpy. An "O_o" rather than a ">_>", as I've said. CHANGE IT. |
I'll change it when you buy the Vitality Sensor and talk about it on the podcast
Khuutra said:
Are you so unconfident? Fine. I'll bet a year against your week. |
Boo. You are serious and unfunny.
|
Khuutra said:
Perhaps a little low on the DS; it shows no signs of slowing down. Otherwise, sure.
It will sell better than Cataclysm, without a doubt, better than Starcraft II and WSR...hmmm...
No, but I might make a rant thread, and my head will explode when I'm banned for it |
(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective
| Kantor said: I made this thread last year, and it was reasonably popular. Nobody's made one for this year, so it's a little late, but I'll make it. I'll start off with a few, and add more later on. Everybody feel free to predict and evaluate my predictions, or the predictions of other posters. Predictions can be related to sales, gaming, VGC, anything like that. So, I'll start off with hardware predictions. 1) Wii: 84 million (maybe 78 million) 2) X360: 48 million (probably) 3) PS3: 43.5 million (probably) 4) PSP: 63 million (probably) 5) DS: 155 million (maybe 142 million, DS doesn't have a lot of big releases this year) 6) PS3 will outsell 360 for the year (yes, probably because of Natal and some games like Fable 3, Alan Wake etc) 7) God of War III will launch to over 800k sales. (I don't think so, maybe 500~600k) 8) Heavy Rain will sell under 200k first week (I want to be wrong here) (Yes, I agree, it will sell under 150k first week) 9) Halo Reach will top 3 million first week (Yes, I agree with you) 10) NATAL will perform better than PSMotion/GEM/Whatever it's called (probably) 11) Resistance 3 will launch in 2010's holiday season (probably) 12) FF Versus XIII will not launch in the west in 2010 (no doubts it won't) 13) GT5 will sell around 2.5 million first week (I doubt, it will probably sell less than 1.5 million first week, do you want to make a bet?) 14) GT5 will be the highest-selling PS3 game of the year (I doubt, but it will have the best first week) 15) Halo Reach will be the highest-selling X360 game of the year (easily) 16) Not counting Wii Sports, Wii Sports Resort will be the highest-selling Wii game of the year (I don't know, maybe not) 17) There will be another large update (like VGC 2.0) in the first half of 2010. (I hope not) 18) No PSP games will sell over 3 million units for the year. (yes) 19) FF13 on PS3 will have outsold the 360 version 2:1 by year's end. (probably) 20) The Last Guardian will be the best reviewed game in the series, going by Metacritic (91 to beat) (easily) I'll add more later. |
Khuutra said:
I'll change it when you buy the Vitality Sensor and talk about it on the podcast |
Never!
Make the bet so I can pray for Zelda Wii to fail so we get a year's reprieve from that thing.
(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective
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