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Forums - Sales Discussion - Can PS3 Continue its trend & Sell 14 MILLION in 2010?! ( A deep analysis)

With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.



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Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

saicho said:
Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.

I'm more interested in his signature, his post doesn't match his end of 2010 predictions for PS3.....AT ALL



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.

I'm more interested in his signature, his post doesn't match his end of 2010 predictions for PS3.....AT ALL

o ya... I noticed that too! just forgot to mention it :)



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

saicho said:
darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.

I'm more interested in his signature, his post doesn't match his end of 2010 predictions for PS3.....AT ALL

o ya... I noticed that too! just forgot to mention it :)

yeah sure you did

and please go back to the yoshi avatar!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Personally i think no. I won't bother going into too much detail as have done that in the thread in my sig. But i think people are expecting way too much with GOW sales. There have been higher profile games that have sold far more then GOW and have had little effect on sales this gen. The same can be said with FFXIII. People are forgetting that the game is already out in Japan where it is exclusive. If we look at it's 2nd week totals in Japan i think it put's it near the bottom of opening sales for a final fantasy proper game. The game is multi-platform everywhere else so when that is released you have to say a lot of people who would normally buy a PS3 for the game could go for the 360 version, especially in NA. Meaning the sales that it would of got if it remained exclusive will not happen.

The one remaining game is GT5. If the game is as good as we all hope then it will do very well especially in Japan and here in UK. But as the year goes on towards the end i can't really see anything that has the potential to shift more hardware at the same rate as say GT5.

That is why i think 2009 will be known as PS3's best selling year. I think this year will see the peak of 360 too. And then the gen will just gear up for the next one in the next 3-4 years.
History has shown that the first 3 years are normally the peak. This is not a normal gen so will be interesting to see what happen's.



Sony has to bundle the Gem with each PS3. The Wii does it and Microsoft will do so as well with Natal.
If Sony is serious about its motion control, bundling at $299 this March will happen!



darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.

I'm more interested in his signature, his post doesn't match his end of 2010 predictions for PS3.....AT ALL

Terrible prediction by me. I guess since the numbers we have are still from 2009 I can alter it. Once 2010 hits I won't change it though.

 



14 million will happen



Chairman-Mao said:
darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Chairman-Mao said:
With GT5, GoW3, FF13 (NA & EU), ModNation, maybe a new Killzone or Resistance, Last Guardian, etc. and a full year of $299 price I think it will do 16+ million, let alone 14 million. In December 2010 alone I could easily do 3 million and then 270k/week from Jan to Nov to get to 16 million. Its a tall order but quite possible.

3 million for a 5 week December would actually be a decline from this year and is certainly doable. However, 270K/week from Jan to Nov would be very unlikely. It would be below that level in Feb and other than occational big game releases, I'm not sure how PS3 is going to stay around 270K/week from March to Nov.

I'm more interested in his signature, his post doesn't match his end of 2010 predictions for PS3.....AT ALL

Terrible prediction by me. I guess since the numbers we have are still from 2009 I can alter it. Once 2010 hits I won't change it though.

 

well 2010 has hit though!

change it quickly!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey