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Forums - Sony Discussion - What will be the base hardware sales for all three consoles in 2010?

Dexorosorous said:
i predict a price drop from sony on summer 2010 on their current models to 249, following a new bundle that's priced at 299 with 1 regular controller and 1 motion controller (with the wii-style game package).

microsoft will also counter this price drop which will trigger another unpredictable battle come sept 2010, as microsoft will answer with NATAL. =]

I predict wii to have the same performance at last year, but sales will get reduced once sony's wand drops, and will be further reduced again when microsoft's natal comes in. i predict that the wii vitality sensor won't gather much steam.

we will see holiday 2010 to be the most important holiday ever for all 3 big companies. it will determine if its time for a new generation to start, or if the current generation is sufficient enough to carry on another year or two. 2011 E3, we will start to see the new consoles for the next generation. 2012, microsoft will drop their xbox720 with natal tech. and 2013 we will see the ps4, and wiiHD. =]

I think you need to read a few books if you actually believe the bolded stuff

 

http://www.amazon.com/Innovators-Dilemma-Revolutionary-Business-Essentials/dp/0060521996/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpi_1

http://www.amazon.com/Innovators-Solution-Creating-Sustaining-Successful/dp/1578518520/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpi_3

http://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Whats-Next-Theories-Innovation/dp/1591391857/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpi_5



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Why is this topic in Sony discussion instead of Sales or Gaming? :(

Because 2010 is the year of the PS3 dood!!!!

Just like 2009, no wait that was year of the Wii, then 2008, no wait, Wii again, 2007, no Wii again, 2006, Wii as well

 

Hmmmmmmm...

 

Also I find it funny people think PS3 will fall off less than Wii, hasn't this holiday taught you anything about where PS3 is in relation to the Wii?

Most person does not compare to the Wii because it is clearly not for the same audience.  Once Xbox and PS3 will release their motion controller to gather casual, children as-well as "normal gamer", only then will make sense to compare to Wii sales. Now I wouldnt get in a debate if 360 or PS3 will have a better year tho.



Icyedge said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Why is this topic in Sony discussion instead of Sales or Gaming? :(

Because 2010 is the year of the PS3 dood!!!!

Just like 2009, no wait that was year of the Wii, then 2008, no wait, Wii again, 2007, no Wii again, 2006, Wii as well

 

Hmmmmmmm...

 

Also I find it funny people think PS3 will fall off less than Wii, hasn't this holiday taught you anything about where PS3 is in relation to the Wii?

Most person does not compare to the Wii because it is clearly not for the same audience.  Once Xbox and PS3 will release their motion controller to gather casual, children as-well as "normal gamer", only then will make sense to compare to Wii sales. Now I wouldnt get in a debate if 360 or PS3 will have a better year tho.


Actually it does, you think Wii isn't threatening the PS3 and 360? If that were true, there would be no NATAL and wand, the NATAL and Wand are what Christensen of the Harvard Business school calls an incumbent counterattack, they are trying to fend off the Wii with NATAL and the wand, unfortunately for them, their attempts will fail. This is about the values of the industry, and NATAL and Wand prove that the old values are dying, and this is their last ditch effort to try and co-opt the values of the Wii, unfortunately their motivations and strengths are too different for them to co-opt the Wii. What we are seeing is the midgame of the disruption, after NATAL and the wand fail it'll be over, textbook Christensen.

 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Icyedge said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
saicho said:
Why is this topic in Sony discussion instead of Sales or Gaming? :(

Because 2010 is the year of the PS3 dood!!!!

Just like 2009, no wait that was year of the Wii, then 2008, no wait, Wii again, 2007, no Wii again, 2006, Wii as well

 

Hmmmmmmm...

 

Also I find it funny people think PS3 will fall off less than Wii, hasn't this holiday taught you anything about where PS3 is in relation to the Wii?

Most person does not compare to the Wii because it is clearly not for the same audience.  Once Xbox and PS3 will release their motion controller to gather casual, children as-well as "normal gamer", only then will make sense to compare to Wii sales. Now I wouldnt get in a debate if 360 or PS3 will have a better year tho.


Actually it does, you think Wii isn't threatening the PS3 and 360? If that were true, there would be no NATAL and wand, the NATAL and Wand are what Christensen of the Harvard Business school calls an incumbent counterattack, they are trying to fend off the Wii with NATAL and the wand, unfortunately for them, their attempts will fail. This is about the values of the industry, and NATAL and Wand prove that the old values are dying, and this is their last ditch effort to try and co-opt the values of the Wii, unfortunately their motivations and strengths are too different for them to co-opt the Wii. What we are seeing is the midgame of the disruption, after NATAL and the wand fail it'll be over, textbook Christensen.

I dont think that the Wand and Natal has anything to do with the Wii threatening the other console. Its more like Sony and Microsoft realize that there can be a wider audience with motion control. It doesnt seem like theyre doing this to secure there audience. What they probably want is to have a piece of the casual/kid gamer out there. Or in another word, have something to appeal to non current gamer. They would perfectly be able to sustain their console without it. But im not sure I should argue with you anyway. You have prove times and times again to be particularly unreceptive to others opinions.



^Nope, it is threatening them, see you're not looking at the fact that Sony is swimming in debt and MS is just barely making a profit, that both of them have sunk billions into their systems and have seen no return, that the costs of game development are rising, and that their markets aren't growing fast enough to sustain them. You really think they'll sustain without launching these counterattacks, lol, read their financial reports and those of other companies deving for them, and then you'll see how bad they are doing.



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)