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Forums - Sales - Will the ps3 outsell the wii in japan 2010? and by how much?

 

Will the ps3 outsell the wii in japan 2010? and by how much?

Yes, by a lot! 38 9.84%
 
Yes, by a little 80 20.73%
 
No, by a little 110 28.50%
 
No, by a lot! 158 40.93%
 
Total:386
kopstudent89 said:

To me SMG2 wont drive sales, neither will metroid or RE. However even if Yakuza sells less than SMG, it will lift PS3 sales.

Eh, I don;t see the logic in saying the sequel to Mario Galaxy won't push hardware and in the next breath saying the sequel Yakuza 3 will.  Both series fans already have the platform, why would one drive hardware but not the other?

 

The only legitimate console hardware drivers I see in Q1 are GT5 and (continued) NSMB Wii.  And honestly, NSMBWii might even sell more units itself in Q1 (and 2010 overall) than GT5



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kopstudent89 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
kopstudent89 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
kopstudent89 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
NeoMatrix said:
Yes, by a lot!!!

PS3 in 2010 will have a much better year in terms of software compared to 2009.

So will Wii, therefore, if Wii won in 2009, it will win in 2010

What kind of logic is that?! Sorry but the PS3 lineup up till now is better for 2010, GT5+ FF versus+ Yakuza+ most 3rd party 200k+ sellers vs what? we have Zelda Wii and SMG2(both arent that influential in japan anymore). Sorry Avinash but sometimes i feel you're just out there to annoy people

ROFL. another funny comment, lets see NSMB Wii will probably outsell most of those PS3 games combined on its own in 2010, the Vitality sensor will outsell pretty much all of them, combined, so yeah, keep telling yourself PS3 has the better lineup ROFL, and that's excluding all the other Wii games, all I need is those two to show you that Wii has the better lineup for 2010, ROFL, so try again.

Oh man you conviced me when you ROFL 3 times. I think both your comments are way more worthy for being laughed at.

Then you need to think again, because obviously your earlier thoughts are lacking if you think mine are more laughable, here it is straight up, Wii has better sustaining software, and better potential software, the best game in PS3's stable is GT5 not that impressive saleswise when compared to what the Wii has already released that is still selling, and what will be coming out this year.  Nothing you name has the potential to sell as much as the Wii vitality sensor, nor does anything you name have the staying power of NSMB Wii, plain and simple, nothing in the PS3 lineup can possibly result in PS3 selling more for the year than the Wii.

I agree that Wii has more sustaining software. But look what happened last year due to lack of software on the Wii, where as the PS3 is building up more momentum with constant releases. We know NSMB is amazing, but nintendo have to look past that, have a few surprising hits, and they do need 3rd party games to step in. You make it sound like the Wii destroyed the PS3 in 2009, when it was neck to neck till the last week of the year.

Anyways i dont mean to make trouble in the forums, u have ur opinion and i have mine. However if you keep expressing yourself the way you do, you're only gonna make enemies. I appologize for my outburst in any case, i take it back

No problem, also I apologize as well, I can come across as a jerkish in some of my posts, its not my intent really.

 

Anyways, here's the thing, Wii didn't come into last year with a game like NSMB Wii having just released, this year it has great momentum, and has games like the vitality sensor coming, as for third parties, that's stronger this year as well, from RS2 and NMH2 to Epic Mickey and the Grinder, the Wii's third party is much stronger than in 2009, heck DQX could pop this year as well.

 

Sure it didn't break ahead until the end, well that's because NSMB Wii didn't come out until the end, 2010 is not 2009, NSMB Wii is still new and still selling like hotcakes, it'll be a constant seller for years, Wii vitality could be another Wii fit or Wii sports, opening up the market even more for Nintendo, and we don't even know what they will announce at E3 yet, it could be huge, this is why I say don't expect PS3 to outsell Wii, Wii has the inside track at the moment and unless Nintendo fumbles again, Wii will win.

 

PS3 can only win if Nintendo screws up even worse than Animal crossing and Wii music, and that's not very likely.

 

PS3 constant releases really mean little, I mean in 2009 it had constant releases, and Mario came in and blew it away, that is the power of Nintendo all they need is one game, Sony can bring its GT5's and FF VS and such, and Nintendo could blow it all away with Wii Relax in a matter of weeks, and that's not even taking into account how Mario will be sustaining Wii sales for a good long while on its own, heck its supply constrained in Japan, there is massive demand for the plumber in the land of the rising sun.



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

@ jarrod

Well i got a feeling that the next Yakuza game will increase in sales, where as i could see SMG falling in sales, and mostly selling to past owners. The thing is Yakuza will raise sales for 1 or 2 weeks, where as SMG will probably do more to maintain sales than bump it. You're right, my logic at first hadn seems a bit off, but Yakuza's influence just seems bigger to me.

Take it this way, i dont see people wanting to buy a wii for SMG2, however i do see it happening for Yakuza 4, its a growing series on the PS3 and hasnt established itself yet(maybe this version will).

And i do agree the 2 major hardware pushers for now seem like GT5 vs NSMB. But the smaller games that keep the momentum going are on PS3's favor now, especially in the longer run



^But no one is talking about SMG, who cares about that game, NSMB Wii on the other hand is actually selling software and is likely to sell for years, NSMB DS is still selling almost 4 years after its launch its still in the top 25, expect NSMB Wii to sell similar, if not even better.

Yakuza and those smaller games may sell a little, but as I pointed out, if Wii vitality is a hit, it will not only blow them away, it'll also crush GT5 and them combined.

And this isn't eventaking into account the third parties and the games Nitnendo could announce at E3, this is my point, Wii's sustaining software like NSMB Wii and its potential software like Wii vitality, are on their own, much bigger than what PS3 has, and if other Wii games are hits, that just adds to Wii's success.

Basically PS3 has to hope for Nintendo to fumble again for them to win, its not in their hands



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

^^ Do you really hate SMG lol

We'll have to wait till E3 i guess



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^I don't hate it, but I've never been a fan of it like I have of 2D Mario

True E3 will reveal much



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Nah.



Proud member of the Mega Mario Movement

 

Warrior of Light

It probably will for six-eight weeks of the year, but I'd expect the year to end at 1.6m vs. 1.4m or so in favor of Wii. Both systems will see higher sales averages than in early 2009 with prices lower and Dec 2009-Jan 2010 stronger than Dec 2008-Jan 2009.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

TheSource said:

It probably will for six-eight weeks of the year, but I'd expect the year to end at 1.6m vs. 1.4m or so in favor of Wii. Both systems will see higher sales averages than in early 2009 with prices lower and Dec 2009-Jan 2010 stronger than Dec 2008-Jan 2009.

You are expecting both systems to sell less in 2010 than in 2009 while both will have higher average than in early 2009. Are you forcasting a disastrous Q3 and Q4 for both systems?



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

saicho said:
TheSource said:

It probably will for six-eight weeks of the year, but I'd expect the year to end at 1.6m vs. 1.4m or so in favor of Wii. Both systems will see higher sales averages than in early 2009 with prices lower and Dec 2009-Jan 2010 stronger than Dec 2008-Jan 2009.

You are expecting both systems to sell less in 2010 than in 2009 while both will have higher average than in early 2009. Are you forcasting a disastrous Q3 and Q4 for both systems?

puzzling