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Forums - Sales Discussion - What will sales level out to after the holidays?

Gilgamesh on 27 December 2009
scottie said:
Gilgamesh - that would be the worst the Wii has ever done (in terms of market share) on a consistent basis, ignoring times when it was supply constrained. You can't make that prediction without some pretty good justification

The Wii is down almost 20% from 2008, and there really isn't anything big coming to Wii in 2010. It could drop the price but it IS already $200 so dropping the price another $50 probably wouldn't be that big

Seems as though the Wii peaked in 2008, I see 2010 being worst then 2009 for the Wii.

The PS3 has a lot going for it now, selling for $299, having some of the best exclusives, the slim. Also there biggest games are coming out in 2010 and there getting 3D, the rise of Blu-ray, Gem. 2010 is going to be one of the best years for the PS3.



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dunno001 on 27 December 2009

Hmm... sure, I'll take a stab at things:

Wii- 250K. I see it being up a bit from 2009 due to more games being out, and a better ride of the success of NSMBWii. Couple this with the hype for a few other games, and I think it'll average out to here.

PS3- 150K. It will be up from last year, as the price cut stays in effect. (I do think that the holiday has helped in killing long-term price momentum, though.) A few big games will give it boosts, but things will average out to a smaller gain. I don't see the wands having much effect, either.

360- 100K. Natal will launch late enough in the year to not do much of an average boost. And with fewer big games coming to launch sales, I think it will go down in sales some more from 2009.



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darkheart709 on 27 December 2009

wii had nothing for it in early 2009 onward, the wii has to NSMBWii, WSR, and wii fit plus to ride on the success on now



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SaviorX on 27 December 2009

What time period are we talking here?

January to March? April to September?



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."

killeryoshis on 27 December 2009

The wii slowed down due to nouthing big came for a year late 08 to early 09. Now that its late in the year. We got WSR, Wi fit plus and NSMBW. The sales will go higher than now. Heck NSMBW is already becoming the fastest selling nintendo game.



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SaviorX on 27 December 2009

If you mean the first halfof the year, sales will probably be below 2009 but above 2007; probably a 10% decrease from this past year.

It dropped before because Wii Music and Animal Crossing failed to spur demand (both shallow, uninspired games). With NSMB Wii selling like hotcakes, it will keep stronger momentum than last time.



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."

Arius Dion on 27 December 2009

Wii 250-75k
PS3 110-130k
360 100-120k



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

Arius Dion on 27 December 2009
CGI-Quality said:
Arius Dion said:
Wii 250-75k
PS3 110-130k
360 100-120k

You think the PS3 and 360 will sell that close? The PS3 would have to drop dramatically for such an occurance, which won't happen.


You might be right. I'm looking at America's sales and 360 is still outselling PS3 there others will see PS3 over 360 and obviously Japan..Give PS3 and extra 20k but leave 360's as is:

130-150k for PS3, 100k 360.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

peachbuggy on 27 December 2009

I get the impression a lot of the posters here WANT the Wii to fall quite dramatically. That doesn't mean it WILL fall dramatically. I think 2010 will be roughly the same as 2009, only with bigger peaks and troughs, due to a number of big games dropping but numbers-wise about the same as 2009. As for the PS3, i see the momentum from the price cut eventually settling to an average higher than pre-price cut 2009 but way below post price cut figures and other price cuts notwithstanding, slightly down YOY. I see the Xbox360 slightly down YOY purely because of its age.



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leo-j on 27 December 2009

you guys are expecting way to much out of the wii..

its price cut couldn't pull it above 2008 numbers..



 

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