nordlead said: Mummelmann said: Khuutra said: Mummelmann said: The years most anticipated title on the Wii with a 60 million userbase outsold a multiplatform shooter on a 29 million installed base? It better have! What I really want to know is; will it outsell Galaxy and by how much? Current trends suggest it will do so considerably. You were one of those who said that it would not significantly outsell Galaxy, yes? I think it will sell more but I was mostly reacting to a thread we had where several users claimed it would sell 20 million or so or even more (maybe someone remembers the thread, I don't remember the name of it). I think I said something along the lines of; won't go past 15 under any circumstance and probably not more than 12 or so. It was released at a perfect time for a solid launch and some good follow up weeks and it'll probably have good legs like all Nintendo 1st party titles but the claims of 20 million lifetime were ludicrous to me! It should hit 15m no problem, and 20m isn't out of reach either. NSMBWii could do 9m by the end of the year (there is a thread on it), and then from there 2 full years on the market it only needs to manage 100k/week for 2 years. Heck, Mario Kart Wii should pass 20m in 3 weeks time. I made a prediction last year that Wii Fit & Mario Kart could do 25m or more (obviously Wii Fit got chopped down by Wii Fit Plus, but otherwise I would have easily been correct) and NSMBWii could easily have a similar selling pattern to either of those games. Just comparing it to the DS version, it had a way bigger opening, and should be able to sustain similar sales over the long run. Since it had a bigger opening, it can achieve 20m in a shorter time with the same legs as NSMB DS.

100k/week for 2 years running? Seems like a stretch to me but who knows. I guess only time will tell anyhow.

@Mummelmann. It doesn't seem at all unlikely when you break it down into regions and take into account holiday spikes for the game.

i wanted to buy this game from USA before i came home so when i went to gamestop 1 day before i came back it was sold out and now i dont have it :P

Nintendo rules!
Because they remake old games which innovativeness has been surpassed and still sell like crazy, which you can say its a type of innovativeness =)

Kitty necromancer would appreciate it if you didn't steal his job ;)

That said, holy crap, NSMBW is up to 13 million...wow, I turn around for a minute...

I'm not sure if posting in this thread will bump it up in the sales forum (hopefully it won't), as I just found it through the game specific forum. If it bumps it up in the sales forum too, my apologies.

New Super Mario Bros Wii is just about to pass the two versions of Modern Warfare 2 combined now.

New Super Mario Bros: 21.22 million

X360 Modern Warfare 2: 12.20 million
Ps3 Modern Warfare 2: 9.03

Combined Modern Warfare: 21.23 million

New Super Mario Bros. Wii actually only outsold Modern Warfare 2 by 11k last week (61k to 33k 17k = 50k), but it should still surpass Modern Warfare 2 either next week or the one after that.

Funny thing is, Mario won by 55k the week before. It's plummeting as the red Wii bundle dries up. This race isn't over just yet and it wouldn't even be close if it weren't for that bundle.

Wonder how long it'll take for Black Ops to pass them both.

Oh, it definitely isn't. New Super Mario Bros. Wii is far likely to sell more than MW2, but there's still a slight chance of MW2 selling more in the end.

It would still be relatively close even if it wasn't for the bundle, though.

The Red Wii was effective from mid-November through December, right? In that period, NSMB Wii sold roughly 3.8 million. If there was no bundle, it might have sold Mario Kart Wii levels. Mario Kart Wii sold 2.4 million.

In other words, we're not looking at a huge boost from the red Wii bundle. Sure, over a million, but it would still be quite close even if it wasn't for the red Wii. New Super Mario Bros. Wii would still stand quite a chance of outselling MW2 in the long run.

And all things considered, I wouldn't bet on Black Ops (Ps3 X360) finishing above New Super Mario Bros. Wii.

Mario Kart Wii was also bundled.

Oh, yes, but Mario Kart Wii was also selling far less than New Super Mario Bros. Wii was before the bundles. Mario Kart Wii was also bundled only in Europe, and it saw a smaller boost there than in Americas.

You're not really suggesting New Super Mario Bros. Wii would have sold less than 2 million for the period if it wasn't for the bundle, are you?