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Forums - General - What do you think is the most likely apocalypse scenario?

ManusJustus said:
Kasz216 said:

The icecaps have melted before... back when there weren't any humans.

Methane is 23 times more potent then CO2.

We put much less carbon in the air then is put in the air naturally.

Ice caps have melted and grown before humans weren't around, but man is able to change his environment and is capable of doing such things.  And humans aren't the first living thing to have that claim, I'm thinking of ancient bacteria and photosynthesis.  Besides, mosquitos with three foot wingspans that were around in previous hot periods doesn't sound too appealing to me.

I dont see why you mentioned your second point.  What matters is how much overall effect something has.  Methane is obviosly another greenhouse gas that has more of an effect per unit mass but there a lot less of it.  Its the overall effect that we are concerned with, and yes methane is part of that equation.

Again, I dont know how this pertains to the argument.  We put CO2 into the air and the change leads to an increase in overall temperature, and that current increase is in terms of one or two degrees C, which isn't a lot in the grand scheme of things but can have major consequences as far as we are concerned.  If we put more CO2 into the atmosphere than natures puts there we'd start to resemble Venus.  The natural level of greenhouse gases results in our current climate, and I prefer to stay closer to our current norm.  I dont want to put entire ecosystems on the brink and cause mass human migrations from global warming.  We are going to run out of hydrocarbons soon anyway, so the quicker we try to switch to solar and/or nuclear forms of energy the better off we are.

ugh... let me break down even more simply for you.


A) The natural world puts far more CO2 in the atmosphere then we do.


B) Global warming is a natural phenomina... In fact... the earth is naturally set to warm.

 

C) There is no actual "straight line" correlation like you claim... in fact the global warming trend actually began slightly BEFORE the industrial revolution.

 

D) If you actually want to use the data from those time periods, which are flawed in a number of ways methodolocially when it came to data samples.  For example in those recent emails... you had people fudging tree ring data because they didn't think the tree ring data provided accurate tempetures for the most recent tempetures.

D1) Ingoring the very real possibility that tree ring data... may actually just not be reliable at all.  "This is lower like the old tree-ring data... therefore it must be wrong.)  vs (hey maybe this isn't caused by tempeture after all?)

D2) Another problem is average tempeture takin by weatherstations since such weatherstations are added and removed from the composite data and often face other problems such as suburban development and the like.  Cities and suburbs in general are going to rate higher as far as "Tempeture" goes then other stations.  Build a tempeture station, then build a city around it and the heat will go up even if the climate stays the same.


D3) It's not really representative, they don't have tempetures stations everywhere... or even in most places.  For example the vast majority of tempeture taking is taken... well on land.  Which is important since 2/3rds of the planet... isn't land.


D4) The computer models that predict global warming were all based on this data... by people who believed in global warming.  Which is an issue with global warming.

 

E) Sattelite technology is the only technology which can properly judge global tempeture... and we've only used it for that since i believe the mid 90s.



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Kasz216 said:

let me break down even more simply for you.

Sateelite technology is the only technology which can properly judge global tempeture... and we've only used it for that since i believe the mid 90s.

Lol, thanks.  Thanks for trying to make something even more simple that you clearly dont understand yourself.

I'll leave you with this.  It doesnt take a climatologist to look at a picture of a glacier or polar ice cap and realize that over the past several decades they have been shrinking.



twesterm said:
ManusJustus said:
The sun will burn the Earth (garraunteed apocolypse wether humans are still here or not).

lol, way to end the thread on the first post.

While all the others have so much chance of happening that is the only 100% one.  :-p

I guess you could say if we find someone way to prolong the life of the sun then we could say the next thing to take care of would be the moon falling out of orbit from the Earth.  It will happen, or at least would if the sun wasn't going to consume our solar system first.

I think other stars are our best bet.  That is so long away though that I'm sure our decendents would laugh at whatever we have to say about it.



ManusJustus said:
Kasz216 said:

let me break down even more simply for you.

Sateelite technology is the only technology which can properly judge global tempeture... and we've only used it for that since i believe the mid 90s.

Lol, thanks.  Thanks for trying to make something even more simple that you clearly dont understand yourself.

I'll leave you with this.  It doesnt take a climatologist to look at a picture of a glacier or polar ice cap and realize that over the past several decades they have been shrinking.

Dude, everybody agrees that global warming is real. Nobody is saying that it isn't. We're just saying that it is not caused by humans. Simple as that.



ManusJustus said:
Kasz216 said:

let me break down even more simply for you.

Sateelite technology is the only technology which can properly judge global tempeture... and we've only used it for that since i believe the mid 90s.

Lol, thanks.  Thanks for trying to make something even more simple that you clearly dont understand yourself.

I'll leave you with this.  It doesnt take a climatologist to look at a picture of a glacier or polar ice cap and realize that over the past several decades they have been shrinking.

Or that they have been recovering over the past couple of years ...

Just as a question, what piece of evidence has been presented to you that demonstrates that any changes in global temperature are being caused by man? Do you think that if there was any evidence that was more solid than a loose correlation between CO2 emissions and temperature that you wouldn’t see it daily?



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HappySqurriel said:
ManusJustus said:
Kasz216 said:

let me break down even more simply for you.

Sateelite technology is the only technology which can properly judge global tempeture... and we've only used it for that since i believe the mid 90s.

Lol, thanks.  Thanks for trying to make something even more simple that you clearly dont understand yourself.

I'll leave you with this.  It doesnt take a climatologist to look at a picture of a glacier or polar ice cap and realize that over the past several decades they have been shrinking.

Or that they have been recovering over the past couple of years ...

Just as a question, what piece of evidence has been presented to you that demonstrates that any changes in global temperature are being caused by man? Do you think that if there was any evidence that was more solid than a loose correlation between CO2 emissions and temperature that you wouldn’t see it daily?

A loose correlation based on faulty data no less.  Which you know... was the point Manus.


Since polar icecaps shrinking doesn't really give you any indication about how much the tempeture has changed over the years that you could even plot against CO2.

 



asteroid impact ,or the Earths average orbit from the sun could slip.



Yep, i'm a girl

I eventually tire of the rest of you ....



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1gWECYYOSo

Please Watch/Share this video so it gets shown in Hollywood.

Hus said:
Reasonable said:
Hus said:
There wont be any apocalypse we cant over come.

Some will always survive.

That's not quite true, at least for natural disasters.  There are plenty that we currently do not have the technology level to guarantee survival (luckily these are the ones that tend to have astronomical chances of actually happening).  I do agree though that being adept with technology makes us far more resiliant than any other species on the planet to being rendered completely extinct.

 

Any astroid/comet we can take out.

Any change on the earth it self will still leave some areas with peopel friendly enviroments. 

Only the sun can really take us out, ands that pretty much takes out the whole palnet/solar system. 

 

I think you've watched too many Bruce Willis movies!



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

Reasonable said:
Hus said:

Any astroid/comet we can take out.

Any change on the earth it self will still leave some areas with peopel friendly enviroments. 

Only the sun can really take us out, ands that pretty much takes out the whole palnet/solar system. 

 

I think you've watched too many Bruce Willis movies!

 

Nope, i just believe in mens ability to destroy. 

In the 1960s we made a 100 megaton nuke, imagine what we could do these days.