@Soriku

50k PS3 ? 2009=PS3s year in Japan.

ioi said to me right before the Japanese PS3 buzz started that the Japanese market is easy to predict. Then he admitted he was wrong about the PS3 and underestimated it. 250k in FF13 week is possible. The PS3 had a large demand in Japan even years ago but the price avoided the success. The people in Japan want HD Gaming. Now the price is right thats why the PS3 is suddenly so strong. In this week the high demand combined with one of the best selling games in Japan (the first Final Fantasy in the HD Gen) and the fact it happens during the strongest sales week (last saturday before Christmas is the number one sales day all over the world even in America.

I dont said It will 100% happen but I see it definetly as a possibility. In 14-15 days we will get the numbers and the speculations can stop finally.

Title - FW/FD/FD sell-through

1.NSMBW　937000　422000　51%
2.PSP2　285000　202000　66%
3.GvsGN+　238000　170000　61%
4.SM3　127000　55000(reg)　57%　23000(LE)　69%
7.Pokepark　57000
8.AC2 PS3　56000　28000　43%
10.Tokimemo 4　47000　28000
12.Pocket Pro 12　34000　23000　15%
14.AC2 360　28000　21000　48%
15.Kamen Rider　23000　8600　33%
16.Bayblade DS　22000　3700　10%
19.Stitch　20000　8300　23%
22.Kaiju Busters　16000　10000　31%
29.Cross Treasures　7500　6000　29%

So if I'm reading that correctly, NSMB Wii actually sold out of its first shipment and had to have a second one.  Quite impressive if I got that right.  It also seems that PSP2 might have been undershipped as well as it almost sold out of its first shipment and had to probably have a second one as well. 

So SW3 might actually be sold out...

based on the numbers, SW3 is almost sold out as well. GvsGN+ also has a very high sell through rate for first shipment.

Yeah, but it's also getting close to Christmas. I expect all the hardware* to see a noticeable bump.

*PSPGo excluded, of course...

Edit: Hey look, guess who didn't finish reading the thread!

Yea I hadn't noticed SW3 but that does appear to be the case as well. Possibly retailers becoming a little more "picky" on some of this big software considering over shipping of previous titles in the year. Given that, we could potentially have a sellout of other big titles like Tales of Graces this week and FF13 in a couple weeks if they continue to be more conservative with their ordering.

Samurai Warriors 3 had four skus. The problem with that approach is you know people want the game at a fairly high confidence, but you don't know which package they want necessarily. Seems like they under supported the popular packages and over supported the less popular packages. Ultimately it is a pretty good debut for the game with the three super debuts of the week. It would probably add another 50k-200k with a western release as well, should end up fairly profitable.

If VGC puts Assassin's Creed at 56k first week (Famitsu number), I believe that's the second highest opening for a PS3 western game in Japan, behind GTA IV. Not bad.

The PS3 will not have a 250k week. Even in the miracle that it does, the Wii would still take 2009, though it was very close.

Overall, nice numbers.

I think he is Crazzyman.