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Forums - Sales - My FF13 NA prediction.

letsdance on 08 December 2009
morenoingrato said:
the only thing I know is that Ps3 version will outsell 360 by 2:1


It will slighty favor the Ps3. More like 55/45 split. Not 66/34 like you suggest. Thats huge accomplishment since the split for games in NA are usually like 60/40. and to think. People actually said 360 would outsell ps3 WW.

kingofwale - you still arent listening... take up 600k and I'll take you up in a heart beat. I dont need to revise my numbers since I've bben saying < 500 - 600k the whole time.



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jarrod on 08 December 2009

I think FFXIII will be more like 1.5/1 PS3/360 in the US, at least initially. Most of the pent up demand is PS3 side, though I think 360 may catch up some longterm due to it's bigger base and (generally) more game buying audience.

Worldwide it could be 2/1 though.



kingofwale on 08 December 2009
letsdance said:
morenoingrato said:
the only thing I know is that Ps3 version will outsell 360 by 2:1


It will slighty favor the Ps3. More like 55/45 split. Not 66/34 like you suggest. Thats huge accomplishment since the split for games in NA are usually like 60/40. and to think. People actually said 360 would outsell ps3 WW.

kingofwale - you still arent listening... take up 600k and I'll take you up in a heart beat. I dont need to revise my numbers since I've bben saying < 500 - 600k the whole time.

lol, so... your new 'revised' number of 600K now??? Funny enough, your first post was 286k, that's more than twice as much. ;)


Regardless. I will take that bet, 600K across 2 platforms in NA first week. You will hear from mein 14 weeks



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
Moren on 08 December 2009

but ps3 fans are the ff veterans



jarrod on 08 December 2009
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.



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Hus on 08 December 2009
jarrod said:
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.

opinion not fact.

no better then me saying all wii owners are past non gamers aka soccer moms and that sort.



jarrod on 08 December 2009
Hus said:
jarrod said:
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.

opinion not fact.

no better then me saying all wii owners are past non gamers aka soccer moms and that sort.

According to NPD, 70% of Wii owners had a PS2.  Even if 100% of PS3 owners had a PS2, 70% of the Wii base is still nearly double that.



Hus on 08 December 2009
jarrod said:
Hus said:
jarrod said:
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.

opinion not fact.

no better then me saying all wii owners are past non gamers aka soccer moms and that sort.

According to NPD, 70% of Wii owners had a PS2.  Even if 100% of PS3 owners had a PS2, 70% of the Wii base is still nearly double that.

CInteresting any links to that,

off topic so wiis so called blue ocean is just PS2 doing. 



kingofwale on 08 December 2009
jarrod said:
Hus said:
jarrod said:
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.

opinion not fact.

no better then me saying all wii owners are past non gamers aka soccer moms and that sort.

According to NPD, 70% of Wii owners had a PS2.  Even if 100% of PS3 owners had a PS2, 70% of the Wii base is still nearly double that.

simple logic problem.... When A and B are both present, it doesn't mean A is the cause of B. Something you learn in Survey 101 class.

 

Most PS3 owners also own other consoles. Does that mean they "upgraded" to Wii??

My girlfriend has both Wii and PS2, but she plays PS2 more... does that mean she "upgraded" from Wii to PS2?



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
jarrod on 08 December 2009
Hus said:
jarrod said:
Hus said:
jarrod said:
morenoingrato said:
but ps3 fans are the ff veterans

More PS2 owners upgraded to Wii than PS3.

opinion not fact.

no better then me saying all wii owners are past non gamers aka soccer moms and that sort.

According to NPD, 70% of Wii owners had a PS2.  Even if 100% of PS3 owners had a PS2, 70% of the Wii base is still nearly double that.

CInteresting any links to that,

off topic so wiis so called blue ocean is just PS2 doing. 

It was from August's "cross-platform trends" report or something.  I'll see if I can find the reference on Gamasutra.

 

And yeah, I'd agree that a lot of the "Blue Ocean" trends get overblown... Wii is bringing in new consumers (moreso than any console since the NES or PS1 probably) but the majority of Wii owners aren't new to gaming or consoles.