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Forums - Gaming - Do you people see the sale shifts?

Euphoria14 said:
Sony is also set to be profitable next year on just the PS3. It has already been stated that the Playstation family as a whole is profitable,

http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/News/Press/200911/09-133E/index.html

No they haven't, they recently stated they don't expect the gaming division to profit until March 2011.

At present Sonys gaming division has lost another $1,066,875,000 (that's a billion) in the last 6 months, so either the PS3 is killing them or Sony Vaio is one of the most inneffectively made products ever.



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darthdevidem01 said:

in fact a few users on here & I think NJ5 even made a thread earlier in this year saying "if SONY drop PS3 to $299 they may go bankrupt"

 

Did I? Where is that thread?

Here are my Sony predictions for 2009... I haven't checked if they're exactly right, but they're pretty close:

http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=55401

 



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Avinash_Tyagi said:


  If the guys at Sony are so smart, then how come they are losing to competitors in nearly every industry, and losing tons of money?

 

And they may go bankrupt as it looks, if they fail to achieve their goals on 3D tvs and online sales which looks very possible and have to engage in a price war with MS, we could be talking about how Sony went bankrupt in five years

Because in this economy people don't go after the luxury items, they go after the value driven items.

Additionally, we don't know for sure the ps3 is in a price war with MS. It certainly looks like MS is in a price war with Sony, but not the other way around.



theprof00 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:


  If the guys at Sony are so smart, then how come they are losing to competitors in nearly every industry, and losing tons of money?

 

And they may go bankrupt as it looks, if they fail to achieve their goals on 3D tvs and online sales which looks very possible and have to engage in a price war with MS, we could be talking about how Sony went bankrupt in five years

Because in this economy people don't go after the luxury items, they go after the value driven items.

Additionally, we don't know for sure the ps3 is in a price war with MS. It certainly looks like MS is in a price war with Sony, but not the other way around.

How is Sony not in a price war with MS but yet MS is in a price war with Sony? How does that makes sense when the Xbox 360 is more expensive than the PS3? The price tag is the same but you gotta buy batteries (alkaline or rechargeable) or a recharging kit for 360 whereas PS3 has rechargeability right out of the box. And you gotta pay for Live Gold if you want to play online. Not to mention that the PS3 gives you Blu-Ray and Wi-Fi (Wi-Fi sucks but if you absolutely need it for online, its there) as well. The PS3 is playing the cost value game right now. Not MS. Before the price cut, Sony was losing even in Europe/Others this year. They needed that price cut to be competitive with Microsoft. Third-parties like Activision were screaming for a PS3 price cut and threatened to withdraw their support for the PS3. Sony had to play the price war game or else there would have been devastating consequences.

Microsoft has no need to play the price war game. They are in a secure position. They have a solid first-party lineup, they have support from the third-parties. So as long as they have the software sales to back them up, which they do, they are fine. Because software is where you really make your money. Not hardware. Fanboy bread and circus console war numbers don't matter to shareholders. What's the point of price cutting to death in a console war if you are losing money? The whole point of starting up a corporation is to make money. They didn't burn those billions to build the Xbox brand to please fanboys. They did it to get their foot in the door. To win favor from third-parties. Now that they have third-party support, they have no need to bleed anymore. They are finally in the black. They should keep that going and try to recoup all their investments in the Xbox brand.

Microsoft should avoid selling the Xbox 360 at a loss so as long as they have the third-party support. And they will until the end of the gen because bottom line, third-parties are not going to abandon a console manufacturer that has 19+ million consoles (9 million more than the PS3) in North American homes. So as long as Xbox 360 gamers keep getting quality new games, they're gonna continue buying more Xbox 360 software and more XBL memberships and MS is gonna be laughing all the way to the bank. From now on, the console should be sold at a profit, with periodic price cuts after manufacturing costs go down significantly.



RAZurrection said:
Euphoria14 said:
Sony is also set to be profitable next year on just the PS3. It has already been stated that the Playstation family as a whole is profitable,

http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/News/Press/200911/09-133E/index.html

No they haven't, they recently stated they don't expect the gaming division to profit until March 2011.

At present Sonys gaming division has lost another $1,066,875,000 (that's a billion) in the last 6 months, so either the PS3 is killing them or Sony Vaio is one of the most inneffectively made products ever.


No, they said they expect it become profitable within the fiscal year "ending" March 2011. This means they expect it to become proftable anywhere between April 2010 and March 2011. So it can happen in 2010.

You read it wrong pal.

 

I guess my intial response about the PS family was wrong though. I remembered Kaz stating this.

He is such a dirty liar then.

 

@dirtyp2002

You're bringing in Sony failing because it won't sell as much as the PS2. That is off-topic.

I was initially discussing the fact that I have recently seen a sales shift, across all regions and that I believe outselling the 360 by 125k in the second busiest week of the year in it's strongest region is a big success. Especially considering where it was at this time last year. it has built up some incredible momentum for a 3rd place machine.



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loves2splooge said:
theprof00 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:


  If the guys at Sony are so smart, then how come they are losing to competitors in nearly every industry, and losing tons of money?

 

And they may go bankrupt as it looks, if they fail to achieve their goals on 3D tvs and online sales which looks very possible and have to engage in a price war with MS, we could be talking about how Sony went bankrupt in five years

Because in this economy people don't go after the luxury items, they go after the value driven items.

Additionally, we don't know for sure the ps3 is in a price war with MS. It certainly looks like MS is in a price war with Sony, but not the other way around.

How is Sony not in a price war with MS but yet MS is in a price war with Sony?

Because MS responds to Sony price drops. Not the other way around.

How does that makes sense when the Xbox 360 is more expensive than the PS3? The price tag is the same but you gotta buy batteries (alkaline or rechargeable) or a recharging kit for 360 whereas PS3 has rechargeability right out of the box. And you gotta pay for Live Gold if you want to play online.

I've gone over this a hundred times, but I'll be happy to explain. Most consumers only care about (or know about, for that matter) upfront costs. Plus, I don't know if it's any different now, but my old box had a wired controller not a wireless one. You do have to pay to play online, but you don't have to.

Not to mention that the PS3 gives you Blu-Ray and Wi-Fi (Wi-Fi sucks but if you absolutely need it for online, its there) as well. The PS3 is playing the cost value game right now. Not MS. Before the price cut, Sony was losing even in Europe/Others this year. They needed that price cut to be competitive with Microsoft. Third-parties like Activision were screaming for a PS3 price cut and threatened to withdraw their support for the PS3. Sony had to play the price war game or else there would have been devastating consequences.

Yeah but those things, for the most part, are unnecessary to play games. Sony is playing the value game because it is consumers who were having a hard time finding value in the system when most are only going to play games on it rather than  watching BR movies like some of us do. Hey, some people paid 600$ for it. They saw value in the system. While you are right in saying that they needed a price cut to be competetive with MS, it's not because MS' price is better, but that PS3 just had a really bad price. Each has their own offerings and exclusive games, but they are not worth 400-600$ to play them according to most people.

Microsoft has no need to play the price war game. They are in a secure position. They have a solid first-party lineup, they have support from the third-parties. So as long as they have the software sales to back them up, which they do, they are fine. Because software is where you really make your money. Not hardware. Fanboy bread and circus console war numbers don't matter to shareholders. What's the point of price cutting to death in a console war if you are losing money?

MS came into being, and has always been in a price war with Sony in the video game market. Like you said earlier, they make money off of live and other things, and they can afford to drop the price. MS has a price advantage, and they would not want to simply give that up. Price is an important factor for many people. For example, when buying a DVD player, you can buy a 20$ player or a 50$ player. While the 50$ player can more sound channels and can play more formats, some people don't care about those things. Those people would prefer the 20$ player because then they could also buy a couple movies whereas the extra features would have gone unused in the first place.

The whole point of starting up a corporation is to make money. They didn't burn those billions to build the Xbox brand to please fanboys. They did it to get their foot in the door. To win favor from third-parties. Now that they have third-party support, they have no need to bleed anymore. They are finally in the black. They should keep that going and try to recoup all their investments in the Xbox brand.

This is very true, they've finally made it, for this generation. This will give them a much stronger base come next gen where it all starts again. At this point, MS may not be in a competetive price war, but rather a consumer based value model. There is such thing as a sweet spot in pricing, and MS is going to want to sell as many consoles as possible according to the razor blade model.

Microsoft should avoid selling the Xbox 360 at a loss so as long as they have the third-party support. And they will until the end of the gen because bottom line, third-parties are not going to abandon a console manufacturer that has 19+ million consoles (9 million more than the PS3) in North American homes. So as long as Xbox 360 gamers keep getting quality new games, they're gonna continue buying more Xbox 360 software and more XBL memberships and MS is gonna be laughing all the way to the bank. From now on, the console should be sold at a profit, with periodic price cuts after manufacturing costs go down significantly.

Consoles in this business are almost never sold at a profit. I think the 400$ ps3 console and the elite 360 are sold at profit, as well as any nintendo system, but that's because they've been hurting this gen. The attachment rate to these systems is about 9 games. At 15$ per game going directly to the console company, that's 135$ profit, 135$ worth of room to sell under console cost, factoring in that people are going to buy additional controllers as well. The reason MS did so badly this gen, compared to what they could have done, is that they had to pay out more than 1B$ worth of repair costs and additionally were doing R&D on the system through pretty much the entire gen to prevent such high cost penalties later on.

In conclusion, when Sony was looking at the market, they weren't saying "nobody is going to pay 800$ for a system when they could spend 300$ for a different system" they were saying "nobody is going to pay 800$ for a system". And down the line that kept happening. Nobody is going to pay 400$ for a system. The reality is that console buyers expect to pay from 200-350 plus or minus 50$. Being outside that price range can end up hurting the company.

 



Soleron said:
What matters really is whether Sony can be profitable. If they can't, then it doesn't matter whether they beat the Wii in sales and have hundreds of exclusives - they won't do a new Playstation.

This

 

Here are some links, the important part is the Net Profit Margin.

Here's M$

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/hilite.asp?Symbol=MSFT

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/compare.asp?Page=ProfitMargins&Symbol=MSFT

 

And Sony

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/hilite.asp?Symbol=SNE

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/compare.asp?Page=ProfitMargins&Symbol=SNE

 

I'm well aware this isn't a breakdown of the divisions, but with Sony in the red on Net Profit Margin, it wouldn't be surprising if they have to start cutting divisions if they don't see profit soon.

Someone said something "Sony wouldn't cut one of the biggest names in gaming". Last I checked, Sony is a company, not a group of gaming fans. Profit first, all else second.

M$ has a high profit margin (not just in gaming/electronics), hence the "M$ overcharges on everything". But if it sells, then it sells. The customer always wants a product at the lowest price they can get, and a merchant always wants to sell at the price to obtain maximum profit.

@theprof00, there's something you are missing though, Microsoft responds to Sony's price drops because they don't need to move first. I'm sure they have analysts that are smarter than anyone here that have figured out that they obtain higher profit margins by waiting with price cuts. I'm sure they could easily handle selling everything MUCH cheaper, but they have no need to. That does NOT mean Sony isn't in a price war. Sony needs to cut prices just to be competitive. Is that not a price war?



r505Matt said:
Soleron said:
What matters really is whether Sony can be profitable. If they can't, then it doesn't matter whether they beat the Wii in sales and have hundreds of exclusives - they won't do a new Playstation.

@theprof00, there's something you are missing though, Microsoft responds to Sony's price drops because they don't need to move first. I'm sure they have analysts that are smarter than anyone here that have figured out that they obtain higher profit margins by waiting with price cuts. I'm sure they could easily handle selling everything MUCH cheaper, but they have no need to. That does NOT mean Sony isn't in a price war. Sony needs to cut prices just to be competitive. Is that not a price war?

Sony needs to cut prices to appeal to the consumer, not to push MS out of the way.

By cutting price, MS is creating the atmosphere of a price war. They want the consumer to look at the initial cost, instead of the value. But you're right, it is smart to return price cut with price cut. But at the price Sony was setting, MS was dropping their price even further. It's not like they were matching the pricing, they were outdoing it. That is in essence, a price war strategy.

Sony has yet to sell a console for cheaper than the cheapest MS console.

Consider as well, that MS needed to push Sony out of the way because of the sheer amount of brand recognition and dominance Sony has had over the last couple generations. There are several ways to enter a competetive market and be successful, and one way, is to take big initial losses in order to grow your base. That is what MS is doing. Yes, MS is taking losses at the most opportune times (in retaliatory price cutting) but that's only standard business. When there is increased competition, you must increase competition. Just because it is standard business does not mean that it isn't a price war.

It's a fine line and no doubt confusing, but sony is dropping price to reel in consumers who are on the fence, and MS is dropping price "turn" new customers. There are numerous people who wanted to buy a ps3 at launch but could not afford it.



theprof00 said:
r505Matt said:
Soleron said:
What matters really is whether Sony can be profitable. If they can't, then it doesn't matter whether they beat the Wii in sales and have hundreds of exclusives - they won't do a new Playstation.

@theprof00, there's something you are missing though, Microsoft responds to Sony's price drops because they don't need to move first. I'm sure they have analysts that are smarter than anyone here that have figured out that they obtain higher profit margins by waiting with price cuts. I'm sure they could easily handle selling everything MUCH cheaper, but they have no need to. That does NOT mean Sony isn't in a price war. Sony needs to cut prices just to be competitive. Is that not a price war?

Sony needs to cut prices to appeal to the consumer, not to push MS out of the way.

By cutting price, MS is creating the atmosphere of a price war. They want the consumer to look at the initial cost, instead of the value. But you're right, it is smart to return price cut with price cut. But at the price Sony was setting, MS was dropping their price even further. It's not like they were matching the pricing, they were outdoing it. That is in essence, a price war strategy.

Sony has yet to sell a console for cheaper than the cheapest MS console.

Consider as well, that MS needed to push Sony out of the way because of the sheer amount of brand recognition and dominance Sony has had over the last couple generations. There are several ways to enter a competetive market and be successful, and one way, is to take big initial losses in order to grow your base. That is what MS is doing. Yes, MS is taking losses at the most opportune times (in retaliatory price cutting) but that's only standard business. When there is increased competition, you must increase competition. Just because it is standard business does not mean that it isn't a price war.

It's a fine line and no doubt confusing, but sony is dropping price to reel in consumers who are on the fence, and MS is dropping price "turn" new customers. There are numerous people who wanted to buy a ps3 at launch but could not afford it.

Well, first, I don't think having the attitude to push a competitor out of the way is necessary for there to be a price war. Whoever cuts their prices first or second is irrelevant. If M$ didn't cut their price, or if Sony didn't cut the price in the first place (and then M$ did), that would be different, but since they both cut their price, regardless of the reason, they're still competiting through price.

Though I will concede that MS most surely did it completely in response to Sony's price cut. In otherwords, I wouldn't be surprised if they'd talked about it months in advance and said "let's just wait until Sony cuts the price on the PS3".

I think your 3rd paragraph doesn't matter. Comparing the success of the competitor-free PS2 to the current situation is just silly.

Also, M$ isn't at a loss with their system. If they really needed to push Sony out of the way, they would be selling elites are 200-250 by now. BUt that's unnecessary, Microsoft, as a brand, is amore recognizable name than Sony, even if not in the gaming market. If you live in the US and don't know about Sony, then your uninformed. If you live in the US and you don't know about M$, then you may be a hermit. Nothing wrong with that, but at least in the States, Microsoft has a strong enough name that they hardly need to take losses to get anywhere. And they aren't taking losses, they've been reporting profit (enough to cover the RRoD fiasco too).



DirtyP2002 said:
Euphoria14 said:
DirtyP2002 said:
Euphoria14 said:
That is 125k in ONLY 1 region. You seem to forget that Japan + Others exist as well. We may see a 200-250k week here.

360 has NEVER lost a Black Friday to the PS3. It is an accomplishment whether you wish to belittle it or not.

I heard Milo was just a scripted demo.

Sony is also set to be profitable next year on just the PS3. It has already been stated that the Playstation family as a whole is profitable,

Also, show me a link that shows the 360 Arcade is profitable.


Last gen Sony outsold MS by 120 million. Now we have a 6-7 million lead for MS. MS wouldn't be worried about getting outsold by 10 million. You are still judging from a micro-perspective. There is no way, absolutely no way that Sony won't be the big loser this gen. Nintendo is the big winner and MS did well. Look where they came from and where they are now.

After you did so, check financial reports for the divisions. THEN tell me who should be worried about a 200k difference?

Japan is a very different market and nobody expected MS to even sell a million there but they did. Actually everybody expected Sony to dominate like they did with the PS2 but they failed.

Okay, so the PS3 "won" a black friday (excluding Nintendo). That was the black friday 2 months after a MAJOR pricecut and a redesing / relaunch of their console.

Milo was not a scripted demo, there were people playing with it. Check eurogamer or this video

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=caceIkKKR68

And Sony said they would be profitable in 2009 as well. This means nothing to be honest. Maybe they make a small profit, but this is nowhere near the losses they made for 3 years (4 if you count R&D) in a row with the PS3.

And you know companies don't publish their numbers for single SKUs but I can show you the financial results for the EDD being positive even though there is the Zune HD making losses.

That's it, just keep belittling an accomplishment. It must be real hard for you to admit a sales shift without going off topic and attacking Sony financials.

Also, this is where I got the info on the scripted demo. I believe Kotaku and Eurogamer mention it.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=75672&page=1

 

As for your Sony losses comment. I guess the couple of profitable quarters for MS have made up the 6Billion they lost in their XBox division right?

Of course their small profit matters though right?

financial reports are offtopic now?

There never was a 6 billion loss for the Xbox. Actually the losses of the PS3 are higher than the losses of the Xbox. And this is not even this gen. Besides that, MS used this money for building up the Xbox brand and Xbox Live. Sony lost money and destroyed some of the great reputation the Playstation brand had. That is something.

I applaud Sony for selling more than X 360, but this is a MINOR success of the major failure named PS3 (in comprehension to last gen and financially - NOT for gamers)

The EDD (Xbox 360) has loss 3.79 billion dollars since 2005.  I wouldn't consider this a huge success for Microsoft.

link: http://www.microsoft.com/investor



 

 



Thanks for the input, Jeff.