hm.. I see it like this:

dec 5th: 580k
dec 12th: 660k
dec 19th: 810k
dec 26th: 870k
jan 2nd: 470k
--------------------
3.39m

Too modest. Rebuilding economy, more competitive pricing and FFXIII will bring PS3 to around 4.5-5 million.

If it does 5M which is unlikely IMO

that would mean its near 33M by JAN 1

You can back into a number logically...

April 2009 to March 2010 Shipment Projection = 13m

April - Sept 09: 4.3m (Slim, $300)

April - Sept 08: 4.0m ($400)

Oct-Dec 08: 4.5m

Oct- Dec 09: ~6.7m

To hit 13m, Sony has to ship 6-7m this quarter...and 55% of that, roughly, will be in December since the seasonal factors tend be something like this:

Americas = Dec = Nov * 2,  Nov = Oct * 2.5  (Americas = 40%)...Oct = 1, Nov = 2.5, Dec = 5

Others = Dec = Nov * 2, Nov = Oct * 1.5  (Others = 45%)...Oct = 1, Nov = 1.5, Dec = 3

Japan = Dec = Nov * 2.5, Nov = Oct  (Japan = 15%)...Oct = 1, Nov = 1, Dec = 2.5

December PS3 sales roughly:

Others = 6.5m * 0.45 * (3/5.5) = 1.6m

Americas = 6.5m * 0.4 * (5/8.5) = 1.5m

Japan = 6.5m * 0.15 * (2.5/4.5) = 0.55m

I get 3.65m using that simple method. Its a bit of a funky way to get to a number but it doesn't seem miles out either.

Damn it

3.65 is possible, but that would be amazing, now how do see FFXIII helping it getting to 4 million, which many have argued.

im gonna go with 4mill....going by the 360 sales last year, plus ffXIII

not more than 3.5 mill

This is the first time The Source predicts higher than me lol O_O

I predict 3.3-3.5

2.9-3 mil in NA + Others, but a BIG bump in Japan thanks to our friendly neighborhood Final Fantasy XIII :P

I'm going with The Source. Between 3.5-4 million.