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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Estimates (November 2009)

samus aran rules on 17 November 2009
kingofwale said:
samus aran rules said:
kingofwale said:
ioi said:
It is first shipment and lifetime estimates.

FWIW, and we've said this before, 1-1.1m week one for FF XIII is looking about right judging by current preorder rates... and it will be massively frontloaded just like all big PS3 games in Japan so 1.5-1.6m lifetime (exclusing budget releases, international versions) also seems about right.

okay, I'm going to call ioi out right now about this prediction.

 

I say you are underestimate the sales by 50%, and you can quote me on that


Wow you think that FF XIII will sell 3 million lifetime in Japan?! I think you´re going to be very dissapointed. I´m guessing 2 million lifetime is possible but noway it will reach 2,5 million and certainly not 3 million.

I hope NSMBW is a huge hit in Japan, Famitsus estimates are nice and it would be great if the game could live up to it but I still have doubts. I feel certain that the game will be HUGE in America and Others but while I´m certain that it will be bigger than Super Mario Galaxy in Japan I´m still unsure of it´s full potential there. It´s going to be exciting!

 

dude, 50% more of 1.5 million =/= 3 million. Geez, what is your teacher teaching people nowadays???


Ha ha, mathematics always was my weakest subject. Ok, then I could agree. 2 million or somewhat more is possible. We´ll see.



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lazyrider on 17 November 2009

I have a feeling FFXIII will be huge and that Famitsu (and ioi) are lowballing. With all things PS3, it seems that there is huge potential just waiting to explode. Like when the Slim + price cut.

I agree that FF has maybe been slowly fading but it's been announced for so long now that it's sales will explode, at least 1st week. I could see a 1st week getting darn close to 2 million (I'll go with 1.8m).

This will be one of the most front loaded games of all time though.

In case you hadn't noticed, this is a pure guesstimate as based on a "hunch" without the slightest effort to look into past trends, cureent preorder status, etc...



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rccsetzer on 17 November 2009

EoE - Everything that focus on guns is more western oriented.



scottie on 17 November 2009
palancas7 said:
(Wii) Tales of Graces : 200-260k / 230-290k

Wha...
So the game will practically stop selling after week one?

Have you met the Tales series? Very frontloaded



postofficebuddy on 17 November 2009
ioi said:
We have preorders at just over 600k as of Sunday - I don't see the game doing 1.5m week one.

But we'll see - Tsutaya's comments are certainly interesting but not in line with what we're seeing at all.


Last week the Japan preview said preorders were at 535k so I'm assuming it added about 70k preorders this week. If weekly preorders keep going up weekly, with 5 weeks until release it only needs to average 80k preorders a week to reach 1 million preorders and I think a higher than 80k a week average is within the realm of possibility. What's the average ratio of preorders to first week sales?



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kopstudent89 on 17 November 2009

nobody commented on NSMB's first week... that is a huge prediction!



Jin_Shihouin on 17 November 2009

Tsutaya (one of the biggest Japanese retailers) says preorders for FF XIII are higher than those of FF XII.



Looking forward to: FF Versus XIII / LBP2 / The Last Guardian / Yakuza 4 / ICO Collection

SOLIDSNAKE08 on 17 November 2009

final fantasy is gonna sell way more than that first week and lifetime.



c0rd on 17 November 2009
kopstudent89 said:
nobody commented on NSMB's first week... that is a huge prediction!

Oh, wow. True, that's pretty huge - that would match the America's.

Their Tales of Graces first week isn't terrible, actually. The lifetime doesn't fit at all though. Seriously, does any game sell over 85% of its lifetime on the first week? I don't think so.



FinalEvangelion on 17 November 2009

Both Bayonetta and WE on PS3 have exceeded the upper end of the FS on first week by quite a margin. ToV for August estimates were right at the upper end of FS.

I'm still thinking 1.6 million FW for FF13 - now especially with Tsutaya news.



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