I am expecting the 360 to not have a good Xmas.  There will be no sales in Japan....and sales in Europe will be down...only NA will keep the sales at a decent level and once the Halo3 factor disappears in the US, they will slow down from their current level.  This week the 360 sales were at 37k in Others...significantly below Wii, PS3, DS and PSP.  Once the new PS3 model is released in the US, the sales of the 360 will go down as the PS3 sales will rise.  Although I do expect the 360 to sell better over the holiday period than the PS3...I expect the PS3 to have better sales over all 3 regions than the 360.  So Yes I said 13-14m...which would mean 880k-1.88m sales over the next 2 months.  But I may be wrong...wait and see.

AND

people keep forgetting

This is PS3's FIRST XMAS in EU Regions!

Even if you eliminated Europe and Japan from the map, Xbox 360 would be above 14 million by the end of the year. Going by NPD calendar, this NPD month it will sell at least 400k (probably more), leaving it at ~1.8 million left. That's 900k per month in the holiday season, which is barely twice what it has been doing in USA lately.

Xbox 360 will be much above your estimates, barring some sort of apocalyptic event.

Well all of DavyGees numbers are conservative in my mind.....but he should stick to what he predicted.
Or if he has actually changed his mind, he could do like Mitsuhide and keep the old prediction but make a new one.

I made my predictions for the end of each quarter (excluding this one we are in) in a place i can no longer edit them, so hopefully (unless they are deleted) you will find out what i thought by then.

Holiday season:
Wii - 4 Million
360 - 3 Million
PS3 - 1.5 Million

Total by year's end:
Wii - 16.75 Million
360 - 15.00 Million
PS3 - 6.50 Million

By the end of the year

-Wii: 17-19 million, depending on supply
-360: 14 million
-PS3: 7.5 million

-DS: 59-60 million
-PSP: 26.5 million

I'm going to keep revisiting this thread as figures come out.

Not only was my Wii prediction for week#1 way off - its may get close to figures for week#4 (depending on how Japan Wii sales do).

Guess Ninty is releasing the flood waters earlier than I expected.

Wii:

Predicted: 190k

Actual: 286k (+ Japan - est. 40k?) --> 325k

...

No one did a weekly breakdown of the PS3/360? Ahh well :P 

 Uhm....WHAT?

You think the Wii is going to sell less than 0.5m in October WW?

You think the PS3/360 will be 0.5m in Nov and Wii will be 1m in Nov?

You stated at the start of your post it was WW numbers (bolded it for clarity), but I cannot fathom how you would think a console (Wii) selling at or above 1m a month for the last  several months would suddenly drop to half sales right before Holiday. Please clarify a bit.

In my signature...

As far as the Wii availability concerns go, didn't Iwata just state that Wii production capacity is currently 1.8 million a month?