Avinash_Tyagi said:
puffy said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
puffy said: Think about it this way, the Elite is $299. I don't think we'll see another Microsoft console until the Elite is at $199 or below.
Microsoft will launch Natal next year, I think the Elite will stay at between $249 and $299 next year and Natal will be bundled with no price increase, basically counting as a price cut.
That means that the Elite console won't hit $199 until 2011. Will there really be a need for another console if the XBOX 360 and PS3 are only hitting $199 and Wii may very well be at $99 - $149? for Nintendo a new console would begin to make sense but not for Microsoft or Sony.
2012 - 2013 you will see a console from each of Microsoft, Nintendo and Sony. |
I don't think we'll see another price drop on Wii unless Nintendo stumbles like they did with Animal Crossing and Wii Music, price cuts on the PS3 and 360 don't have an effect on Wii sales, so there is little reason to match price drops, this price drop was due to a loss in momentum due to a weaker software lineup. The next Xbox launch will depend on the success of NATAL, if it succeeds, then they won't launch for a while, if it fails, they'll hurry up the next gen console, same with Sony and the Wand |
If Nintendo stumbles like that again then they're screwed. I still think they'll have a price drop in the next two years regardless.
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Why? If their sales are unaffected by competitors price, which we've seen, and they can keep a steady stream of quality, hardware driving software, they have no reason to drop |
I agree. Another big factor is Nintendo won't make that mistake again relying on small unestablished franchises to carry their console for a whole year. Next year we know that MarioGalaxy2 is being released and everyone expects the next Zelda, then theirs the many other AAA+ titles that have been in the works (Pikmin3/DonkeyKong) and the limitless potential of other established franchises that haven't seen the light of day on Wii like StarFox and Kirby.
Nintendo can keep a steady flow of solid first party software going for a couple more years this will keep hardware sales up and no price cut will be nescessary. Of course if Nintendo wants to maintain its over whelming grip on the market then a price cut in 2011 (If no new console gets announced) would more then suffice to keep the platform dominant.