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puffy said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
puffy said:
Think about it this way, the Elite is $299. I don't think we'll see another Microsoft console until the Elite is at $199 or below.

Microsoft will launch Natal next year, I think the Elite will stay at between $249 and $299 next year and Natal will be bundled with no price increase, basically counting as a price cut.

That means that the Elite console won't hit $199 until 2011. Will there really be a need for another console if the XBOX 360 and PS3 are only hitting $199 and Wii may very well be at $99 - $149? for Nintendo a new console would begin to make sense but not for Microsoft or Sony.

2012 - 2013 you will see a console from each of Microsoft, Nintendo and Sony.

I don't think we'll see another price drop on Wii unless Nintendo stumbles like they did with Animal Crossing and Wii Music, price cuts on the PS3 and 360 don't have an effect on Wii sales, so there is little reason to match price drops, this price drop was due to a loss in momentum due to a weaker software lineup. The next Xbox launch will depend on the success of NATAL, if it succeeds, then they won't launch for a while, if it fails, they'll hurry up the next gen console, same with Sony and the Wand

If Nintendo stumbles like that again then they're screwed. I still think they'll have a price drop in the next two years regardless.


Why? If their sales are unaffected by competitors price, which we've seen, and they can keep a steady stream of quality, hardware driving software, they have no reason to drop

 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)