VF 5 was released on FEB 22 + NBA homecourt +OBLIVION +VIRTUA TENNIS 3+DEF JAM...all these games alongside MOTORSTORM have generated quite a bit of consumer interest in ps3. ps3 would do much better in MARCH in NA. but ofcourse we would find out when OFFICIAL SALES DATA comes out

i know ps2 and original xbox owners mean something but i dont think you can look at it like that.. just because someone had a ps2 doesnt mean they are going to get a ps3... look at me for instance i never even had an xbox but i bought a 360...but once again i know people wanna upgrade i just dont think the people who upgrade are the whole equation of buyers or potential buyers but of course they are apart of it.. agree? superchunk?

I agree with you in the long term. However, I would argue that in the initial launch time frame a far higher percentage of buyers of one system are buying it because the owned the previous system. I would bet that more than 90% of 360 owners purchased the xbox. The only exception to this is the Wii, which is proven in that it has been out for over 4 months with decent shipments (1m+ per month) and still sold out worldwide. In these first 6mos I would say that the growth could be directly linked to the predecessor's userbase. N64 did so well in the beginning due to SNES, even though it had what 4 launch games? PS3 I still argue should be doing much better. It should be on par with the Wii solely due to its 120m+ userbase of the ps2. There shoudl be atleast 20m people worldwide ready to buy. But, 5 months later for NA and Japan we see barely 2m. Only 500,000 units moved on launch day in EU. I will see this weekend. If it sells out of the 1m, then maybe Sony could be considered doing good so far.

I don't think this will make a diffrance. Animal crossing - life = crap fest. With all of son'ys former full time supproters giving all to the wii and 360 the PS3 even if it still has some support will have trouble this time around. Guitar hero, Final fantasy, and mabey even kindom hearts are comming/on the 360 and wii.

Wikipedia - Despite a highly-promoted launch and a host of cutting-edge technologies, the system's high price ($699.95 USD at release) and an over-saturated console market prevented the 3DO from ever achieving any real market penetration. Now add a PS and subtract a DO from the consoles name and that sentence still seems frightfully accurate.

Comparing the starts of the two system is almost meaningless. Bottom line is unless the 360 starts selling like crazy, which it isn't right now, The PS3 is going to have a chance to get back into this race. The Wii is the it system right now. Until either the 360 or PS3 or both start outselling the Wii on a monthly basis the the battle hasn't even started between the high def systems. I see the Wii dominating this year, and more or less the battle between the other two being in 2008 and 2009 when they'll probably have more casual gamer appeal and lower prices.

The ironic thing is...In NA, the 360 compared to PS3, the PS3 is only winning by around 50k units....And unless the PS3 sells 200k+ in March (which it won't), the 360 will beat it year over year.

over 2 million is not market penetration... wow.

Double post. :(

The problem with the 2008 scenario is that the developers are all hopping resources on the wii bandwagon, I think we may see a bigger variety of software in 2008 come out for Wii than we see for either 360 or PS3. Think, in the last 3 months of this year alone how many developers have announced wii projects? If current sales continue, we may start hearing of developers even considering canceling current PS3 projects in favor of the Wii, simply because of the lower requirements and significantly larger (and fastest growing) install base.