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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ten Week Countdown 2009!

thanks! also, while you're at it. change my numbers for wii too cuz i have actually undertracked it and based on the price cut, it should have considerably higher sales than the ps3 and 360.

Wii:
Week 1: 275
Week 2: 300
Week 3: 350
Week 4: 400
Week 5: 650
Week 6: 750
Week 7: 850
Week 8: 850
Week 9: 950
Week 10: 500



End of 2010 Predictions (Original Prediction Made: Jan. 1, 2010---Revised April 1, 2010---Revised Again July 1, 2010---Revised Again on Nov. 1, 2010)

PS3: 46 MIL (April Revision: 44 MIL, July Revision 43 MIL, Nov. Revision 45MIL)

360: 44 MIL (April Revision: 46 MIL, July Revision: 48 MIL, Nov. Revision 49MIL)

WII: 82 MIL (Apr. Revision: 84 MIL, Jul. Revision: 82 MIL, Nov. Revision: 82MIL)

THE MUST BUY LIST of 2010: Gran Turismo 5

THE BOUGHT LIST of 2010: White Knight Chrnociles, Heavy Rain, Final Fantasy 13, God of War 3, Modnation Racers, Sports Champions

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Would you fix my DS prediction? They are in my post on the first page



Wii

Week 1:410k

Week 2:490k

Week 3:570k

Week 4:750k

Week 5:1100k

Week 6:900k

Week 7:1000k

Week 8 :1250k

Week 9:920k

Week 10:450k

Total:7.4m

 

X360

Week 1:200k

Week 2:250k

Week 3:290k

Week 4:380k

Week 5:670k

Week 6:550k

Week 7:620k

Week 8:830k

Week 9:690k

Week 10:330k

Total:4.8m

 

PS3

Week 1:270k

Week 2:300k

Week 3:360k

Week 4:440k

Week 5:700k

Week 6:630k

Week 7:660k

Week 8:960k

Week 9:760k

Week 10:390k

Total:5.47m



End of 2016 prediction

PS4:43M-46M

XBONE:28M-33M

Alright got my predictions up. On the first page in my first post of the thread. I won't be changing those so you can go ahead and add them. Not sure if I'll make DS and PSP predictions but I'll inform you if I get them up before Sunday with a PM.



Bad timing Zucas.... just done them all.

They will get added on Saturday.

---------

If everyone can try to get final versions done by Saturday night (or afternoon/evening for Americans) I would appreciate it.
I will still do minor edits after that time.... But I don't want to be adding in new participants, nor editing half of all your predictions after that time.



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zucas isn't the only one with bad timing, I need to still add mine!!!!!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Well got PSP and DS in there. Really I'm not sure if I like my predictions all that much but they'll have to do. Haha I liked my predictions last year and aside from the Wii they weren't so hot. (Wii was spot on btw).

This year I'm feeling that I may be over predicting either PS3 or 360. I don't necessarily feel they are able to both have a great holiday season at the same time unless one dominates one region and the other dominates the other. I have them pretty much both selling well and not separated by too much (think 360 at $200 in a holiday season setting is still going to play a big factor).

I also have Wii a lot higher than most for similar reason to the 360 and still being the top brand. Not to mention I expect some reasonably better sales in Japan although no real merit to that. Of course I still feel that I may not be giving Wii enough "holiday" credit. Why? Well even though sales were down you still are talking about the top brand. Could have an instance where those who didn't buy it within the year rush to get it at year's end or holidays. Similar thing happens to the PSP and even DS. Although DS does it with great sales anyways. PSP has shown to get pretty sizable boosts in the holidays which is why I still have it at doing pretty fair sales.

Only thing I'm really worried about is PS3. I have it at more of a "safe" sales position but it could due something similar to the PS3 back in Japan in 2007. Have a huge event right before holidays and then come "saturated" into the holiday season. Meaning it was able to garner a large amount of buyers beforehand but not enough to get a mainstream buying base to keep that. Of course it could also go the route of the 360. Which had a large event (price drop) before the holidays got some pretty good boosts and then exploded in the holiday season. I more expect that for Wii actually because it is following similar trends.

So it's a tough prediction for PS3 but for now I like my median prediction. DS prediction I feel pretty good about along with even my 360 prediction. I'm moderately confident about the PSP and Wii prediction. It's just the PS3 prediction. Oh well going to be an interesting holiday season.

Also if anyone wants to know how I came up with my numbers I'd be glad to share them with you.



Revised my PS3, 360, PSP, and Wii

DS Stayed the same

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2736303

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2735370

^ Links to my predictions

Thanks :D



Ok, from this point forward, can anyone editing any consoles actually put the new 10 weeks figures in a new post.

so if you edit the Wii figures.... put your new set of 10 weeks for the Wii in a new post stating it as your edit.... same for whichever consoles you change.

This way I don't have to go back through the old thread pages and check everything.... DMJ I got yours ok, so you don't need to put them unless you re-edit.



Alright here goes nothing. I've edited it so much I am sick and tired, so I'm just gonna go with what I have now.

 

Wii:

Week 1: 410,000

Week 2: 430,000

Week 3: 480,000

Week 4: 600,000

Week 5: 1,100,000

Week 6: 800,000

Week 7: 1,100,000

Week 8: 1,500,000

Week 9: 1,200,000

Week 10: 700,000

TOTAL: 8,320,000

 

PS3:

Week 1: 240,000

Week 2: 250,000

Week 3: 300,000

Week 4: 340,000

Week 5: 570,000

Week 6: 420,000

Week 7: 600,000

Week 8: 800,000

Week 9: 730,000

Week 10: 370,000

TOTAL: 4,620,000

 

360

Week 1: 140,000

Week 2: 210,000

Week 3: 250,000

Week 4: 300,000

Week 5: 600,000

Week 6: 400,000

Week 7: 600,000

Week 8: 750,000

Week 9: 600,000

Week 10: 300,000

TOTAL: 4,150,000

 

DS

Weel 1: 360,000

Week 2: 410,000

Week 3: 480,000

Week 4: 710,000

Week 5: 1,400,000

Week 6: 1,250,000

Week 7: 1,600,000

Week 8: 1,900,000

Week 9: 1,700,000

Week 10: 800,000

TOTAL: 10,610,000

 

PSP

Week 1: 140,000

Week 2: 170,000

Week 3: 220,000

Week 4: 260,000

Week 5: 420,000

Week 6: 370,000

Week 7: 410,000

Week 8: 520,000

Week 9: 460,000

Week 10: 270,000

TOTAL: 3,240,000