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Forums - Sales Discussion - Which console's big holiday titles will sell the most?

I had made a prediction thread about PSP vs. DS holiday titles a while ago, and have now updated it with sales of games released.

  But then I thought it might also be fun to see which of the three consoles' top holiday titles will come out on top.  So the point of the thread, is comparing the sales of the top 5 games on each platform released between Oct-Dec, and then see after the last week's sales of the year which platform's top holiday titles did the best.  So again this is only for games releasing in Oct-Dec, so a game like Halo 3: ODST will not be included even though it will continue to sell well during these months.

So Which console's holiday games do you think will do the best by the end of the year.   Wii has a few exclusives (Wii Fit +, NSMB Wii, Mario and Sonic) that should all do well, but after those top 3 titles it is hard to think of what game could do really well.  The 360 might seem at a disadvantage considering it's biggest exclusvie didn't fall into the time frame, but it still has Modern Wafare 2 which is going to put up huge numbers, Assassin's Creed 2 which should do better than the PS3 version if it is like the first and Forza 3 and Left 4 Dead 2.  The PS3 has the upcoming Uncharted 2 which will do very well, Final Fantasy XIII in Japan, Ratchet and Clank which usually does well during the holidays,  and the couple of the huge multiplat titles, but those have typically been doing better on the 360.

So by January 1st which console's holiday games will have sold the most?

Here is a chart I will be updating weekly, with the top 5 titles for each platform.  Updated 1/5 (With week ending 12/19's #s)

 



Wii Top 5 Holiday Games

Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
New Super Mario Bros. 1,947,571 2,990,903 1,740,939 6,679,413
Wii Fit Plus 1,184,627 2,474,989 2,300,780 5,960,396
Mario and Sonic Winter Olympics 98,803 893,648 1,058,285 2,050,736
Disney Sing It: Pop Hits
420,542 107,890 528,432
Fifa 10
111,928 359,104 471,032
Total 3,231,001 6,780,082 5,207,894 15,690,009
         
    Wii Top 5 Holiday Games    
Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Wii Fit Plus 329778     329778
2       0
3       0
4       0
5       0
Total 329778 0 0 329778
         
    PS3 Top 5 Holiday Games    
Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Fifa 10     780332 780332
Ninja Gaiden Sigma 39829 N/A 28478 68307
3       0
4       0
5       0
Total 39829 0 808810 848639
         
    360 Top 5 Holiday Games    
Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Fifa 10     567475 567475
2       0
3       0
4       0
5       0
Total 0 0 567475 567475
         
         
Current Wii -PS3 Difference 289949 0 -808810 -518861
Current Wii -360 Difference 329778 0 -567475 -237697
Current PS3 -360 Difference 39829 0 241335 281164


PS3 Top 5 Holiday Games

Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Modern Warfare 2 132,974 2,688,196 2,443,698 5,264,868
Fifa 10 36,737 242,877 2,229,752 2,509,366
Uncharted 2 106,259 1,118,574 1,079,799 2,304,632
Assassin's Creed 2 77,145 899,099 1,115,437 2,091,681
Pro Evolution Soccer 363,343 103,081 1,208,781 1,675,205
Total 353,115 4,948,746 6,868,686 13,845,752


360 Top 5 Holiday Games

Game Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Modern Warfare 2 58,037 5,279,164 2,453,132 7,790,333
Assassin's Creed 2 40775 1399149 911921 2,351,845
Forza MotorSport 53767 823895 1037291 1,914,953
Fifa 10 9,922 321,679 1,575,862 1,907,463
Left 4 Dead 2 42962 1492993 414380 1,950,335
Total 205,463 9,316,880 6,392,586 15,914,929

Japan Sales America Sales Other Sales Total
Current Wii -PS3 Difference 2,877,886 1,831,336 -1,660,792 1,844,257
Current Wii -360 Difference 3,025,538 -2,536,798 -1,184,692 -224,920
Current PS3 -360 Difference 147,652 -4,368,134 476,100 -2,069,177






Wordwide increase from last week


Wii 2,999,154


PS3 1,167,410


360 1,570,654


If you didn't read the rest of the post, please read this before posting.

-This thread is only about games released in Oct-Dec and their sales until Dec 31st.

- Not just exclusive titles.

If a game is released in some regions during the time frame but not others, only the sales in the regions where the game was released in Oct-Dec will be counted.

215 people voted in this poll that was taken down on Oct 31st. The majority of people thought the Wii will win, but it is currently in last place. Which group of voters do you agree with?

If you are interested in total software sold during the holiday period I've posted that here. But I want this thread to remain about the topic detailed above.



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ft+ & nsmb



What about ODST? Wii will win though.

 

EDIT: NVM read the OP. 



WF+ and NSMBW will guarantee millions for Wii.
Probably ps3 has some hits but without GT5 i think will not be able to outsell the Wii line up.
Without counting ODST X360 has Forza and Fifa 10, but to me seems not much.



CURRENTLY PLAYING: Xenoblade (Wii), Super mario 3D land (3DS), Guild Wars (PC)

 

Left 4 Dead will be a strong contender, it's going head to head with MW2, but it's going to have stronger first week sales than the last, judging by Valves comments.



 

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assassins creed and MW2 will work good for both the 360 and PS3. But it will have a larger effect on the 360 prolly giving it the win for software hd systems wise. As far as the wii I have no idea.



I'm not martin luther king. I don't have a dream. I have a plan

Sell a man a fish you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish you just ruined a perfect business opportunity.

We didn't emerge out of the stone age because we ran out of stones. Its time to be proactive not reactive.

Wii will go many millions above the others, a lot of it due to NSMBWii, Wii Fit + and Wii Sports Resort. Sales will be strong. For 360, ODST and Forza 3 will probably allow it to outsell PS3's games and this I believe Wii > 360 > PS3.



Are WSR, Halo ODST and September titles counted? Are we counting the top 5 or the top five holiday games for every console? If we go with the top five games 99% Wii will win, Wii Sports, Fit and MKWii always sell great...without them there's the possibility thanks to MW2 to outsell the Wii top 5, which would probably be NSMBW,WF+ and some other minor titles.



CURRENTLY PLAYING: Xenoblade (Wii), Super mario 3D land (3DS), Guild Wars (PC)

 

Why did you even bother to mention Ninja Gaiden for PS3? You really see it having a chance of outselling either FIFA 10, Modern Warfare 2, Assassins Creed 2, Uncharted 2 or Final Fantasy XIII?



What about Tales of Graces (Wii) - admittedly Japan only but could be big (though not MW2 big) ? And FF XIII for the PS3 (again Japan only in this time period).



Currently Playing: Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor Overclocked, Professor Layton and the Curious Village

Anticipating: Xenoblade, The Last Story, Mario Kart 7, Rayman Origins, Zelda SS, Crush3D, Tales of the Abyss 3DS, MGS:Snake Eater 3DS, RE:Revelations, Time Travellers, Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney, Luigi's Mansion 2, MH TriG, DQ Monsters, Heroes of Ruin