Which console's big holiday titles will sell the most?

[09tarheel]

I had made a prediction thread about PSP vs. DS holiday titles a while ago, and have now updated it with sales of games released.

  But then I thought it might also be fun to see which of the three consoles' top holiday titles will come out on top.  So the point of the thread, is comparing the sales of the top 5 games on each platform released between Oct-Dec, and then see after the last week's sales of the year which platform's top holiday titles did the best.  So again this is only for games releasing in Oct-Dec, so a game like Halo 3: ODST will not be included even though it will continue to sell well during these months.

So Which console's holiday games do you think will do the best by the end of the year.   Wii has a few exclusives (Wii Fit +, NSMB Wii, Mario and Sonic) that should all do well, but after those top 3 titles it is hard to think of what game could do really well.  The 360 might seem at a disadvantage considering it's biggest exclusvie didn't fall into the time frame, but it still has Modern Wafare 2 which is going to put up huge numbers, Assassin's Creed 2 which should do better than the PS3 version if it is like the first and Forza 3 and Left 4 Dead 2.  The PS3 has the upcoming Uncharted 2 which will do very well, Final Fantasy XIII in Japan, Ratchet and Clank which usually does well during the holidays,  and the couple of the huge multiplat titles, but those have typically been doing better on the 360.

So by January 1st which console's holiday games will have sold the most?

Here is a chart I will be updating weekly, with the top 5 titles for each platform.  Updated 1/5 (With week ending 12/19's #s)

 

		Wii Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
New Super Mario Bros.	1,947,571	2,990,903	1,740,939	6,679,413
Wii Fit Plus	1,184,627	2,474,989	2,300,780	5,960,396
Mario and Sonic Winter Olympics	98,803	893,648	1,058,285	2,050,736
Disney Sing It: Pop Hits		420,542	107,890	528,432
Fifa 10		111,928	359,104	471,032
Total	3,231,001	6,780,082	5,207,894	15,690,009

		Wii Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Wii Fit Plus	329778			329778
2				0
3				0
4				0
5				0
Total	329778	0	0	329778
		PS3 Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Fifa 10			780332	780332
Ninja Gaiden Sigma	39829	N/A	28478	68307
3				0
4				0
5				0
Total	39829	0	808810	848639
		360 Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Fifa 10			567475	567475
2				0
3				0
4				0
5				0
Total	0	0	567475	567475
Current Wii -PS3 Difference	289949	0	-808810	-518861
Current Wii -360 Difference	329778	0	-567475	-237697
Current PS3 -360 Difference	39829	0	241335	281164

		PS3 Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Modern Warfare 2	132,974	2,688,196	2,443,698	5,264,868
Fifa 10	36,737	242,877	2,229,752	2,509,366
Uncharted 2	106,259	1,118,574	1,079,799	2,304,632
Assassin's Creed 2	77,145	899,099	1,115,437	2,091,681
Pro Evolution Soccer	363,343	103,081	1,208,781	1,675,205
Total	353,115	4,948,746	6,868,686	13,845,752

		360 Top 5 Holiday Games
Game	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Modern Warfare 2	58,037	5,279,164	2,453,132	7,790,333
Assassin's Creed 2	40775	1399149	911921	2,351,845
Forza MotorSport	53767	823895	1037291	1,914,953
Fifa 10	9,922	321,679	1,575,862	1,907,463
Left 4 Dead 2	42962	1492993	414380	1,950,335
Total	205,463	9,316,880	6,392,586	15,914,929

	Japan Sales	America Sales	Other Sales	Total
Current Wii -PS3 Difference	2,877,886	1,831,336	-1,660,792	1,844,257
Current Wii -360 Difference	3,025,538	-2,536,798	-1,184,692	-224,920
Current PS3 -360 Difference	147,652	-4,368,134	476,100	-2,069,177
	Wordwide increase from last week
Wii	2,999,154
PS3	1,167,410
360	1,570,654

If you didn't read the rest of the post, please read this before posting.

-This thread is only about games released in Oct-Dec and their sales until Dec 31st.

- Not just exclusive titles.

If a game is released in some regions during the time frame but not others, only the sales in the regions where the game was released in Oct-Dec will be counted.

215 people voted in this poll that was taken down on Oct 31st. The majority of people thought the Wii will win, but it is currently in last place. Which group of voters do you agree with?

If you are interested in total software sold during the holiday period I've posted that here. But I want this thread to remain about the topic detailed above.