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Forums - Sales Discussion - ioi vs ZorroX :: Japan prediction Contest for Wii & PS3 Holiday Sales. :P

Avinash_Tyagi on 25 January 2010

I think its pretty likely ioi will win this bet, Wii is only about 200K away at this point and thanks to NSMB Wii is leading in weekly sales, probably will pass 10 million before the end of march



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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ViolentPhlegm on 26 January 2010

(Late) update for week ending Jan 17:

1) Both sets of ioi predictions and ZorroX's original predictions for Wii are the same from here on in.

WEEK ENDED JAN 17 Wii: 51,865 PS3: 34,522
Prediction Error to 10M thru Jan 31 Prediction Error to 5M thru Jan 31
ioi (original) 50,000 -1,865 -3.6% 125,390 40,000 +5,478 +15.9% 246,513
ioi (revised) 37,500 +2,978 +8.6% 253,263
ZorroX (original) 70,000 +35,478 +102.8% 206,513
ZorroX (revised) 40,000 -11,865 -22.9% 135,390 - - - -

NOTE: "to 10M/5M thru Jan 31" indicates how far sales will be from the 10M/5M target if the prediction set is 100% correct from now on.

Predictions within 15%.

Predictions worse than 30%.



Alby_da_Wolf on 26 January 2010

Impressive Wii performance.
And impressive average accuracy of ioi's predictions.
But also ZorroX was quite impressive, if he's really CrazzyMan, as he was quite accurate a lot of times, a thing nobody expected considering how much over-the-top he was writing with his original account...



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