I'd be very very surprised if this game isn't huge.

If this game doesn't sell Wiis, i have no idea what will.

Again, for everybody saying the game is going to sell hugely: the OP is about this game causing an hardware sales boosts. In other words the question is: how much appeal will this title grant to the Wii that was not granted up to this point by the combination of SMG, Mario Kart Wii, Mario Party, Mario and Sonic Olympics etc.

Because while I can see the obvious appeal of the game, the question is how many of those old-school SMB gamers haven't bought a Wii yet, for themselves or their children.

My idea is that we'll see a boost, but nothing as incredible as some people seem to think, because the Wii has had a low "system-wide" entry barrier since its start (SMG too hard for SMB-era dads? They probably bought one anyway for their children and Mario Kart).
That low entry barrier worked great, law of diminishing returns kicks in.

Of course it is.

Kinda strange isn't it every damn game released on PS3 or 360 is aparently a system seller but nooooooo there can't be a game released on Wii that sells systems......

Port of a DS game... wtf are you kidding me..it looks way better.

SMG sold 8 million. 2D Marios have been known to sell more than that. That would suggest the entire 2D Mario fanbase has not bought in yet.

People who don't think this game would sell Wiis, just curious, what game do you think WOULD sell Wiis? Besides maybe Wii Zelda?

You missed my point there, it being that even if SMG had a too high entry barrier being a 3D Mario, the system as a whole has always had a low entry barrier for a vastly overlapped amount of people. IE they bought a Wii anyway for other games (Wii sports, Mario Kart Wii, other Mario spin-offs).

Let's say that NSMB Wii is marketed very well as a fun, 4x multiplayer, easy to get into game for the family sporting Mario. For many people that happened yet, and that's Mario Kart, and they already bought a Wii.

Nostalgia will kick in for many that were on the fence, my doubt is how many of them there are when compared to the present Wii userbase.

Barring some huge unannounced game, this will outsell everything on Wii except Wii-Titles and MKWii (and maybe Smash) within 1 year of release.

10 million by December 31 2010, no doubt about it...

The appeal will be massive (just like MKWii and MKDS and NSMB(DS)). It may not sell consoles in a visible shift (like Halo 3 or GTA) but it will move consoles in the long run.

I am not saying this because I am a Mario fan. (Which I am) I am saying this because it is very likely.

It will sell hardware like hell. Just as much as mario kart wii, probably even more.

"Galaxy 2 is probably going to outsell this 3:1."
What's really funny abut this comment is that it's probably going be exact the opposite.

I'm sure it will move consoles. I'm of the opinion that any game which sells 5 million or more must drive hardware sales, and the idea that NSMBW will sell less than that is inconceivable to me.