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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Analysts' Sales Expectations for Holidays

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=200297
http://www.pinkgodzillagames.com/pinkytsu_news/japanese_analysts_pick_hottest.php

"There are two analysts (Sakurai and Murakami), and they provide various reasons for their predictions (series history, hype, platform popularity), but here are the numbers expected."

Nintendo DS

Final Fantasy Tactics A2 (Oct. 25)
500,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Nov.25 259,000 


Mario Party DS (Nov. 8)
1,000,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 1,441,000 


Dragon Quest IV (Nov. 22)
1,000,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 1,123,000 


Layton Kyouju to Akuma no Hako (Nov. 29)
600,000+
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 674,000 


Tales of Innocence (Dec. 6)
200,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.30 178,000 


Final Fantasy IV (Dec. 20)
1,000,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 527,000 

Sony PSP

Minna no Golf Portable 2 (Dec. 6)
500,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.16 125,000 

Playstation 3

Shin Sangoku Musou 5 (Nov. 11)
300,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.02 295,000 


Gran Turismo 5 Prologue (Dec. 13)
800,000 - 1,000,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 179,000 

Playstation 2

Winning Eleven 2008 (Nov. 22)
1,000,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 582,000 


SD Gundam G Generation Spirits (Nov. 29)
300,000 - 500,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.16 313,000 


Super Robot Taisen OG Gaiden (Dec. 27)
300,000 - 500,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 542,000 

Nintendo Wii

Super Mario Galaxy (Nov. 1)
1,500,000 - 2,000,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06810,000 


Biohazard Umbrella Chronicles (Nov. 15)
500,000 - 600,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 234,000 


Wii Fit (Dec. 1)
1,500,000 - 2,500,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Jan.06 912,000 


NiGHTS (Dec. 13)
200,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.16 17,000 

Xbox 360

Ace Combat 6 (Nov. 1)
100,000 - 200,000

Famitsu Total 
W/E Nov.25 81,000 


Lost Odyssey (Dec. 6)
200,000 - 300,000
Famitsu Total 
W/E Dec.09 60,000 


Around the Network

This is for japan only, right? If so sounds good



Wii Fit numbers are extremely high, I wonder if they even have enough Balance Boards to supply that many copies to the market. Also Wii sales will go through the roof if those Wii software numbers become reality, I am really curious how many Wiis Nintendo will be able to ship into Japan. Q2 numbers released in about a week time might give a decent picture on this though.



Wii Fit
S: 2,000,000 - 2,500,000 (Dec. 1)
M: 1,500,000+


That would certainly push hardware!

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

Somehow, I question those Wii Fit numbers if those are from Dec 1-31st....

Other than that, seemingly decent. Really low/bad numbers for Dynasty Warriors 5.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Around the Network

How about Mario Galaxy 1.500.000 - 2.000.000!!

Why don't they mention Dragon Quest IV and Layton 2? I see those as more potential sellers on the DS than those games mentioned. If FFIV really sell that much it would be completely ridiculous!



PLAYSTATION®3 is the future.....NOW.......B_E_L_I_E_V_E

Supporter of PlayStation and Nintendo

How on earth do they think FFIV is gonna sell a mil?!... It's another freakin remake...



THE NETHERLANDS

crho said:

... 

PS3

Shin Sangoku Musou 5 (Nov. 11)
S: 300,000
M: 300,000

...

If this sells only 300k, it would be a complete disaster for the PS3. Biggest game yet, and a true(?) next-gen title.

(mind you a 360 version is being released as well?)

It *should* sell 500k - at least. There isn't that much else hitting Japan for Xmas (Devil May Cry?).

 

 



Gesta Non Verba

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Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

shams said:

crho said:

...

PS3

Shin Sangoku Musou 5 (Nov. 11)
S: 300,000
M: 300,000

...

If this sells only 300k, it would be a complete disaster for the PS3. Biggest game yet, and a true(?) next-gen title.

(mind you a 360 version is being released as well?)

It *should* sell 500k - at least. There isn't that much else hitting Japan for Xmas (Devil May Cry?).

 

 


Well, don't forget the current size of the userbase and how earlier Playstation 2 hits have shown considerably lower sales on PS 3 compared to the PS2 days. How many copies did the series sell on PS2?



@StarcraftManiac & Onna76
FFIII sold >1m in Japan alone. And FFIV is more like a new game (1/4th of the original script intact).