mmm, somehow I ended up with 4m X360s during last holidays so that's why I predicted PS3 would sell only up to 29.71m units until year's end. Alright, so I re-do my numbers and predict 31.27m units until January.

I predict that this year's economy is worse than last year. PS3 will fail its predictions

No i think it will only hit 28 million.

32M or I go on a Hunger Strike

I should admit I just read the thread title, posted, then read your analysis and I will admit I was wrong. By your analysis I think the PS3 could do 30 million. I'd give it about a 70% shot at making 30 million, and a 99.9999999% chance of making 29 million.

Didn't the PS3 sold now more than the original Xbox?

I thought the Xbox sold 24,58...something like that?

Did gt5 realy get delayed because sony wont have enougth ps3's to ship out because we all no gt5 will be sonys biggest game?
and the ps3 should hit 31 million + by the end of december.

A good point was brought up with the unit shipping... how many PS3Slims can sony shove out a month? Also we already are seeing the shift in 360/PS3 sales in the US and I hesitate to call Sony's numbers anything but pent up demand for now. Alot of poeple point out the 360 sales, but as far as I can see the decent spike and then drop shows that Microsoft is more able to provide the price point that people want and they went on to sell massively the last two months. This is Microsoft's 5th holiday with the Xbox 360 and they've topped their numbers each year... I'm not saying they can do it this year, but I doubt that Sony's going to do it either. I think that the US is really going to be the deciding factor in wether Sony can hit that 30 million mark or not... I should go look at my predition I think I predicted 30million by years end for the PS3.

@Cueil

You would have to be in the top 10 haters and doubters of the PS3 on VGC!

Cannot wait till SONY meets its 13 mil target this fiscal yr.

@non-gravity

"Sony projected to sell 13 million this financial year, which means they need to ship 34.2 million by the end of March.This means that Sony should have sold about 31 million to customors by the end of December. Sony thinks it's possible"

I feel so too, non-gravity. Not only will the price cut with the new Slim be in full effect this holiday seaseon, there is much better SW to help the momentum stay large. FF13 alone should see double HW pushed for that period in Japan.

It kinder feels true what some are saying; the PS3 Slim is the new "official" release for the PS3. We are seeing a new and stronger SONY. So, don't be so sure that SONY won't make their forcast of 13 mil (which is only 3 mil more then the previous), especially with all the bad press they had up till the Slim launch, which is something I am sure they do not want again.