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Forums - Gaming - Famitsu Sales Forecasts (FF13 [low?], Wii Fit, Tekken, etc.)

lol. Tekken 6 most front loaded game ever?



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Wow, look at the massive difference there is between VGC LTD numbers for M&S at the Olympics and the ones Famitsu has... 610k vs 384k

Still I think they are lowballing everything on purpose.



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tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

Famitsu July Estimates: First Shipment/Total Forecast

[NDS] Pokemon Heart Gold/Soul Silver (Pokemon) FS 1.59M-2.21M / TF 3.40M-4.80M (Pokemon DP: FW 1.586M / LTD 5.686M)
[WII] Monster Hunter 3 (Capcom) FS 800K-1.00M / TF 800K-1.20M (MH2: FW 368K / LTD 571K)
[PSP] Tales of VS. (Bandai Namco Games) FS 180K-220K / TF 180K-260K (TotW RM2: FW 210K / LTD 317K)
[NDS] SaGa 2: Hihou Densetsu - Goddess of Destiny (Square Enix) FS 170K-250K / TF 260K-360K (Romancing SaGa PS2: FW 221K / LTD 455K)
[PS3] Tales of Vesperia (Bandai Namco Games) FS 130K-190K / TF 230K-330K (ToV 360: FW 101K / LTD 195K)
[PS2] SD Gundam G Generation Wars (Bandai Namco Games) FS 130K-180K / TF 130K-180K (GG Spirits: FW 231K / LTD 372K)
[NDS] Blood of Bahamut (Square Enix) FS 110K-160K / TF 130K-180K
[PS3] Kidou Senshi Gundam Senki Record U.C. 0081 (Bandai Namco Games) FS 90K-120K / TF 120K-180K (GM2: FW 162K / LTD 316K)
[NDS] Tingle's Love Balloon Trip (Nintendo) FS 80K-120K / TF 140K-180K (Rosy Rupeeland: FW 46K / LTD 235K)
[NDS] Super Robot Gakuen (Bandai Namco Games) FS 80K-110K / TF 80K-110K (SRT OG Saga: FW 90K / LTD 121K)

http://dubai.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/ghard/1247827322/156

They were pretty spot on though, low only on 2 games so far. I'd reconsider what I said, they seem to have a lot of preorder information before games are out. Those aren't really predictions lol, those are numbers based on preorders. Cheaters, but I still see some games too low.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres already posted it, nvm



It (PS3's market share) might hit 30%, but definently not more. ~ Neo

Flaming (Calling another user (any user) a fanboy is flaming.) ~ Machina-AX

I'm also very surprised at FF13. Those are the expectations it seems.



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Soriku, those are shipment numbers not first week figures. That's why they may seem frontloaded, they are expecting the game not to sell all it's shipment in the first week.

For example for SD Gundam G, they expected sales to be no more than the first shipment, meaning they thought it wasn't gonna be able to sell even its first shipment. But they failed pretty bad on that one.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres said:
Famitsu July Estimates: First Shipment/Total Forecast

[NDS] Pokemon Heart Gold/Soul Silver (Pokemon) FS 1.59M-2.21M / TF 3.40M-4.80M (Pokemon DP: FW 1.586M / LTD 5.686M)
[WII] Monster Hunter 3 (Capcom) FS 800K-1.00M / TF 800K-1.20M (MH2: FW 368K / LTD 571K)
[PSP] Tales of VS. (Bandai Namco Games) FS 180K-220K / TF 180K-260K (TotW RM2: FW 210K / LTD 317K)
[NDS] SaGa 2: Hihou Densetsu - Goddess of Destiny (Square Enix) FS 170K-250K / TF 260K-360K (Romancing SaGa PS2: FW 221K / LTD 455K)
[PS3] Tales of Vesperia (Bandai Namco Games) FS 130K-190K / TF 230K-330K (ToV 360: FW 101K / LTD 195K)
[PS2] SD Gundam G Generation Wars (Bandai Namco Games) FS 130K-180K / TF 130K-180K (GG Spirits: FW 231K / LTD 372K)
[NDS] Blood of Bahamut (Square Enix) FS 110K-160K / TF 130K-180K
[PS3] Kidou Senshi Gundam Senki Record U.C. 0081 (Bandai Namco Games) FS 90K-120K / TF 120K-180K (GM2: FW 162K / LTD 316K)
[NDS] Tingle's Love Balloon Trip (Nintendo) FS 80K-120K / TF 140K-180K (Rosy Rupeeland: FW 46K / LTD 235K)
[NDS] Super Robot Gakuen (Bandai Namco Games) FS 80K-110K / TF 80K-110K (SRT OG Saga: FW 90K / LTD 121K)

http://dubai.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/ghard/1247827322/156

They were pretty spot on though, low only on 2 games so far. I'd reconsider what I said, they seem to have a lot of preorder information before games are out. Those aren't really predictions lol, those are numbers based on preorders. Cheaters, but I still see some games too low.

i think Famitsu underestimated the sale number of PS2 and PS3 games.  for PS3 games, that was before the price cut announcement.  so, it's understandable.

they must be very surprised by the sale number of SD GUndam G Generation on PS2 'cause their estimate number is way off.

 



It (PS3's market share) might hit 30%, but definently not more. ~ Neo

Flaming (Calling another user (any user) a fanboy is flaming.) ~ Machina-AX

ff13 seems a bit low for the hype behind it.



If that's what FFXIII is going to sell on the PS3 then the next mainline FF game will be on a handheld.



trestres said:
Wow, look at the massive difference there is between VGC LTD numbers for M&S at the Olympics and the ones Famitsu has... 610k vs 384k

Still I think they are lowballing everything on purpose.

The 610k is for the Wii version, not the DS one. That one is at 410k at Vgchartz.