All these release dates are brought to you by Dengeki, and I do not guarantee they are 100% correct, although I will say the site is as reliable as you can get. Also I might not know the names at all, so I will just give a description of those games.

With both PS3 and Wii being close in YTD sales for 2009 over there in Japan, I decided I would do a list of upcoming games by platform and month until the end of 2009, and based on this you should decide who will have the bigger edge at the end. I will update later if more games or price cuts/bundles/HW revisions are announced.

So let's start


September:

Week of 09/17

PS3

- Tales of Vesperia
- Tears to Tiara Gaiden
- Terminator Salvation
- WET
- FUEL
- Disgaea 3 (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- Endless Ocean 2
- The House of the Dead: Overkill


Week of 09/24

PS3

None


Wii

- Bomberman Wii (Cheaper Edition)


October:

Week of 10/01

PS3

- Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2
- Trinity Universe
- Dinasty Warriors Multi Raid Special


Wii

- Wii Console price cut to 20,000 yen (~200$)
- Wii Fit Plus + Balance Board Bundle
- Wii Fit Plus
- Dead Space: Extraction
- MySims Agents


Week of 10/08

PS3

- White Knight Chronicles Extended Edition


Wii

- Valhalla Knights: Eldar Saga


Week of 10/15

PS3

- Uncharted 2
- NHL 2K10
- NBA 2K10
- UFC 2009 Undisputed


Wii

- Okami


Week of 10/22

PS3

- FIFA 10


Wii

- FIFA 10
- Hula-Hula Wii
- A cat petting simulator


Week of 10/29

PS3

- Tekken 6 + Arcade Controller Bundle
- Tekken 6
- Bayonetta
- Way of the Samurai 3 Plus


Wii

- Super Robot Wars Neo
- Sin & Punishment 2
- Wacky World of Sports


November:

Week of 11/05

PS3

- Pro Evolution Soccer 2010 + PlayStation 3 Consoles Bundle
- Pro Evolution Soccer 2010
- 3D Dot Heroes
- Infamous
- Colin McRae's DiRT 2
- NBA 2010


Wii

- Mario & Sonic at the Vancouver Olympics
- Fishing Master (Cheaper Edition)


Week of 11/12

PS3

- Dragon Ball Z: Raging Blast
- Need for Speed Shift
- Shaun White Snowboarding (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles: The Crystal Bearers


Week of 11/19

PS3

- Ratchet & Clank Future 2


Wii

- Taiko Drum Master Wii 2 + Drum Controller Bundle
- Taiko Drum Master Wii 2
- The Calling
- Beyblade
- Family Challenge + DDR Mat Bundle
- Family Challenge
- Survival Kids Wii (Cheaper Edition)


Week of 11/26

PS3

- Fallout 3 (Cheaper Edition)
- Mirrors Edge (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- Naruto 10th Anniversary
- Karaoke Joysound Wii DX (With/Without Microphone)
- Momotarou Dentetsu 2010
- Puyo Puyo 7
- Rabbids Go Home
- SimAnimals: Africa



December:

Week of 12/03

PS3

- Assassin's Creed 2
- Fallout 3: Game of the Year Edition
- Fallout 3 Expansion Set
- Resistance: Fall of Man (Cheaper Edition)
- Folklore (Cheaper Edition)
- Yakuza 3 (Cheaper Edition)
- Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- New Super Mario Bros Wii
- Pink/Blue WiiMotes
- Samurai Warriors 3 + Black Wii Console + Classic Controller Pro Bundle
- Samurai Warriors 3 + Classic Controller Pro (Treasure Box and Standard Editions)
- Samurai Warriors 3
- PokePark Wii: Pikachu's Big Adventure
- Kamen Rider Climax Heroes W
- Tokyo Friend Pack 2
- Isometric & Karate Excercises
- Disney's UP
- Takumi Restaurant
- Dragon Quest Swords: The Masked Queen and the Tower of Mirrors (Cheaper Edition)
- Resident Evil (Cheaper Edition)
- Resident Evil 0 (Cheaper Edition)


Week of 12/10

PS3

- Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
- X Edge (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- Tales of Graces + Wii Console + Classic Controller Pro Bundle
- Tales of Graces
- Pro Evolution Soccer 2010 + Classic Controller Pro Bundle
- Pro Evolution Soccer 2010
- Full Metal Alchemist 2 Wii
- Toshinden
- Family Trainer 1 & 2
- Family Trainer 2


Week of 12/17

PS3

- Final Fantasy XIII + White PlayStation 3 Console Bundle
- Final Fantasy XIII
- El Oriente Koei's MMORPG
- Dynasty Warriors Gundam 2 (Cheaper Edition)


Wii

- NHK Red/White Quiz Battle
- F1 2009
- Need for Speed Nitro
- MS Gundam 0079 (Cheaper Edition)


Week of 12/24

PS3

None


Wii

None

YTD Sales: PS3 1796k vs Wii 1988k     Updated 12/26 (Wii +96,357)

Wii is the winner of this race by 192k units.

Wii

- FIFA 10
- A cat petting simulator

made me laugh

Me too. I think it would be much better to adopt a cat and make funny videos of him.

I'd say September and October go to the PS3, November to the Wii and December still undecided. If NSMBWii is a December title it will be close, otherwise Sony should win that month with FFXIII.

Good summary Trestres.

Although I think the PS3 has a much improved line up over previous years, and finally has a more appealing (to the Japanese market) hardware design, I still think Nintendo have the advantage here. Wii Fit Plus may invigorate sales (though it will not have the massive effect the original did) and will add some strength to weekly sales in the long run. I genuinely think NSMB Wii is the game to push the Wii in Japan and worldwide-I think Nintendo have (at least) a massive marketing campaign planned for this game, and possible hardware bundles.

Wii will come out on top, but not by a massive margin. FFXIII is the game that will push PS3 close to Wii for the period. Even if it just has a massive opening week, it'll push it close to Wii's overall sales for the few months. In terms of home consoles, it will definitely be the most competitive period in Japan for quite some time.

Don't forget GT5 because it seems that it will be released this year. It will be really close race this year between PS3 and Wii. (In Japan obviously)

Seems to me like the average Wii title is more likely to appeal in Japan than the average PS3 title, though the PS3 offsets that purely with FF, and also with the growing possibility of December GT5

NSMBWii could be December in Japan, since their holiday season runs differently and doesn't have the critical juncture of Black Friday to worry about, so Nintendo could place it at a more optimum time for their holiday season, whereas here they more or less have to get it out the door before Thanksgiving.

I just see it as all about FFXIII (& GT5 if it comes out this year) vs. NSMB Wii

I think Wii has a small edge. I see there at least 4 games on Wii that should sell over 300k (5 if Tales of Graces releases in December) and 3 games for PS3, if you count GT5 of course.

Depends on whether or not Wii gets a price cut, and when. Also depends on how well PS3 holds it's price cut/slim increase. I would say the Wii would win either way, but by how much depends on these factors. It could be anywhere from edging it out to dominance.