By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - General - A Theory for Obama’s Plummeting Approval Rating

outlawauron on 31 August 2009
Slimebeast said:
47% approval rating eh? What was Mr Bush's all time low? (and Clinton's)

take a look a stick's post. His is a pretty graph.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

Around the Network
Slimebeast on 31 August 2009
outlawauron said:
Slimebeast said:
47% approval rating eh? What was Mr Bush's all time low? (and Clinton's)

take a look a stick's post. His is a pretty graph.


Hey wise guy, that graph says it was no less than 35% while JEDE3 says it was 26.1 % for Bush. What am I supposed to believ?



outlawauron on 31 August 2009
Slimebeast said:
outlawauron said:
Slimebeast said:
47% approval rating eh? What was Mr Bush's all time low? (and Clinton's)

take a look a stick's post. His is a pretty graph.


Hey wise guy, that graph says it was no less than 35% while JEDE3 says it was 26.1 % for Bush. What am I supposed to believ?

I dunno.

I found this.

We also don't know the final date on stick's graph.

Bush final approval rating is like in the upper twenties.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

JEDE3 on 31 August 2009
Slimebeast said:
outlawauron said:
Slimebeast said:
47% approval rating eh? What was Mr Bush's all time low? (and Clinton's)

take a look a stick's post. His is a pretty graph.


Hey wise guy, that graph says it was no less than 35% while JEDE3 says it was 26.1 % for Bush. What am I supposed to believ?


I don't know how far the chart goes up to for bush but the 26.1% was at the very very very end of his term. basically right when Obama got in office. Also, there are different sources and polls. I think there are 3 companies who do these kinds of polls. So that would expalin different outcomes.

JEDE3 on 31 August 2009

This is where I got my number.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/presidentbush/2008/11/unpopular.html

There is a chart too.



Around the Network
mrstickball on 31 August 2009

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-presapp0605-31.html

/\ Is the source for the polls. They were conducted by Gallup, which has Obama at 51%.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/122513/Presidential-Approval-Usually-Falls-Below-Timing-Varies.aspx?CSTS=alert

..Of course, the timing of dropping below 50% is not entirely a quantitative source of trends towards approval ratings. Bush took 37 months, while Clinton took 4. We know how approval ratings ended up :-p

 



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

mrstickball on 31 August 2009

FYI: The original chart I used only tracked Bush up to 2007 (or so). It's been updated to include his entire term - which caused the discrepancy. This was the fault of the chart I used, not outlaw's chart (which is indeed accurate, and the same thing I used. Just that it included his entire term)



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Craan on 31 August 2009

Swing Voters are dumb they forget things. The economy will probably bounce back, guess who's gonna get the credit for that? in 2010 the democrats are going to have losses in the house and senate 2012 the democrats are going to have more losses in the house and senate, but Obama is almost certainly going to be reelected. Not to mention he probably won't have much competition.



JEDE3 on 31 August 2009
Craan said:
Swing Voters are dumb they forget things. The economy will probably bounce back, guess who's gonna get the credit for that? in 2010 the democrats are going to have losses in the house and senate 2012 the democrats are going to have more losses in the house and senate, but Obama is almost certainly going to be reelected. Not to mention he probably won't have much competition.

im glad you know who he will run against in 2012 and im glad you know his term will be flawless from here on out. Whoever he runs against will bring up every mistake he makes. don't be so certain.

halogamer1989 on 31 August 2009
Craan said:
Swing Voters are dumb they forget things. The economy will probably bounce back, guess who's gonna get the credit for that? in 2010 the democrats are going to have losses in the house and senate 2012 the democrats are going to have more losses in the house and senate, but Obama is almost certainly going to be reelected. Not to mention he probably won't have much competition.

Indies are against him by a 2:1 margin now plus in all likelyhood there will be a double dip recession.  + we don't know who will get the GOP nom.  Could be Romney or Gingrich and if the latter Obama would lose. Remember the black/youth vote pulled him over in toss-up states by like 1-2%.  VA will go red in 2012 I can tell you that much. 

VA and NJ will go GOP this Nov. which will help turn Obama's tide.  I predict 20+ seats in the House and around 10 in the Senate for the GOP in '10.