By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sony - Will there be PS3 shortages this Holiday Season?

Showertea on 21 August 2009

No way. Any bump from the price drop will dissolve by early september at the latest. Besides, it's not like the PS3 productive capacity has been taxed for the last couple of years. I bet they have a huge stockpile of Slims already produced. I mean, from what I understand, the last couple months have just been Sony letting the stock they already shipped to stores sell out, so they wouldn't lose so much on the price drop.



Wii has more 20 million sellers than PS3 has 5 million sellers.

Acolyte of Disruption

Around the Network
greenmedic88 on 21 August 2009
Xoj said:
greenmedic88 said:
This is just the initial rush one would expect for a major price drop, compounded with the introduction of an all new SKU/re-packaging.

Sustained sales following the initial 3-4 week rush is what should be watched rather than the initial surge.

The only way I can conceivably see the PS3 "selling out" over the holidays, is if SCE has serious production issues with the new manufacturing process and is unable to deliver enough systems to meet or exceed their 13m projection for the year 2009.

However, I don't see this happening as the $299 price and Slim redesign have mostly likely been on the books for the 2009 estimates since well before those projections were made. In other words, SCE has been planning this for the better part of a year in all likelihood.

So if there is a "sell out," it would/should mean that SCE sold more than 13m consoles for the year which I just don't see happening.

At worst, some regions may see pinched supplies, which is far from an overall supply constraint due to demand exceeding output.

well both nintendo and microsoft called that supply contraint.

while it was only in america and some states.

I was actually referring to local markets rather than general NA, EU, JPN markets or even individual EU nations.

If we see non local online retailers like Amazon in consistent short supply of the PS3, SCE may well meet or exceed their annual projection, assuming production matches what they were planning on selling (13m).

I'm inclined to believe that the MS "supply constraint" last year was a cover to keep modest (but still strong) sales in a favorable light. Considering that I was seeing Christmas bundles (the two free pack in games) at retail for months after December, how else should one interpret that?

Nintendo on the other hand was clearly supply constrained based upon the repeated efforts to ramp up production every six months.



greenmedic88 on 21 August 2009
Showertea said:
No way. Any bump from the price drop will dissolve by early september at the latest. Besides, it's not like the PS3 productive capacity has been taxed for the last couple of years. I bet they have a huge stockpile of Slims already produced. I mean, from what I understand, the last couple months have just been Sony letting the stock they already shipped to stores sell out, so they wouldn't lose so much on the price drop.

It will be interesting to see how long old stock on 80GB SKUs will remain available at most retail outlets.

I'm pretty sure it's already been removed from most re-order inventory sheets although there will always be old stock floating around somewhere.

It should be testament as to how well SCE knows its supply channels; if they are more or less gone from retail shelves by September 1st, that would be an impressive feat given the mere two week gap between announcement and release.

I expect to see 160GB bundles lingering around for quite some time after though.



Xoj on 21 August 2009
greenmedic88 said:
Xoj said:
greenmedic88 said:
This is just the initial rush one would expect for a major price drop, compounded with the introduction of an all new SKU/re-packaging.

Sustained sales following the initial 3-4 week rush is what should be watched rather than the initial surge.

The only way I can conceivably see the PS3 "selling out" over the holidays, is if SCE has serious production issues with the new manufacturing process and is unable to deliver enough systems to meet or exceed their 13m projection for the year 2009.

However, I don't see this happening as the $299 price and Slim redesign have mostly likely been on the books for the 2009 estimates since well before those projections were made. In other words, SCE has been planning this for the better part of a year in all likelihood.

So if there is a "sell out," it would/should mean that SCE sold more than 13m consoles for the year which I just don't see happening.

At worst, some regions may see pinched supplies, which is far from an overall supply constraint due to demand exceeding output.

well both nintendo and microsoft called that supply contraint.

while it was only in america and some states.

I was actually referring to local markets rather than general NA, EU, JPN markets or even individual EU nations.

If we see non local online retailers like Amazon in consistent short supply of the PS3, SCE may well meet or exceed their annual projection, assuming production matches what they were planning on selling (13m).

I'm inclined to believe that the MS "supply constraint" last year was a cover to keep modest (but still strong) sales in a favorable light. Considering that I was seeing Christmas bundles (the two free pack in games) at retail for months after December, how else should one interpret that?

Nintendo on the other hand was clearly supply constrained based upon the repeated efforts to ramp up production every six months.

again only in some states, other like european and japan had piles of wii on many stores.



Carl on 21 August 2009

Sony says there wont be. And im sure they have high expectations.



                            

Around the Network
dorbin2009 on 21 August 2009

"Sighs"

No. There will not be any shortages. This is not a system launch, or the reinventing of the wheel. They simply brought themselves back down to a competitive level. 300 bucks is still 300 bucks. I can count on one hand just how many people have that much money sitting around for video games at any given time.