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greenmedic88 said:
Xoj said:
greenmedic88 said:
This is just the initial rush one would expect for a major price drop, compounded with the introduction of an all new SKU/re-packaging.

Sustained sales following the initial 3-4 week rush is what should be watched rather than the initial surge.

The only way I can conceivably see the PS3 "selling out" over the holidays, is if SCE has serious production issues with the new manufacturing process and is unable to deliver enough systems to meet or exceed their 13m projection for the year 2009.

However, I don't see this happening as the $299 price and Slim redesign have mostly likely been on the books for the 2009 estimates since well before those projections were made. In other words, SCE has been planning this for the better part of a year in all likelihood.

So if there is a "sell out," it would/should mean that SCE sold more than 13m consoles for the year which I just don't see happening.

At worst, some regions may see pinched supplies, which is far from an overall supply constraint due to demand exceeding output.


well both nintendo and microsoft called that supply contraint.

while it was only in america and some states.

I was actually referring to local markets rather than general NA, EU, JPN markets or even individual EU nations.

If we see non local online retailers like Amazon in consistent short supply of the PS3, SCE may well meet or exceed their annual projection, assuming production matches what they were planning on selling (13m).

I'm inclined to believe that the MS "supply constraint" last year was a cover to keep modest (but still strong) sales in a favorable light. Considering that I was seeing Christmas bundles (the two free pack in games) at retail for months after December, how else should one interpret that?

Nintendo on the other hand was clearly supply constrained based upon the repeated efforts to ramp up production every six months.

again only in some states, other like european and japan had piles of wii on many stores.