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Forums - Sales Discussion - What's your LTD predictions for the big three

I know this has been done before but I have a reason for this. The PS3 is close to coming out with a Slim/Price cut and Microsoft and Nintendo could possibly counter that with a price cut of there own and change everything around, not to mention the PS Wand and Natal could do good for sales aswell. So whats your LTD prediction for the big three consoles (PS3/X360/Wii or if you want PSP and DS) and then I might revive this thread around the end of the year to see if people agree with there prediction or not (If I'm allowed).

From now till the end of the year is going to get pretty ridiculous with the big three, anything could happen (sales).

My LTD prediction:

PS3: 70 million

X360: 64 million

Wii: 133.99 million (Edited: because of Rol and his Forum Ninja skills)

Edit: READ PLEASE

Alright I made this thread in August and I'm reviving it to see if people agree with there predictions, now that the year is over and all the mayhem is starting to die down, what does people think the LTD sales will be now?



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Wii - 120 Million

PS3 - 60 Million

Xbox 360 -- 75 Million



PS3 - 50 million
Xbox 360 - 60 million
Wii - 130 million



Lifetime Shipments (HW):

DS Line (DS, Lite, i): 170m-200m

PS2: 147m

Wii: 120m-165m

PSP Line (PSP, PSP 2000, PSP 3000, PSP-Go): 80m-95m

X360: 45m-70m

PS3: 45m-70m

 

Lifetime Shipments (SW):

PS2 - 1.55b

Wii - 1.4b

DS Line - 1.15b

X360 - 750m

PS3 - 650m

PSP Line - 360m

 

HW Shipments to Retail Through June 2009 (SW):

PS2 ~ 139.30m (1.486b)

DS ~ 107.75m  (596m)

PSP ~ 53.00m (~215m)

Wii ~ 52.62m (384m)

X360 ~ 31.40m (~270m)

PS3 ~ 23.83m (~190m)

 

Variables Still Playing Out:

- When Nintendo cuts the Wii price for the first time.

- If Microsoft brands Natal as new system

- How much money Sony loses on PS3

- Whether Wii-HD is real or just Pachter speculation

- PSP Go success at $250

- Timing of DS 2/PSP 2 - both systems are semi-ancient tech now but perform quite well (especially DS).

- Introduction of "player's choice titles" for Wii/DS

- Digital Distribution

- Apple

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

This was my last set of life predictions... made back in February.

Wii Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 105 150-165 200?
Japan 16 18-22 25
Americas 50 70-76 90
Others 39 62-67 85
PS3
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 40
45-55 75
Japan 4 4-6 8
Americas 14 15-17 27
Others 22 26-32 40
X360
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 50 50-60 70
Japan 1 1-1.5 2
Americas 30 30-36.5 44
Others 19 19-22 24
DS Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 135 160-175 200?
Japan 30 31-34 35
Americas 47 57-62 65
Others 58 72-79 100
PSP Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 65 70-80 90
Japan 15 16-19 21
Americas 25 26-29 33
Others 25 28-32 36

-------------------

I think at the moment I would change it to this:

Wii Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 105 140-155 200?
Japan 16 17-21 25
Americas 50 65-71 90
Others 39 58-63 85
PS3
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 40
45-55 75
Japan 4 4-6 8
Americas 14 15-17 27
Others 22 26-32 40
X360
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 50 50-60 70
Japan 1 1-1.5 2
Americas 30 30-36.5 44
Others 19 19-22 24
DS Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 135 160-175 200?
Japan 30 31-34 35
Americas 47 57-62 65
Others 58 72-79 100
PSP Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 65 75-85 90
Japan 15 17-20 21
Americas 25 28-31 33
Others 25 30-34 36

Wii expected range goes down, PSP goes up..... I designed the minimum/maximum ranges to account for all possibilities, so they should always remain the same whatever happens, although PSP Go could be very close to pushing the max for PSP. (I didn't really expect something like that at all)



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Im not sure...

Wii: 100M (I don't see them continuing to sell the Wii once an equally cheap to produce, high margin Wii 2 is out)

Xbox 360: 60M

PS3: 50M



Tease.

Wii: 130m
360: 60m
PS3: 50m



Wii: 115M
PS3: 85M
360: 60M




Wii: 125M
PS3: 65M
360: 60M



RolStoppable said:
Gilgamesh said:

My LTD prediction:

PS3: 70 million

X360: 64 million

Wii: 135 million

Interesting.

My predictions: Wii 150m, 360 60m, PS3 50m. Like usual, without putting thought into it.

Interesting.

I guess you are correct:


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Created: 5th Mar 07
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RolStoppable

Gender: Male
Country: Austria
Favourite Games: Super Mario, Mario Kart, Paper Mario, Zelda, Metroid, Fire Emblem, F-Zero, Wave Race, Resident Evil, Soul Calibur, Baten Kaitos, Viewtiful Joe, Sonic, Colin McRae Rally, Okami
Favourite Music: Trance, videogame soundtracks
Favourite Films: Dodgeball - A true underdog story, Operation Broken Arrow, So the drama
Favourite Books: Blue Ocean Strategy
Favourite Food: Wiener Schnitzel, Pizza
Hobbies: Videogames, football and epic threads
About Me: My predictions:

The Wii will have at least tripled the combined sales of the 360 and PS3 once all three systems have stopped selling.