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Forums - Sony - Playstation 3 Sales Discussion: Sept. 29th

People asked, I give :)

 

 This WkLast Wk  NameWeek Sales  Total Sales% Drop Wks. in Release Expected LTD 
 #1 #1 Heavenly Sword 32,890 184,392 -40.0% 3 300,000
 #2 #2 .skate 29,154 29,154 --- 1 125,000
 #3 #4 Motorstorm 22,532 496,979 +15.9% 30 750,000+
 #4 #3 Warhawk 18,832 169,376 -12.6% 5 300,000+ O/L
 #5 #5 Madden 08 15,532 438,932 -17.2% 7 650,000
 #6 #6 DiRt 11,143 64,598 -34.8% 3 105,000
 #7 #9 Ghost Recon: AW2 7,445 115,531 -19.6% 6 160,000
 #8 #7 Stuntman: Ignition 7,400 23,179 -52.9% 2 50,000
 #9 ----  WSOP 2008 6,410 6,410 ---- 1 12,500
 #10 #11 Resistance: FoM 6,147 868,261 -19.8% 46 1,000,000

A few notes:

Overall, software has good drops, with many titles staying in the below-20% drop range.

#1. Heavenly Sword has a decent drop. With the holidays coming up, and an expected $100 price drop coming, we should see the game have consistent, and good drops in the future. My 300k expectation is low. HS could hit 350k or even 400k if the price drop increased alot of major titles.

#2. Skate does well for it's debut. Again, with holidays coming soon, skate could manage decent numbers.

#3. Motorstorm and #4 Warhawk do rather well. Warhawk continues to have great legs, and should be a very strong title throughout the rest of the year. Obviously, we cannot determine online sales, but in-store sales are doing well, and should continue in the top-200 for the rest of the year, if not more.

#5. Madden 08 has a great hold, like Warhawk, it should see great holds for the rest of the year, and wind up selling very well over Christmas, as other M08's should do.

 #6 and #8 - Dirt and Stuntman have bad drops. Appearently with Motorstorm being a pack-in, and the better game, no one must want other racing games. :)

#7 GRAW2 and #10 R:FOM have good holds, and should continue with strong runs. Expect R:FOM to do very, very well during Christmas, as it's still a very comprable shooter.

WSOP: 08 debuts at #9 and is a crappy title. It will have horrible drops, and might not make the top 200 next week. But I don't think anyone cares ;)

 

The much-funner Japanese charts: coming soon!

This Wk. Last Wk. Name   Week Sales Total Sales% Drop Wks in Release  Expected LTD
 #1  ---- TES: Oblivion 22,995 22,995 --- 1 65,000
 #2 ---- Record of Agarest War 9,198 9,198 --- 1 22,500
 #3 #1 Everybody's Golf 7,162 337,505 -15.2% 10 400,000
 #4 #2 Bladestorm: HYW 5,196 105,053 -25.2% 5 130,000
 #5 #3 My Summer Holidays 3 639 59,221 -16.7%13  62,500
 #6 #5 Ninja Gaiden Sigma 428 84,195 -17.4% 16 87,500
 #6 #4 Wangan Midnight 428 31,768 -22.2% 10 33,500
 #8 #6 FolkSoul 337 39,795 -18.9% 15 42,000
 #9 #8 Gundam Mousou 268 285,799 -14.4% 31 287,500
        

 

A few notes:

#1 Oblivion debuts a bit lower than expected...Atleast from me. One must ask a few questions: did the X360 version do so much better because everyone that wanted a copy bought one on a X360 (and subseqently own a X360), or is it that the X360 has such a strong Western-gaming fanbase? Either way though, 23k is still "good" for such a fantastic WRPG. Hopefully other major-tier WRPGs notice. I'd expect Oblivion to have good legs, and should do atleast 65k.

#2. Never heard of it, so I cannot comment. 10k isn't that great, but it's something for numbers. Nevertheless, it'll fade very, very quickly I believe.

#3. EBG5 continues with fantastic numbers, and strong drops, despite such a huge ownership. This is definately the PS3's killer app, as it continues to sell well, despite so many copies sold/available on a 1m userbase. Expect it to continue to chart on the top 10/200 for the rest of the year.

#4. Bladestorm is kind of a suprise, atleast to me. It's been having very strong drops, and shows that it'll continue to sell a bit more. 130k is a conservative estimate. But without an uber-strong lineup for Christmas, it could sell very well. Also, with the strength of Bladestorm, we can expect great numbers for the next Dynasty Warriors game.

I don't have the time to comment on #5-9, but they preformed....Normally. I guess would be the word :)



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

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Nice... A PS3 version...

Good to see Heavenly Sword holding solid. PS3 can use a title that has good legs. I thought DiRT would do better.

Resistance above Lair? After a month.... Wow.



For Lair vs. Resistance, it shows what strong and weak reviews and WOM do. Resistance has been the PS3's top-tier shooter since launch (ala COD2 was for X360), and still competes very well against the other shooters.

That's why Resistance has had a 25% attach rate almost every week since launch.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

care to have a guess at on-line sales of Warhawk?



Atari 2600, Sega Mega Drive, Game Boy, Game Boy Advanced, N64, Playstation, Xbox, PSP Phat, PSP 3000, and PS3 60gb (upgraded to 320gb), NDS

Linux Ubuntu user

Favourite game: Killzone 3

Very good Madden sales...



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Probably the wrong place for this analysis... but Madden sales are still down considerably on last year. Which is even worse when you consider the two new platforms (PS3/Wii) supported:

(2006) 

http://vgchartz.com/aweekly.php?date=38998 (after 7 weeks)

PS2 - 1.854m
360 - 912k
XBOX - 481k
PSP - 176k
GC - 136k

(2007)

http://vgchartz.com/aweekly.php?date=39355 (after 7 weeks)

360 - 1.159m
PS2 - 832k
PS3 - 438k
Wii - 171k
PSP - 107k

360 --> 127% (up 27% on last year)
PS2 --> 45% (down 55% on last year)

2006 (approx) total (7 weeks): 3,559

2007 (approx) total (7 weeks): 2,707

Sales currently at 76% (approx) of '06 sales - a drop of 24% on last years sales. With the new platforms, dev costs are probably up 20%-30% as well.

 



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

Don't let this divert the topic, but it's a good sign that the Wii version of Madden at least moderately outsold the GC version, with a significantly smaller US install base. Also, the PS3 sales are remarkable for the install size of the PS3.



@shams: You probably now that Madden 07 have a PS3 version. I think it was released later than others but sold pretty well (more than 400k, only Resistance, Motorstorm and Madden 08 sold better on PS3 in US).
Maybe if you include first 7 weeks for PS3 version it wouldn't look that bad.



@kamil: No, it would look worse! The stats marked (06) refer to the versions released in 2006, which EA conveniently labels '07.



@choirsoftheeye: Yes, my mistake, it would look even worse.
I checked it now, and Madden 07 for PS3 was released in November 2006 (12 weeks after PS2, Xbox etc. versions) and sold in its first seven weeks 223,000 units (http://www.vgchartz.com/aweekly.php?date=39082).
But PS3 version actually have a biggest growth (97%).