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Forums - Sony - PS3's Big Three Sales Prediction

I am frustrated by the fools who think that Uncharted will sell mediocre quantities and yet at the same time seek to overhype the other lame games which cannot live up to the greatness of Uncharted! Why is this?! Uncharted ought to pwn GoW 3 easily!!!



Tease.

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Snake612 said:
Gran Turismo 5 Lifetime sales will most likely be more than 9 million. I would say 12 million.


In order for it to be 12 million you have to assume that half to 1/3rd of the PS3 playerbase is into racing games. 

I would not be a betting man when it comes to that assumption, sorry.

I don't want to drag Forza into this, because I'm not about to de-rail this thread, but when making software predictions, you need to take into consideration the fact that very few franchises actually sell hardware, and unless your going to state that by the time its all said and done, 50 million + Ps3's are going to be saturated, 12 million is a longshot at best. Forza has a better chance of 12 million only because a) more 360's have been sold, b) Microsoft is going to bundle the hell out of it, and c) Sony fails at advertising. 

Don't get me wrong I think the game is going to be great, but don't inflate a number based on your personal preference, as hard as it sounds. 

 

 



First week

GOW 3 - 500k

Uncharted 2 - 550k

GT5 - 1 million.

Life Time

GOW 3 - 2.2 million

Uncharted 2 - 2.5 million

GT5 - 6 million



First Week

GoWIII - 900k
Uncharted 2 - 800k
Gran Turismo 5 - 3.5M

Life Time

GoWIII -4.0M
Uncharted 2 - 3.0M
Gran Turismo 7 - 10M



So I am guessing you're talking about exclusives? Cause even if you are talking strictly exclusive Final Fantasy Versus XIII should still be on that list. It is likely to do better than GOW3 and Uncharted 2.

My predictions:

GT5: 1.5 First Week. 7 Million LTD (I hope I'm shooting low).
U2: 350K First Week. 3 Mill. LTD.
GOW3: 300K First Week. 2.5 LTD.



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Lifetime:

Uncharted 2 - 1.5 million
God of War 3 - 3.5 million
Gran TUrismo 5 - 9 million



dorbin2009 said:
Snake612 said:
Gran Turismo 5 Lifetime sales will most likely be more than 9 million. I would say 12 million.


In order for it to be 12 million you have to assume that half to 1/3rd of the PS3 playerbase is into racing games. 

I would not be a betting man when it comes to that assumption, sorry.

I don't want to drag Forza into this, because I'm not about to de-rail this thread, but when making software predictions, you need to take into consideration the fact that very few franchises actually sell hardware, and unless your going to state that by the time its all said and done, 50 million + Ps3's are going to be saturated, 12 million is a longshot at best. Forza has a better chance of 12 million only because a) more 360's have been sold, b) Microsoft is going to bundle the hell out of it, and c) Sony fails at advertising. 

Don't get me wrong I think the game is going to be great, but don't inflate a number based on your personal preference, as hard as it sounds. 

 

 

Uhm. GT is a very popular franchise. Just like Halo to Xbox 360. Popular franchise sells regardless of userbase. MGS4 for example. A lot of people boght PS3 just for that game. Halo 3 too.



selnor said:
First week

GOW 3 - 500k

Uncharted 2 - 550k

GT5 - 1 million.

Life Time

GOW 3 - 2.2 million

Uncharted 2 - 2.5 million

GT5 - 6 million

This.



 

Evan Wells (Uncharted 2): I think the differences that you see between any two games has much more to do with the developer than whether it’s on the Xbox or PS3.

Sheepiam said:

Kantor you noob idiot, stop dissing Uncharted or I will have to send you another wall post complaining about your lack of intelligence.

Uncharted 2 will sell 4M because I said so.

Edit: I mean noob idiot in the nicest way possible, if I could I would say that Kantor loves sheep more than me and thats probably the biggest insult a New Zealander could hurl at anyone.

No! Be quiet! Stop praising PS3 exclusives or your sheep overlords will kill you!



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

leo-j said:
I havent done this in a while but..


"God of war III"- 2.5 million (maybe more.. if the ps3 is $299 and there is hype sorrounding the console, GOW3 may be the best selling game of the series)

"Gran turismo 5" - 4.5-6 million (alot less.. I have a feeling some of the GT5 sales have been stolen by GT5 Prologue, and it also depends on whether or not the game is bundled)

"Uncharted 2" - 1-2 million (Modern warfare 2, that is all)

I don't know you any more!

*sobs*



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective