i say 200k first week would be a major sucess but anything lower than 100k first week then is bad.

Some of you are seriously expecting a bigger opening than Punch Out!! and EA Sports Active?

Did you see commercials for Punch Out!! and EA Sports Active (I live in Canada... I didn't at least)?

I did for Punch-out. Just saw one couple days ago actually. It is a good one and to the point.

I would say about 60000 first week.

Why are Wii games so hard to predict?

It seems like people are excited for this game in the internet, but I am going for 140k first week, it might surprise us, but my expectation are low.

Hype on the internet does not mean its going to sell well people.
I vote for 80,000 world wide first week

Around 110k first week.

Well since it got pushed back in Europe to July, I'm gonna have to say 1st week sales in Americas will be about 75k-80k max... I can't see this game breaking 100k first week only because the only people who are really anticipating it are the hardcore internet gaming crowd who have been following it since it was unveiled on IGN over a year ago.

Unfortunately, as seen by sales of many other internet hyped and promoted 3rd party Wii titles like Zack and Wiki, No More Heroes, and Madworld, this is not nearly enough to garner big sales... the only way to do that is to breakthrough to the casual/mainstream Wii audience. Reggie said that they are trying to go after the "Halo" crowd and not ignore them like everyone thinks they are doing... well, there's no better way to go after that sort of crowd than with a game like The Conduit!

If the game turns out to have great online MP, then word of mouth will help it out and it'll have some legs at least through the summer since there's virtually no major online MP games being released for the Wii in the near future besides this game.

Anything lower than 100k first week in the American will be considered a failure on my part.