MontanaHatchet said: Selling at its current rate (100k a week), it would take about 350 weeks. Or, in other words, 7 years. I guess anything is possible.

Well you're not taking into consideration Holiday season and big game boosts. Also vgc has the PSP undertracked by a good 2 or 3+ million which would increase weekly averages, but that's a topic for another discussion.

 

FilaBrasileiro said: MontanaHatchet said: Selling at its current rate (100k a week), it would take about 350 weeks. Or, in other words, 7 years. I guess anything is possible. Well you're not taking into consideration Holiday season and big game boosts. Also vgc has the PSP undertracked by a good 2 or 3+ million which would increase weekly averages, but that's a topic for another discussion.

I'm offsetting holiday boosts by the natural declines that will come as the system gets older. The calculations are rough, but even if I'm being generous, we're still talking 5 years or more of consistent sales. I just don't see it happening.

MontanaHatchet said: FilaBrasileiro said: MontanaHatchet said: Selling at its current rate (100k a week), it would take about 350 weeks. Or, in other words, 7 years. I guess anything is possible. Well you're not taking into consideration Holiday season and big game boosts. Also vgc has the PSP undertracked by a good 2 or 3+ million which would increase weekly averages, but that's a topic for another discussion.   I'm offsetting holiday boosts by the natural declines that will come as the system gets older. The calculations are rough, but even if I'm being generous, we're still talking 5 years or more of consistent sales. I just don't see it happening.

Fair enough, but you must remember that historically handhelds have longer lifespans than consoles....but then again the history is only Nintendo handhelds pretty much lol. Also, Sony expects to sell 15 million  PSPs for this FY, which would be greater than 100k/week average. It will obviously be difficult, but I don't think it's impossible and I don't think they can do it without another revision to the PSP along with price drops of course.

 

It's set to have a huge holiday this year with Gran Turismo Portable, but the real tell will be if it can keep higher sales throughout these slower months. If it is back to 100k a week this time next year, it won't make it. But if it can manage around 150k+, it should give it a big push.

Didn't GBA only last 4 years?

ph4nt said: Didn't GBA only last 4 years?

Closer to 3 1/2 actually. 

Soundwave said: ph4nt said: Didn't GBA only last 4 years? Closer to 3 1/2 actually.

Depends what you mean by "last", it still continued to sell alright. It's like the PS2, it didn't just die when 360/PS3 were released.

ph4nt said: Didn't GBA only last 4 years?

About 3.5-3.7 from launch to the DS launch since the GBA launched about 3 month diffrence between Japan and US...

That would be huge. I never even thought of that possibility.

I definately think it could do 80 million or more! Yeah its not going to beat the DS but GB is fairly probable.

I think the PSP userbase is some what dubious ... I know a lot of people who bought the system in 2005 and 2006 when there was a lot of excitement around it who haven't touched the thing now in years.

You go into just about any store in North America and the PSP section is a wasteland, no one buys games for it.

The irony is the DS actually gets more adults because of things like Brain Training. The "active" PSP userbase nowadays in the West is mostly young boys.