Check:

Cumulative: http://www.vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Japan&cons2=PS3&reg2=Japan&cons3=PS2&reg3=Japan&align=1
Weekly:
http://www.vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Japan&cons2=PS3&reg2=Japan&cons3=PS2&reg3=Japan&align=1&weekly=1

so we can stop saying the Wii is doomed. It's on par with the PS2, which is way better then I and most people would have expected a year ago. Not saying it will ultimately do PS2 sales, but with SMG, SSBB, SMK, WiiFit... coming Wii should be able to keep track of PS2 sales at least until mid 2008, when no doubt other great games are anounced and released (FF:CCTCB looks good, ToS:KoR and hopefully more JRPG's)

I think the minimum for the Wii is NES sales. Absolute bare minimum.

Maximum is 2.5*NES sales in my opinion.

Personally I dont think a console that has been selling so fast for this long with only one big game since launch (MP3, I cant think of any others?) will fall into the fad category, so Im expecting upwards of 100 million consoles sold.

I don't know if it could do poorly, but you never know. I only really care about the DS myself anyway, not much for home gaming.

God, people; so Wii is having a slow/sleepy month or so in Japan; maybe that's because it had an extraordinary year (almost) till now, and just now sales are at normal heights. And remember, it's still outselling both the PS3 and Xbox360. Besides, IMO Wii will pick up again in less than 2-3 weeks at 70k+ and insane 150k+ when SMG and SSBB hit. Japan won't just abandon Nintendo in a month!

imo, as soon as mario galaxy comes out... its all over

As soon as HSG/Gundam/Lair/Warhawk/Heavenly Sword is out PS3 domination will begin! =)

Single games don't do much for long term sales. Wii will pick up in sales when the holidays hit, and when large numbers of games are released.

Am I the only one growing tired of this topic being regurgitated over and over again? The Wii is having its worst month in Japan thus far and yet it still is easily outselling its competitors. This is a sales site. Look at the sales of other consoles to gain perspective. The PS2 dipped below 10k in weekly sales and yet it rose again and continued to dominate the Japanese market. Until the Wii sales lag with a major title being released, this line of thinking is greatly flawed. We need a dead horse emote for the forums, because this one has beaten into dust over the last week or so.

 I think it's different with Mario Galaxy... those other games don't even compare to Galaxy in scope...

You could say differently if you were talking about FFXIII or GT5...

My god, why is there a thread for this every day?

It's the end of the summer, always a slow period for video games. It's only slowing down in Japan (partly due to shipment shifting to account for Metroid Prime 3), and in the States is holding its numbers.

I love how there's nothing in between in these kinds of threads. It's always a choice between "Best EVAR" and "Sucktacular."