I agree with the OP, I suspect shortages for punch-out worldwide.

EA Sports Active will be very big - WalMart is pushing it beyond the games section in my local store. It's got a big cartboard display with a ton of copies of it sitting in the row usually reserved for new release DVD displays.

I have not seen Punch Out shortages, however EA Active is heavily marketed in stores and in non traditional VG TV (Survivor, Biggest Loser Finale, Ellen all had ads or features), while most Punch Out ads I've seen have been on the web, or G4.

I think it will just be more popular 1st week and lifetime than Punch Out. Wii Fit really opened up a door to a totally different customer, as all fitness games on the Wii are selling (MyFitnessCoach, Gold's Gym, Jillian Michaels, etc). And EA Active is the only game actually marketed since Wii Fit, and they used the same template (in store flyers, DVD's, talk show circuit), and added celebrity endorsements (Bob Green, Alison Sweeney). There's no way it won't be huge, and it will sell consistently instead of relying on legs.

Punch Out will be huge, but will be a "legs" title, Boom Blox will outsell the first and it will all be legs.

NO.  Just no.  Publishers/Distributors sell the games to retailers.  They ship it to them before their proposed release dates.  After that it's up to the retailer to get it from warehouses to the shelves.  If you think about it, it's detrimental for a publishers/distributor to not have it in retailer hands before the release date. 

It is almost never going to be teh publisher/distributors fault that a game is late.  Now a retailer might not have it out there by the time of the release date for something like you said but usually it's not because of the size or magnitude of the release. Usually just something messed up between warehouse to retailer or the retailer managers not getting it on the shelves.

No.

Punch out>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>ea sports

I'd love for Punch Out to be > EA Active, but it won't be.

EA Sports active is looking to be a lagitament system seller, and a third party title doing that on a Nintendo system is virtually unheard of. It's going to be huge. And you know what if a third party can make a fitness game of the quality of Wii Fit or better than I hope it does amass great success. I may or may not be interested in buying such a game, but at least it's pushing the systems capabilities in a positive way. It's the blue Ocean stategy at work.

Punch Out will do well but I don't see it doing better than Active the first week or really any week after that.

Boom Blox will do a bit better than it's predecessor, thanks in large part to Party in the title. It won't be close to Active or Punch Out in sales though.

EA active looks like it could be massive, so I guess that you could be right :|

I picked it up...when to Best Buy and I tried it out...and it got me huffing a bit...so I bought it. So yes...I agree with the OP.

Looks like this was true for NA, and probably others as well.

Huh.