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Forums - Sales - Will The PS3 Go Under 100k World Wide This Week And Make It 36 Times

Lafiel on 05 May 2009

right now it seems some weeks under 100k are inevitable this year (asuming there won't be a price cut next month) judging by the way the PS3 tracks, but in my opinion the decider really is next week, when sony releases the shipment numbers for Q1/2009

according to vgc there were 1.9million PS3s on shelves at the end of 2008 (explanation by many users "channelstuffing!!!11!one1eleven!") and ~2.1 million sold in Q1, so if the report shows there were only about .8-1.2m shipped this Q there might be a slight down adjustment, while if it shows that 1.8-2.xm were shipped I think we can expect an upward adjustment, which might bump the PS3 out of the "dangerzone" to fall below 100k

for reference: Sonys own shipment expectation for the fiscalyear 2008 was 10 million PS3s and they shipped 8.45m by the end of 2008 (3.Q FY 2008), so they expected to ship atleast 1.55m in Q1/2009

in Q1/2007(Q4/FY  2006) they shipped 1.93m PS3s and in Q1/2008(Q4/FY 2007) 2.33m



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Squilliam on 05 May 2009

@Lafiel there have been adjustments since then, by about 3-400k between the Xbox 360 and PS3 IIRC for just the start of the year. The Xbox/PS3 gap was a bit above 8M but if you look back now its 7.75M



Tease.

Lafiel on 05 May 2009

@ Squil )

I used the numbers how they are today.

Check it if you want to -

PS3 shipped by the end of 2008 = 21.3m

sold by 4th of jan2009 (vgc):19.39m



Squilliam on 05 May 2009

Ahh, sorry about that.



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Zlejedi on 05 May 2009

It will go below 100k imho in next few weeks. Not by a lot but something around 95k might happen.



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Ail on 05 May 2009
TheSource said:

I don't think it will drop under 100k this week.

20k/35/45k seems a bit harsh and it would have to be below that to dip under 100k.

After Golden Week, but before the usual June lifts/price cuts I think it may dip below 100k for a week or two in May. Remember though...there were a few weeks in 2007 when PS3 only sold about 50k per week.

I think there is a PS3 price cut at E3 for the Americas, but we'll have to see how strong Sony's financial results and projections are on May 14 first. Not sure that it is in there best interest to competitively drop price anymore...a 2-3m lead in Japan is pretty much insurmountable, and a 5-7m lead in the Americas is pretty much insurmountable as well.

 

 I don't think the main reason to drop the price is to get back in the race for the lead.

The less hardware the PS3 sells every week the less software it does too and this is hurting the third parties as well as Sony first party studios.

If somehow a price drop boost sales enough that software revenue for Sony could make up the cost of price drop this would be worth it as it is Sony interest in the long run that HD publishers comited to HD development perform well..

Heck even if Sony could not make up all the loss due to price drop this probably still would be worth it...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Squilliam on 05 May 2009
Ail said:
TheSource said:

I don't think it will drop under 100k this week.

20k/35/45k seems a bit harsh and it would have to be below that to dip under 100k.

After Golden Week, but before the usual June lifts/price cuts I think it may dip below 100k for a week or two in May. Remember though...there were a few weeks in 2007 when PS3 only sold about 50k per week.

I think there is a PS3 price cut at E3 for the Americas, but we'll have to see how strong Sony's financial results and projections are on May 14 first. Not sure that it is in there best interest to competitively drop price anymore...a 2-3m lead in Japan is pretty much insurmountable, and a 5-7m lead in the Americas is pretty much insurmountable as well.

 

 I don't think the main reason to drop the price is to get back in the race for the lead.

The less hardware the PS3 sells every week the less software it does too and this is hurting the third parties as well as Sony first party studios.

If somehow a price drop boost sales enough that software revenue for Sony could make up the cost of price drop this would be worth it as it is Sony interest in the long run that HD publishers comited to HD development perform well..

Heck even if Sony could not make up all the loss due to price drop this probably still would be worth it...

Yep, pretty much they have to reach an equilibrium between future revenue and present revenue with regards to possible short run losses on the hardware. Also theres the factor that they have to produce a certain number of PS3's for their manufacturing and parts aquisition to be cheaper. Too few PS3s produced actually raises the cost per PS3 all things considered and thats basic economics.

 



Tease.

starcraft on 05 May 2009

I think that what the Source thinks is generally actually what the Source knows.

Because he has Sources.



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Pristine20 on 05 May 2009

i sure hope not, I have a bet at stake lol



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I LOVE GIGGS on 05 May 2009

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