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Forums - Sales - Reality check about Wii games legs

MaxwellGT2000 said:
Also now that I think about this a little more, how could new buyers, buying a console for a game be a bad thing, that means software is moving hardware, which is always a good thing. So if games have legs due to new owners buying said game that's great, both for the publishers and console sales.

Agreed, and that is the point. The situation isn't exclusive to Wii, the only thing that makes it different is the fact that the Wii is dominating hardware sales.



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it is possible that Brett just has a formula that he using that takes the number of HW sold and applies it to many of the games that have been out for a long period of time....



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

outlawauron said:
MaxwellGT2000 said:
Also now that I think about this a little more, how could new buyers, buying a console for a game be a bad thing, that means software is moving hardware, which is always a good thing. So if games have legs due to new owners buying said game that's great, both for the publishers and console sales.

Agreed, and that is the point. The situation isn't exclusive to Wii, the only thing that makes it different is the fact that the Wii is dominating hardware sales.

 

Ail seems kinda negative in his tone, but no matter which way you look at it, it's good :\  If you're getting sales you're getting sales, is it old owners buying the game or is it new ones?  Either way the sames sell into the millions and great for publishers and the game industry.

Thing is everyone buys a console for one piece of software they have their eye on, like I bought a PS3 after playing Little Big Planet, I'd been thinking for a while, but the situation arose where I could get a PS3 for 50 dollars and then buy Little Big Planet and I took it.



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So the reality check about Wii games having long legs was that Wii games have long legs, but only because alot of them are purchased every week. >_



Ail, while I can see your logic, you don't take into consideration the audience you refer to. Let me explain.

"Casual" isn't a game type preference as much as it is a time allotment to gaming. Casual gamers play for an hour or 2, a few times a week at most. My gaming pattern is considered casual, since I have a lot going on in my busy adult life. Yet, I'm not playing Wii Sports when I play. I'm playing Zelda, or Bully, or Metroid Prime 3, games I've owned for a long while but haven't beaten yet.

Now, take that idea - that there are gamers out there who have limited time, so those games that take 20+ hours might span a good year or so. They're not going to rush out and get new games until they beat the ones they own.

I will again use myself as an example - I have yet to get many games I want - Madworld, Hotd Overkill, Super Mario Galaxy, Mario Kart, Smash Bros, and several more. There are 2 reasons for this - "fun cash" is limited, and because of this, point 2, I can't justify buying new games when I haven't beaten the ones I own yet. Will I buy the games I just mentioned? Sure, in time as I can justify it.

Now, I'm not alone in this matter. Take that into consideration along with the thought that most games are bought around the Nov-Dec holiday season. Mario Kart had wild sales in December, half a year after it launched. Holiday legs for a spring game aren't uncommon.

So while you make a logical analysis, you need to factor in the type of gamer you're discussing here better.