| ckmlb said: It will definitely be that low and probably lower too. There's no way a console is gonna be 300 dollars at the end of a generation. The cost of making the console decreases massively as the years go by and price drops are possible. To those saying that it won't happen pointing to the PS2, that has absolutely nothing to do with the PS3's price drops. PS3 will have more price dropping because there is more to drop, simple. It's not that they didn't drop the PS2 price further because they couldn't, it's because they didn't want to. The PS3 came out with tech that was really expensive (blu ray player specifically) this tech has already dropped in price in a huge way this year (blu ray players have fallen to half the price they used to be), the price will drop significantly over time. |
@Bolded Part: You should note that I doubled the price drops of the PS2 over the same period of time due to the double opening price, so I am not sure why that would be an issue with my comparison. I never said it was going to be exact but I do think it gives a very good idea of about how far the price will drop over that period of time.
Anyways, I have to ask why you think they didn't drop the PS2 price further if you claim that they could of? The last few price drops in my mind at least, were clearly intended to revive higher sales and I don't see why they would hold off on that when they clearly stand to gain more at a lower price point.
If you were referring to the early price drops of the PS2, then I agree they could of dropped it faster but didn't need to. But if that is the case then I don't think that you actually read my last post which explains why my approach to the analysis makes that point irrelavent.
Anyways, I didn't say it would never get down to $200, just that I don't think it will happen before MS and Nintendo are at least announcing new systems. But right now your point about how expensive the technology was at release is actually a good reason to believe my estimate is not to far off. The fact that they essentially started on the market with a price cut they couldn't sustain means they are probably going to be looking for a scenario where they can bring in some cash to offset those losses, but more than that it means that the first part of the price cut schedule is going to be longer than that of the PS2 which means my price point could be pushed out further.
I would love to be wrong on this and see a nice 40GB PS3 for $299 next march, but I just don't think that is feasible financially for sony.
 |
| To Each Man, Responsibility |
