I see these stats thrown around quite often but you should note they are hugely flawed.  They only take into the top 20 releases of each format.  It totally ignores the huge catalog market on DVD vs BD.  If those numbers were included they would make Blurays marketshare look significantly worse than it already is.  Go to walmart and see the $4-5 bins of DVD movies.  Those stats are completely ignoring that market segment.

You realize that many companies are rolling out 50mbit and faster connections to the majority of their customers in 2009, don't you?  I guess you'd be downloading your 30GB game for nearly an hour (less time than going to the store and picking it up, though).

I also don't think BD will ever become "standard".   There isn't enough gap between BD and DVD.  Developers are moving toward game downloads, and it took forever to go from CD games to DVD games when DVD was clearly more desirable than BD.

Also, for those of you talking about stats, here are some for you from Neilson:

Note: this is in percent of revenue, not units sold:

02/15/09 6.57 %
02/08/09 7.18 %
02/01/09 8.17 %

So DVD still has the vast, vast majority of the market. Probably less than 1 out of ever 20 discs sold is a BD disc, if you consider that the above is for revenues and BDs often cost $25-$35 instead of $6-$19 for DVDs.

Don't get me wrong -- the BD fanboys are totally excited about these numbers. They're not good, and they're likely less than download revenues. But don't stop them from being excited about it.

BR will eventually be cheaper $$/Gb than flash/ssd.

Not quite sure I believe those figures you're stating.

http://www.newegg.com/Product/ProductList.aspx?Submit=ENE&N=40000598&Description=blu%20ray%20drive&name=Blu-Ray%20Drives

http://www.newegg.com/Product/ProductList.aspx?Submit=ENE&N=40000055&Description=dvd%20drive&name=CD%20%2f%20DVD%20Drives

$100 vs $18 price difference.

Anyways, Blu-ray will not be a standard for several more years at best. Even if it does become relative standard, all the things you get on PC will always be in DVD for at least several more years afterward.

There's a difference between being "standard in new computers" and being "standard for all computers currently being used".  No company is going to want to cut out any sales by putting it in a format their customers may not be able to use. Not only that but since all PC games basically install onto hard drive, there's really no need to install from 1 blu-ray vs multiple DVD's.

@ darconi, it is far more convenient to just have 1 disc of course, but it is not a huge factor

I think it will be a few years. Sony do have BDs in almost all of their computers now, and think it will catch on slowly as prices come down. I fully believe in 5 years time all computers will still have disc drives, I don't think there is a major danger of physical media dying entirely, as there are still many uses. For games, it might be a few years before we see blu-ray PC games, some relatively recent PC games come on CD, so the transition won't be quick, but I know the next game that I am buying, Empire Total War, consumes 15GB, so it would far easier if that was on blu-ray

Mobile broadband may be a very good way for people in remote places to get broadband. LTE and LTE-Advanced will give very fast speeds and they're not too far away.

I agree its more convenient to have on one disc but I'm betting that the publisher will look at the option of either making it a little more convenient for people who already bought the game or try to hit as broad a install base as possible and choose the obvious.

Blu Ray adoption, especially on PCs, will have a lot more to do with Sony Marketing than it will with consumers wanting it. At least, that's the near future.

Look at BD languishing with less than 10% after these years. Now the first 10 or even 20% of the market is technically strong, and they know the advantages of BD over DVD. They're also the most wealthy segment of the market.

Getting more of the market after that will be harder and harder. How will Sony get it? Here's how:

Once almost all computers are bundled with BD drives and once they're marketed as "this has high definition BD drive" in it. People want cheap computers, but they also want stuff that says, "high definition" even if they don't really understand it because they don't want their stuff to be obsolete. Once every netbook has a BD drive, Sony will get wide adoption on the PC.

As far as wide adoption in the living room goes: Sony simply needs to drop the price of BD to be competitive with DVD. Until BD competes with DVD on price -- I'm talking about buying discs for $9 a few months after release -- then DVD will continue to crush BD in market share.

Even when measured by revenue.

He said that because Bluray movies compete with iTunes. I could bet it was a move to convince movie studios to sell their movies on iTunes instead of Bluray, and to convince share holders that selling movies on iTunes was a good idea.
The best part being "the licencing of the tech is so complex"... Dell, HP, and other did it... so... must not be SOOOOO complex after all...
I can't even imagine Apple, the company that always come with high quality and bleeding edge hardware, not taking the bluray bandwagon.