superbeast1370 said:
thanks, heres your reward
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but i wanted one with rasins in it!
superbeast1370 said:
thanks, heres your reward
|
but i wanted one with rasins in it!
darthdevidem01 said:
but i wanted one with rasins in it! |
OK, OK, BUT you're gonna have to share it with HIM


superbeast1370 said:
OK, OK, BUT you're gonna have to share it with HIM
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ok anything that even loosely resembles a dog is a brother/sister to me.
So I will share
Including handhelds I agree too it's possible and even likely.
Taking into account only domestic consoles, I'd say a moderately pessimistic prediction would be 200million total, while even a moderately optimistic 300million would mean that even the third would obtain very satisfying lifetime sales and this would be very good for everybody bar monopolist wannabes, it would benefit HW and SW companies, competition, research, innovation and development (and maybe quality too) and all this put together would greatly benefit users.
darthdevidem01 said:
Regionally for DS I see: 60 Million Others + 60 Million NA + 30 Million Japan (very rough guess) as I said EU + NA numbers can go up if the Dsi is successful. ______ For Wii I see --- 80 Million NA + 80 Million EU + 17 Million Japan Japan numbers can go up IF DQX & MH3 provide not a bump but maybe sustained sales. _____ these are really rounded & rough figures though
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How can you see the DS only selling 60M in Others? It has sold 32.4M, and just in 2008 it sold 16.7M. Furthermore, it seems to be selling more there this year.
It is likely to be at 50M by the end of 09. And in just 2010, it will sell far more than 10M.
The lowest possible I see for Others is 70M really.
Your 30M Japan seems reasonable..
No... Wait - it doesn't.
It's at 26M.
It sold 4M in 2008.
It will be just shy of 30M by the end of 09, but overall it should definitely come close to 35M. This may seem like a minor adjustment, but it's the difference of selling 4M more and 9M more.
I can accept the Americas one.
So I admit - my max is a bit too high. 160-190M would fit just as well, as it beating 190M is unlikely.
80 million NA? Not a chance.
There are roughly 120M homes in Canada + Americas. Over the 8 years it's out, some homes will split up. Still, 150M possible Wii owners is optimistic.
Okay. Then we're looking at around 40 million Ps360 owners (they will sell over 50M, but there will be some overlap)
But let's again be pro the Wii, and say that 20M of those also fit into the "can buy a Wii" group.
That eliminates 20M, so we're down at 130M.
That would mean it requires an over 60% penetration rate to make 80M. I can hardly think of anything at all that has a 50% home penetration rate in any country.
So anything above 65M is very optimistic for the Wii. Still, I can accept 70M as a top. 55-70M seems probable.
You can't do the same thing for Others, but it has sold 20% less there. While it is likely to pick up a bit vs Americas, I see it ending around 50-70M.
Then there's Japan at 15-20M, so you nailed that one.
So you're overshooting the Wii in Americas + Others, and underestimating the DS in Others + Japan.
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261
That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS