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Forums - Sales - Can 500 million consoles be sold this gen?

superbeast1370 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
@superbeast

you can call it a "Handheld Console System"

 

 thanks, heres your reward

but i wanted one with rasins in it!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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darthdevidem01 said:
superbeast1370 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
@superbeast

you can call it a "Handheld Console System"

 

 thanks, heres your reward

but i wanted one with rasins in it!

 

 OK, OK, BUT you're gonna have to share it with HIM



Its very possible.



TO GOD BE THE GLORY

superbeast1370 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
superbeast1370 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
@superbeast

you can call it a "Handheld Console System"

 

 thanks, heres your reward

but i wanted one with rasins in it!

 

 OK, OK, BUT you're gonna have to share it with HIM

ok anything that even loosely resembles a dog is a brother/sister to me.

So I will share

 



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Including handhelds I agree too it's possible and even likely.
Taking into account only domestic consoles, I'd say a moderately pessimistic prediction would be 200million total, while even a moderately optimistic 300million would mean that even the third would obtain very satisfying lifetime sales and this would be very good for everybody bar monopolist wannabes, it would benefit HW and SW companies, competition, research, innovation and development (and maybe quality too) and all this put together would greatly benefit users.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW! 
 


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darthdevidem01 said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
darthdevidem01 said:
@oyvoyvoy

I see DS doing 150 Million plus

but not really much more unless DSi is a big success here.....I mean nintendo will have another handheld

but the WII I see doing definetely 170 Million plus

Its STILL Sold out!

Ok, regionally, what do you see?

Over 15M Japan?

70M Americas?

60M WE?

Òr over 15M EE + Others?

 

Regionally for DS I see:

60 Million Others + 60 Million NA + 30 Million Japan (very rough guess)

as I said EU + NA numbers can go up if the Dsi is successful.

______

For Wii I see --- 80 Million NA + 80 Million EU + 17 Million Japan

Japan numbers can go up IF DQX & MH3 provide not a bump but maybe sustained sales.

_____

these are really rounded & rough figures though

 

How can you see the DS only selling 60M in Others? It has sold 32.4M, and just in 2008 it sold 16.7M. Furthermore, it seems to be selling more there this year.

It is likely to be at 50M by the end of 09. And in just 2010, it will sell far more than 10M.

The lowest possible I see for Others is 70M really.

Your 30M Japan seems reasonable..

No... Wait - it doesn't.

It's at 26M.

It sold 4M in 2008.

It will be just shy of 30M by the end of 09, but overall it should definitely come close to 35M. This may seem like a minor adjustment, but it's the difference of selling 4M more and 9M more.

I can accept the Americas one.

 

So I admit - my max is a bit too high. 160-190M would fit just as well, as it beating 190M is unlikely.

 

 

80 million NA? Not a chance.

There are roughly 120M homes in Canada + Americas. Over the 8 years it's out, some homes will split up. Still, 150M possible Wii owners is optimistic.

Okay. Then we're looking at around 40 million Ps360 owners (they will sell over 50M, but there will be some overlap)

But let's again be pro the Wii, and say that 20M of those also fit into the "can buy a Wii" group.

That eliminates 20M, so we're down at 130M.

 

That would mean it requires an over 60% penetration rate to make 80M. I can hardly think of anything at all that has a 50% home penetration rate in any country.

 

So anything above 65M is very optimistic for the Wii. Still, I can accept 70M as a top. 55-70M seems probable.

 

You can't do the same thing for Others, but it has sold 20% less there. While it is likely to pick up a bit vs Americas, I see it ending around 50-70M.

Then there's Japan at 15-20M, so you nailed that one.

 

So you're overshooting the Wii in Americas + Others, and underestimating the DS in Others + Japan.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS